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1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Kennedy Kechula in Bundesliga Predictions
Union Berlin and Mainz secured survival on the final day of the Bundesliga last season and they will face off on Match Day 1 of 2024/25. Mainz will host the Saturday clash, eyeing a first win in seven matches against Union. Read on for our prediction.
Bo Henriksen had a good impact at Mainz last season, leading them to stay up and will be hoping for a bright start. The hosts had a scare in the DFB Pokal, going all the way to extra time before dispatching Wehen Wiesbaden 3-1 last week.
They have momentum to ride in this game, being unbeaten in 10 competitive matches. Die Nullfünfer won five times in nine unbeaten league matches to close last season and thereby confirming their Bundesliga status.
The visitors opened their competitive season with a 1-0 win at Greifswalder in the German Cup. Among the teams that battled relegation last season, none had more wins than Union Berlin’s nine. That tally was two better than Mainz’s.
Die Eisernen have also avoided defeat in their last six matches against Mainz, winning four. Their most recent meeting ended 1-1 away to Mainz. This match will be a repeat of last season’s Bundesliga opener between the two.
In that encounter, Union Berlin registered a 4-1 win and they’ll be eyeing the same this term. With just one win in eight league games, however, Union will need more than just their dominance against Mainz. It is even worse away from home, Union having won only two league games on the road all season in 2023/24.
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The Best Betting Odds for 1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Union Berlin Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 5 | 26 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.3 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.23 | 5.76 | 25 |
|
|
1.23 | 5.76 | 25 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.35 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.24 | 3.96 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.24 | 3.96 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.25 | 21 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.26 | 4.14 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.45 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.23 | 5.5 | 26 |
|
|
1.2 | 5 | 21 |
|
|
2.18 | 2.9 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.22 | 4.75 | 20 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.5 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Union Berlin?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/08/2024 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Union Berlin in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.15% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Union Berlin with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin is 23.24% with odds of 5.76 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Berlin vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 26 at Bet365.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Union Berlin Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Union Berlin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 49.15% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.34% | 2.22 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | 17.69% | 5.5 at Betsson |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Union Berlin's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
|
10
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Union Berlin Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
5 May 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
5 May 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
14 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2022 - Bundesliga
3 Oct 2021 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Union Berlin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
M. Jenz
Y. Stein
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Union Berlin
J. Burkardt
(7 Goals)
Y. Vertessen
(2 Goals)
,
B. Hollerbach
(2 Goals)
,
T. Rothe
(2 Goals)
P. Mwene
(3 Assists)
D. Leite
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Benes
(1 Assists)
,
T. Rothe
(1 Assists)
, 
R. Skov
(1 Assists)
,
B. Hollerbach
(1 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Union Berlin Key Points
- Mainz failed to score once in their last 16 matches.
- Both teams scored in five of these sides’ last six meetings.
- In six of Mainz’s last seven competitive matches, both teams scored.
- Union Berlin have two clean sheets only in the last eight matches.
- In four of Union Berlin’s last five league matches both teams scored.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Prediction
The one thing that has been rare in these two teams’ recent meetings is a clean sheet. The one time in the last six encounters that this fixture did not yield goals was in a 0-0 draw in 2022. That was also the only instance both teams failed to score in the six-game run.
Apart from that, they do not have many clean sheets in their recent matches. Meanwhile, both teams have been impressive in attack, rarely failing to score. If that is to extend to this game, then we have an assurance of goals.
Our prediction for Mainz v Union Berlin is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Union Berlin
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 2 | 1.2 | -40.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 5 | +42.9% |
| Union Berlin wins | 3.6 | 26 | +622.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 40.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 83.3% (33.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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