Europe - Champions League

AC Milan

28 Nov 2023 15:00

Borussia Dortmund

Prediction :

Under 2.5 Goals

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AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Prediction published on 28/11/2023, 06:05 by Sridhar in Champions League Predictions

With only three points separating the four sides, Group F is proving to be an interesting group in the UEFA Champions League. Matchday five will see Milan and Borussia Dortmund clash at San Siro with the hosts 3rd on five points, while the visitors are 1st with seven points. Milan are hosting Dortmund for the first time since 2002-03, which they lost. Yet, that was their only loss across three home matches against Dortmund, winning the other two. They have enjoyed playing German clubs at home, in general. Milan have won 11 of 16 home matches against Bundesliga teams, drawing four and losing just once.

Dortmund are staying in the top-four hunt in Bundesliga with a win over the weekend. That doesn't mask the fact that they have been all over the place recently, alternating wins and losses across five matches. That said, their Champions League form has been inspiring, winning their last two matches in the competition. Both have come with a clean sheet and a win of any magnitude will be the first time since 2020 that they would have won three Champions League matches in a row. They will have to be away from their away form though, having lost six of their last nine away matches in this competition.

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Borussia Dortmund Match

1	X	2
1.95	3.75	3.5
1.85	3.3	3.4
2.02	3.73	3.96
2.02	3.73	3.96
1.9	3.72	3.86
1.9	3.72	3.86
2	3.3	3.65
1.95	3.58	3.82
1.98	3.57	3.52
1.95	3.5	3.5
2.05	3.5	3.6
2.02	3.7	3.7
1.95	3.6	3.7
2	3.6	4

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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Borussia Dortmund?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/11/2023 between AC Milan and Borussia Dortmund in Champions League :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.41% for a win of AC Milan against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 2.05 at Unibet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund is 23.59% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
Our prediction model gives a 35% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs AC Milan with odds of 4 at Vbet.

AC Milan - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:

AC Milan Borussia Dortmund Prediction	Probability	Odds
AC Milan wins	41.41%	2.05 at Unibet
Under 2.5	61.26%	2 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score	37.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan	19.89%	5.3 at Unibet

AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund Form

AC Milan and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Champions League

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1 Borussia Dortmund	11	6	3	2	1	3
3 AC Milan	8	6	2	2	2	-3

AC Milan and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches

AC Milan Last matches

All Home Away

L D L W D W

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

25 Nov 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 0

Fiorentina

11 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Lecce

2 : 2

AC Milan

7 Nov 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan

2 : 1

PSG

4 Nov 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan

0 : 1

Udinese

29 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 2

AC Milan

25 Oct 2023 - Champions League

PSG

3 : 0

AC Milan

W W L L W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals

17% BTTS

1 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

25 Nov 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 0

Fiorentina

7 Nov 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan

2 : 1

PSG

4 Nov 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan

0 : 1

Udinese

22 Oct 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan

0 : 1

Juventus

30 Sep 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan

2 : 0

Lazio

23 Sep 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 0

Hellas Verona

W D W L D D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

11 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Lecce

2 : 2

AC Milan

29 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 2

AC Milan

25 Oct 2023 - Champions League

PSG

3 : 0

AC Milan

7 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Genoa

0 : 1

AC Milan

4 Oct 2023 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

0 : 0

AC Milan

27 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Cagliari

1 : 3

AC Milan

Borussia Dortmund Last matches

All Home Away

D W L W L W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

25 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

4 : 2

Mönchengladbach

11 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart

2 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

7 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 0

Newcastle

4 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

0 : 4

Bayern Munich

1 Nov 2023 - DFB Pokal

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 0

Hoffenheim

29 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt

3 : 3

Borussia Dortmund

W W W L W W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

33% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

25 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

4 : 2

Mönchengladbach

7 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 0

Newcastle

4 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

0 : 4

Bayern Munich

1 Nov 2023 - DFB Pokal

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 0

Hoffenheim

20 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 0

Werder Bremen

7 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

4 : 2

Union Berlin

W L W W D L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

67% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

11 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart

2 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

29 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt

3 : 3

Borussia Dortmund

25 Oct 2023 - Champions League

Newcastle

0 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

29 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

1 : 3

Borussia Dortmund

19 Sep 2023 - Champions League

PSG

2 : 0

Borussia Dortmund

16 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga

Freiburg

2 : 4

Borussia Dortmund

AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

4 Oct 2023 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

0 : 0

AC Milan

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AC Milan - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis

Milan have two wins and a draw from their last three competitive matches, after a 1-0 win over Fiorentina in Serie A last weekend. This run improved the spirits in their camp, as the hosts have picked up just a point across four games prior to that. In the Champions League, they started with two draws and a loss, but a 2-1 win over Paris Saint-Germain at this venue on matchday four has boosted their chances. Dortmund's Champions League campaign has gone the opposite way to their hosts. They started with a loss and draw, before turning up the volume and winning consecutive matches. They drew the reverse fixture goalless, and all four of their matches have seen at least one side fail to score a goal. Yet, their recent form coming into this match is indifferent, with three wins, one draw and two losses from their last six competitive matches.

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AC Milan against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

M. Maignan

D. Calabria

M. Thiaw

F. Tomori

T. Hernandez

R. Loftus-Cheek

Y. Adli

T. Reijnders

S. Chukwueze

O. Giroud

C. Pulisic

N. Fullkrug

J. Gittens

M. Reus

D. Malen

M. Sabitzer

E. Can

R. Bensebaini

N. Schlotterbeck

M. Hummels

J. Ryerson

G. Kobel

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

AC Milan & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis

Milan have a long list of injuries ahead of this fixture. Rafael Leao, Marco Pellegrino, Marco Sportiello, Pierre Kalulu and Noah Okafor are all out of contention. Ismael Bennacer is out because of a knee injury while Simon Kjaer remains doubtful. As for Dortmund, Sebastian Haller and Karim Adeyemi are doubtful, owing to minor cold. Felix Nmecha and Julien Duranville are confirmed absent for the visitors.

Most goals and assists

AC Milan

Borussia Dortmund

Top Goalscorer

O. Giroud (17 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

D. Malen (15 Goals) , Germany

N. Fullkrug (15 Goals)

Best assists

R. Leao (13 Assists)

Best assists

J. Brandt (14 Assists)

AC Milan - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

Milan have scored just two goals across their four Champions League matches this season
Eight of Milan’s last ten Champions League matches have produced under 2.5 goals
Four of their last five home matches in the Champions League have seen Milan witness under 2.5 goals
Dortmund’s last nine Champions League matches have all seen under 2.5 goals scored
That included their last four away Champions League matches

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Our AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Group F is living up to pre-tournament expectations as the four teams stand separated by just three points. A win here could see Milan even top the group, while any other result could see them get dragged to bottom. This could be a tight game on the goals front and our AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

Under 2.5 Goals

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AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions

AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund European Championship Qualification Group F match is scheduled for a 8:00pm BST kick-off on Tuesday, November 28, 2023.

AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund European Championship Qualification Group F match is set to be played at San Siro in Milan.

You can watch AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund European Championship Qualification Group F match live on TNT Sports in UK, DAZN in Canada, and Paramount+ is the US.

You can also keep up to the minute with all the action on the SportyTrader livescore page.

István Kovács of Romania is the chief referee for this match between AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund. Vasile Florin Marinescu and Tomasz will be the assistant referees. Marcel Birsan is the fourth official, Pol van Boekel is the Video Assistant Referee and C?t?lin Popa is the assistant VAR.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.