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WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA 2 Poland
Iga Swiatek
04 May 2024 12:30
WTA 1 Russia
Aryna Sabalenka

Prediction :

Iga Swiatek wins the match

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Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Top seed Iga Swiatek and second seed Aryna Sabalenka will battle once again in the WTA Mutua Madrid Open final. These two squared off in last year’s final with Sabalenka winning in three sets. This will be the 10th time these two are going head to head and the fourth time in a championship match.

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The Best Betting Odds for Iga Swiatek v Aryna Sabalenka Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.3 3.5
NetBet
1.25 3.45
Betwinner
1.3 3.5
Melbet
1.34 3.24
Tonybet
1.29 3.6
Check all Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka odds
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Who will win the Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka game on 04/05/2024 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Iga Swiatek has a 66.43% chance to win against Aryna Sabalenka according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.34.
  • Aryna Sabalenka has a 33.57% probability of winning facing Iga Swiatek ⭐ with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Iga Swiatek has a 66.43 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Iga Swiatek66.43 %
Aryna Sabalenka33.57 %

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Form

Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka Last Matches

Iga Swiatek Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

2 May 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Madison Keys

30 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  1
Beatriz Haddad Maia

29 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Sara Sorribes Tormo

27 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Sorana Cirstea

25 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Xiyu Wang

20 Apr 2024 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Elena Rybakina
Aryna Sabalenka Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

2 May 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Elena Rybakina
1 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

1 May 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Mirra Andreeva
0 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

29 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Danielle Collins
1 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

28 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Robin Montgomery
1 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

26 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Magda Linette
1 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

19 Apr 2024 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Marketa Vondrousova
2 :  1
Aryna Sabalenka

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Iga Swiatek

50 %

Aryna Sabalenka

50 %

23 Dec 2023 - World Tennis League, Men Singles

Iga Swiatek
0 :  1
Aryna Sabalenka

4 Nov 2023 - WTA Finals

Aryna Sabalenka
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

6 May 2023 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

23 Apr 2023 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Aryna Sabalenka

6 Nov 2022 - WTA Finals

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

8 Sep 2022 - WTA US Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  1
Aryna Sabalenka

Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka: Form Analysis

Iga Swiatek is seeking revenge after losing last year’s final in three sets. It was the first time she had made the final in Madrid in what was her second appearance. Swiatek, who has compiled an impressive 31-4 record this season, has won six times against Sabalenka. Half of her wins have come on clay with two being championship matches in Stuttgart. The world number one defeated 18th seed Madison Keys in the semi-finals. She dropped just four games to the American as she registered her fourth straight sets victory in this year’s edition. Swiatek, a 19-time tour champion, has advanced to her 24th career final and third this year. She has won the last six finals she has contested.

Aryna Sabalenka had lost the two finals between her and Swiatek before her triumph in Madrid last season. It was an excellent result against a player who has had the upper hand against her. As the defending champion, she will arrive for this fixture confident of getting the job done again. Sabalenka is having a strong season and has compiled a 20-5 record. She has contested two finals and was triumphant in Melbourne where she defended her title. The Belarussian has however not been as dominant in championship matches as Swiatek. She has lost 12 of 26 finals with four being on clay. The 25-year-old defeated fourth seed Elena Rybakina in three sets in the semi-finals. It was the fourth time in five matches in the tournament that she had needed a decider to win. Sabalenka is a two-time Madrid champion and will tie the record for most titles here with victory against Swiatek.

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Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka Key Points

  1. Swiatek has defeated Sabalenka in six out of nine meetings
  2. Half of Swiatek’s victories against Sabalenka have been on clay
  3. Swiatek has won the last six tour finals she has played
  4. Sabalenka has lost six of the last 10 tour finals she has contested
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Our Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction

Our prediction for Iga Swiatek v Aryna Sabalenka is for Swiatek to win. Swiatek has the upper hand in this fixture having defeated Sabalenka six times in nine meetings. Half of her wins have been on clay and two have been championship matches. It is also worth noting that Swiatek has won the last six finals she has played.

Prediction :

Iga Swiatek wins the match

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Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka - Other Interesting Predictions

Match to have three sets

Odds 2.6

As a second prediction, we will go for all three sets to be played here. Sabalenka and Swiatek battled in the Madrid final last year with the former winning in three sets. This is most likely to replay itself considering that both players have been in excellent form this year. Both players have also at least once in Madrid played a three-set match.

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Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka match : Frequently asked questions

This match will be played on Saturday 4 May and will serve off at 17:30 GMT

This match will be played at centre court at the La Caja Magica in Madrid, Spain.

Sky Sports will have this final live for fans in the UK while Polsat will do the same for fans in Poland. For live minute-by-minute updates, check out Sportytrader.

These two players have battled each other nine times thus far in their careers with Swiatek winning six times.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction
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