Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions
Only three points separate Mainz and Freiburg ahead of this crucial Bundesliga matchday 26 meeting on Saturday. This match at the MEWA Arena between the third-placed Die Nullfunfer and the fifth-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Mainz’s tally of 44 points put them just two points ahead of Eintracht Frankfurt, while Freiburg are one point further behind.
With a 3-1 away win at Borussia Monchengladbach last Friday, Mainz made it four league victories in a row. The hopes of qualifying for the Champions League are high, as they look to make the most of their impressive defensive record, which is second only to Bayern Munich.
The record is even better at home, as Mainz have six wins and one draw from their last seven Bundesliga matches here.
Freiburg drew 0-0 last weekend at home against Leipzig for a second consecutive draw with the same scoreline. They have now kept six consecutive clean sheets in the league, winning four matches before these stalemates.
This upsurge has also seen Freiburg improve their recent away form, winning two and drawing one of their last three league trips. All these matches saw Freiburg keep a clean sheet, and interestingly, the reverse fixture also ended in a 0-0 draw.
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The Best Betting Odds for 1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Freiburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.64 | 4.46 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.64 | 4.46 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2025 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Freiburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.05% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Freiburg with odds of 1.95 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg is 23.19% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 4.5 at Betobet.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 55.05% | 1.95 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.97 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 30.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | 23.94% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
48 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | -4 |
|
6
|
47 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Freiburg Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga
12 Feb 2022 - Bundesliga
Players list
R. Zentner
DefenderD. da Costa
M. Jenz
A. Caci
A. Hanche-Olsen
MidfielderD. Kohr
K. Sano
N. Amiri
P. Nebel
L. Jae-sung
ForwardJ. Burkardt
N. Atubolu
DefenderL. Kubler
M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
C. Gunter
MidfielderR. Doan
N. Hofler
P. Osterhage
J. Beste
ForwardL. Holer
M. Gregoritsch
Substitutes
L. Riess
DefenderM. Leitsch
S. Widmer
A. Hanche-Olsen
N. Veratschnig
H. Hyeon-seok
ForwardN. Weiper
A. Sieb
A. Nordin
F. Muller
DefenderL. Kubler
J. Makengo
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderJ. Beste
J. Manzambi
N. Hofler
E. Dinkci
M. Gregoritsch
Missing players
S. Bell
B. Ogbus
MidfielderD. Kyereh
M. Rohl
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Freiburg
J. Burkardt
(16 Goals)
V. Grifo
(10 Goals)
A. Caci
(7 Assists)
V. Grifo
(11 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Freiburg Key Points
- In five of Mainz’s last seven league matches, there have been under 2.5 goals scored.
- Mainz kept a clean sheet in their last four home league games.
- Eight of Mainz’s last 11 home Bundesliga matches produced two or fewer goals.
- Freiburg kept a clean sheet in six consecutive Bundesliga matches.
- Freiburg’s last three away league matches produced zero or one goals each time.
- The last four league matches between Mainz and Freiburg have produced fewer than three goals.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Prediction
This is a massive match for both Mainz and Freiburg considering the lofty ambitions of both clubs to qualify for the Champions League. That makes this a match neither side would like to lose. Adding to that equation, the defensive strengths of both these clubs make this a tight match. Mainz have conceded only 26 goals, with only Bayern conceding fewer goals this season. Freiburg aren’t far and come here on the back of six consecutive clean sheets. That’s why our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Freiburg
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 1.95 | 1.85 | -5.1% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.5 | +6.1% |
| Freiburg wins | 4 | 4.33 | +8.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 54.1% (2.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs. Freiburg game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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