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1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Joseph King in Bundesliga Predictions
10th-place Mainz hosts ninth-placed Heidenheim on Saturday morning for matchday five of the German Bundesliga. Let’s take a deeper look at the numbers as well as a prediction for this match between the 05ers and FCH.
FSV Mainz 05 come into this matchup in good spirits after getting their first win of the 2024/25 Bundesliga season in last week’s Friday game. However, the players and fans might count themselves lucky as they were fortunate to come away with the full three points.
In a frantic match which saw five goals scored and two red cards, Mainz walked away as 3-2 away winners over Augsburg. This was despite conceding 73% of the possession and giving up 2.46 expected goals (xG) to their opponents while creating only 1.11 xG themselves.
The victory snapped a three-game winless streak for the hosts who drew the season's first two fixtures before losing 2-1 to Bremen in their last home outing.
Visiting Heidenheim, enjoying their second consecutive season of top-flight football, have picked up where they left off last year. It’s been a fairytale story for the picturesque south German club who have gone from the 3. Liga to playing in a UEFA competition in just 10 years time.
They managed an eighth-place finish in the 2023/24 season in their first ever Bundesliga campaign, securing a spot in the Conference League qualifiers.
Heidenheim started off the new season with five consecutive wins, including winning both of the Conference League qualification matches in two hard fought games. Since then, they’ve cooled off as they have now lost their last two in a row. FCH fell 4-2 away to Dortmund before a heavy 3-0 home loss to Freiburg last weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for 1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Heidenheim Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.6 | 4 |
|
|
2 | 3.89 | 3.89 |
|
|
2 | 3.89 | 3.89 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.76 | 3.74 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.76 | 3.74 |
|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.88 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.9 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.75 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.75 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.75 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.59 | 3.98 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Heidenheim?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim match is: Mainz to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2024 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Heidenheim in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.19% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Heidenheim with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim is 16.97% with odds of 4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Heidenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 4.7 at Stake.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Heidenheim Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Heidenheim Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim wins | 47.84% | 4.7 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.45% | 1.97 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time : 1 Fsv Mainz 05 / Full-time : Heidenheim | 18.42% | 46 at Betsson |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Heidenheim's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
25 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
|
16
|
10 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -15 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Heidenheim Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
15 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Sep 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Sep 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 May 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
Players list
R. Zentner
DefenderA. Barkok
M. Jenz
A. Hanche-Olsen
A. Sieb
P. Mwene
MidfielderP. Nebel
K. Sano
N. Weiper
S. Bell
ForwardJ. Burkardt
K. Muller
DefenderM. Busch
P. Mainka
B. Gimber
J. Fohrenbach
L. Kerber
MidfielderN. Dorsch
J. Schoppner
A. Beck
ForwardM. Breunig
L. Maloney
Substitutes
L. Riess
DefenderD. da Costa
S. Bell
A. Barkok
P. Nebel
D. Gleiber
ForwardA. Sieb
N. Weiper
K. Onisiwo
F. Feller
DefenderL. Maloney
N. Theuerkauf
T. Siersleben
MidfielderL. Kerber
A. Beck
M. Breunig
S. Conteh
S. Schimmer
Missing players
G. Vidovic
J. Niehues
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Heidenheim
J. Burkardt
(11 Goals)
M. Breunig
(5 Goals)
,
P. Wanner
(5 Goals)
P. Mwene
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Jae-sung
(3 Assists)
, 
A. Caci
(3 Assists)
M. Pieringer
(4 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Heidenheim Key Points
- Heidenheim have won just four of their last 19 away fixtures dating back to last season.
- The visitors have lost their last two matches in a row by a combined score of 7-2.
- Mainz have a 4-2-1 record in their last seven home games.
- The hosts have netted 11 goals in their five competitive fixtures so far this season (2.20 average).
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim Prediction
After getting their first win on the board in the Bundesliga this season, Mainz should the momentum behind them to make it two wins from two. This is also a revenge spot for the hosts as they lost 1-0 to their opponents in this fixture last year.
Heidenheim starting the season very strong with five straight wins but have hit a road bump in their last two outings. They struggled to claim three points on the road last season with their win over Mainz representing one of only three away victories. Our Mainz vs Heidenheim prediction: Mainz to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Heidenheim
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 1.65 | 1.95 | +18.2% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.6 | -10.0% |
| Heidenheim wins | 4.75 | 3.9 | -17.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Heidenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 21.1% and is now 25.6% (4.6%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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