04 May 2024 - 12:30
- Final
WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Prediction :
Iga Swiatek wins the match
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Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Iga Swiatek and second seed Aryna Sabalenka will battle once again in the WTA Mutua Madrid Open final. These two squared off in last year’s final with Sabalenka winning in three sets. This will be the 10th time these two are going head to head and the fourth time in a championship match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Iga Swiatek v Aryna Sabalenka Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 3.45 |
|
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Who will win the Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Tennis game?
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka game on 5/4/24 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Iga Swiatek has a 66.43% chance to win against Aryna Sabalenka according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.3.
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 33.57% probability of winning facing Iga Swiatek ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Iga Swiatek has a 66.43 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | 66.43 % |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 33.57 % |
Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Form
Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
2 May 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
30 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
20 Apr 2024 - WTA Stuttgart Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
2 May 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
1 May 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
28 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2024 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Iga Swiatek against Aryna Sabalenka : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
23 Dec 2023 - World Tennis League, Men Singles
4 Nov 2023 - WTA Qatar Open
6 May 2023 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2023 - WTA Stuttgart Open
23 Dec 2022 - World Tennis League, Women Singles
6 Nov 2022 - WTA Qatar Open
Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka: Form Analysis
Iga Swiatek is seeking revenge after losing last year’s final in three sets. It was the first time she had made the final in Madrid in what was her second appearance. Swiatek, who has compiled an impressive 31-4 record this season, has won six times against Sabalenka. Half of her wins have come on clay with two being championship matches in Stuttgart. The world number one defeated 18th seed Madison Keys in the semi-finals. She dropped just four games to the American as she registered her fourth straight sets victory in this year’s edition. Swiatek, a 19-time tour champion, has advanced to her 24th career final and third this year. She has won the last six finals she has contested.
Aryna Sabalenka had lost the two finals between her and Swiatek before her triumph in Madrid last season. It was an excellent result against a player who has had the upper hand against her. As the defending champion, she will arrive for this fixture confident of getting the job done again. Sabalenka is having a strong season and has compiled a 20-5 record. She has contested two finals and was triumphant in Melbourne where she defended her title. The Belarussian has however not been as dominant in championship matches as Swiatek. She has lost 12 of 26 finals with four being on clay. The 25-year-old defeated fourth seed Elena Rybakina in three sets in the semi-finals. It was the fourth time in five matches in the tournament that she had needed a decider to win. Sabalenka is a two-time Madrid champion and will tie the record for most titles here with victory against Swiatek.
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Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka Key Points
- Swiatek has defeated Sabalenka in six out of nine meetings
- Half of Swiatek’s victories against Sabalenka have been on clay
- Swiatek has won the last six tour finals she has played
- Sabalenka has lost six of the last 10 tour finals she has contested
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Our Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction
Our prediction for Iga Swiatek v Aryna Sabalenka is for Swiatek to win. Swiatek has the upper hand in this fixture having defeated Sabalenka six times in nine meetings. Half of her wins have been on clay and two have been championship matches. It is also worth noting that Swiatek has won the last six finals she has played.
Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka - Other Interesting Predictions
Match to have three sets
As a second prediction, we will go for all three sets to be played here. Sabalenka and Swiatek battled in the Madrid final last year with the former winning in three sets. This is most likely to replay itself considering that both players have been in excellent form this year. Both players have also at least once in Madrid played a three-set match.
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Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Saturday 4 May and will serve off at 17:30 GMT
This match will be played at centre court at the La Caja Magica in Madrid, Spain.
Sky Sports will have this final live for fans in the UK while Polsat will do the same for fans in Poland. For live minute-by-minute updates, check out Sportytrader.
These two players have battled each other nine times thus far in their careers with Swiatek winning six times.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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