Germany - Bundesliga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions
Two of the top three best defensive teams in the Bundesliga will be on view as Mainz host St. Pauli in matchday 23 on Saturday. This match between the 6th-placed Die Nullfünfer and the 14th-placed Kiezkicker at the MEWA Arena comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Mainz have 35 points and only two behind the top four clubs, although just two points above the ninth-placed Wolfsburg. The visiting St. Pauli have 21 points and are five points above the relegation zone.
A 2-0 win away at Heidenheim last weekend saw Mainz pick their seventh point in the last four matches. The only defeat in that sequence came at Werder Bremen. That continues the impressive defensive record of Mainz, as only Bayern Munich have conceded fewer goals than them.
That gets better at home, where Mainz have won five and drawn one of their last six league matches, keeping four clean sheets. St. Pauli also have a good defensive record, conceding only 25 goals in the season. The positives of those impressive numbers are drowned in the fact that they have scored a league-low 18 goals.
Interestingly, St. Pauli have been alternating results on the road recently, winning two and losing three of their last five league trips.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for 1 Fsv Mainz 05 v St. Pauli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 4.6 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.76 | 4.84 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.76 | 4.84 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.6 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.62 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.62 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.6 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.7 | 5 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.63 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.65 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.75 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/02/2025 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.44% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against St. Pauli with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli is 12.32% with odds of 3.76 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.24% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 5 at Tonybet.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 St. Pauli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 68.44% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 57.15% | 2 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 29.17% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : 1 Fsv Mainz 05/1 Fsv Mainz 05 | 37.18% | 2.9 at Betsson |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
35 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
|
14
|
21 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -7 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and St. Pauli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
8 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
S. Bell
K. Mets
M. Saliakas
MidfielderR. Wagner
J. Sands
C. Metcalfe
ForwardS. Zoller
M. Guilavogui
E. Saad
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
St. Pauli
J. Burkardt
(14 Goals)
A. Caci
(5 Assists)
J. Irvine
(4 Assists)
,
J. Eggestein
(4 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and St. Pauli Stats in Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - St. Pauli Key Points
- Eight of St. Pauli’s last nine league matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- St. Pauli have seen fewer than three goals scored in six of their last seven away Bundesliga matches.
- Mainz have seen two or fewer goals scored in six of their last seven Bundesliga matches.
- Mainz kept a clean sheet in four of their last five home league matches.
- St. Pauli (25) and Mainz (24) have two of the top-three best defensive records in the division.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Prediction
St. Pauli have one of the best defensive records this season with only 25 conceded, but their scoring record is the worst. They aren’t in the relegation zone ahead of this round, but a five-point buffer could prove to be an advantage in the end. Mainz also have a very good defensive record, with only Bayern Munich conceding fewer goals. Their games have also been low in terms of excitement and goals, which means this match could also be short of goals. Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 St. Pauli
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 1.83 | 1.75 | -4.4% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.6 | +2.9% |
| St. Pauli wins | 4.2 | 4.75 | +13.1% |
At 1 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 57.1% (2.5%)
10% Daily cashback up to €100
As a verified customer of Vbet, you can gain 10% of your daily losses back as a free bet of up to €100. This is valid on all single and multiple bets. Every day when you make an overall loss of at least €5 on events on the sportsbook, you can win the cashback as a free bet. The free bet that you receive has a five-day expiry on it and can be used on any sports bet. It will be credited the following day once Vbet has calculated all accounts from the day prior. Losses that come from using free bets or bonus money will not be counted towards any potential cashback that you receive.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
