Xavier Musketeers vs Illinois Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball

USA - NCAA Basketball

Xavier Musketeers
3/21/25 21:45
Illinois

Prediction:

 

Xavier +3.5

-118
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Basketball Picks

Another one of the intriguing first-round games on Friday will see the 11th-seeded Xavier Musketeers take on the 6th-seeded Illinois Fighting Illini in the Midwest Region. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this first-round game between the Musketeers and Fighting Illini.

Xavier enters this game with a record of 22-11. The Musketeers have already played a game in this tournament, beating Texas in the First Four round on Wednesday night. Xavier was down by 8 points at halftime and by as many as 10 in the second half before mounting a rally which allowed them to close the gap and pull away with an 86-80 win. Further, the Musketeers had 5 players score at least 10 points, showing they are a very balanced team this season. 

As for Illinois, they enter this game with a record of 21-12, earning an at-large bid into the NCAA tournament. The Fighting Illini beat Iowa in the second round of the Big Ten tournament before losing to Maryland in the Big Ten quarterfinals. This will be Illinois’ 35th NCAA tournament appearance and their 5th consecutive appearance.

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Xavier Musketeers vs Illinois Form

Xavier Musketeers and Illinois Latest Matches

Xavier Musketeers
Xavier Musketeers Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 19, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Xavier Musketeers
86 :  80
Texas

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Marquette
89 :  87
Xavier Musketeers

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Providence Friars
68 :  76
Xavier Musketeers

Mar 5, 2025 - NCAA Men

Xavier Musketeers
91 :  78
Butler Bulldogs

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Creighton
61 :  83
Xavier Musketeers

Feb 23, 2025 - NCAA Men

Xavier Musketeers
73 :  66
Seton Hall Pirates
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Marquette
89 :  87
Xavier Musketeers

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Providence Friars
68 :  76
Xavier Musketeers

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Creighton
61 :  83
Xavier Musketeers

Feb 18, 2025 - NCAA Men

Butler Bulldogs
63 :  76
Xavier Musketeers

Feb 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

DePaul Blue Demons
68 :  85
Xavier Musketeers

Feb 4, 2025 - NCAA Men

Georgetown Hoyas
69 :  74
Xavier Musketeers
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 19, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Xavier Musketeers
86 :  80
Texas

Mar 5, 2025 - NCAA Men

Xavier Musketeers
91 :  78
Butler Bulldogs

Feb 23, 2025 - NCAA Men

Xavier Musketeers
73 :  66
Seton Hall Pirates

Feb 12, 2025 - NCAA Men

Xavier Musketeers
91 :  82
Providence Friars

Feb 9, 2025 - NCAA Men

Xavier Musketeers
68 :  80
Villanova Wildcats

Jan 29, 2025 - NCAA Men

Xavier Musketeers
77 :  86
Creighton
Illinois
Illinois Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
65 :  88
Maryland Terrapins

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Iowa Hawkeyes
94 :  106
Illinois

Mar 7, 2025 - NCAA Men

Purdue
80 :  88
Illinois

Mar 2, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
93 :  73
Michigan Wolverines

Feb 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

Iowa Hawkeyes
61 :  81
Illinois

Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
67 :  110
Duke
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Iowa Hawkeyes
94 :  106
Illinois

Mar 7, 2025 - NCAA Men

Purdue
80 :  88
Illinois

Feb 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

Iowa Hawkeyes
61 :  81
Illinois

Feb 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
79 :  65
Illinois

Feb 11, 2025 - NCAA Men

UCLA Bruins
78 :  83
Illinois

Feb 2, 2025 - NCAA Men

Ohio State Buckeyes
79 :  87
Illinois
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
65 :  88
Maryland Terrapins

Mar 2, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
93 :  73
Michigan Wolverines

Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
67 :  110
Duke

Feb 18, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
74 :  95
Wisconsin

Feb 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
95 :  74
Minnesota Golden Gophers

Feb 5, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
73 :  82
Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Xavier Musketeers - Illinois Key Points

  1. Xavier is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Xavier 15-4-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs the Big Ten
  3. Xavier is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
  4. Xavier is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs the Big East
Up to $200 to bet on Xavier Musketeers - Illinois! 

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Our Xavier Musketeers vs Illinois Prediction

Despite Illinois being the small favorite, this game looks to be evenly matched. The Fighting Illini holds the edge in scoring offense, averaging 83.8 points per game, compared to Xavier, who averages about 78 points per game.

That being said, the Musketeers have the better defense, allowing 71.1 points per game, compared to Illinois, who allows 74.6 points per game. The area that may end up being the difference in this matchup is three-point shooting. The Fighting Illini are 322nd in the country, shooting 31.1% from long range, while Xavier are the sixth best three-point shooting team at 39.1%.

Taking Xavier’s clear edge at shooting into account and the fact that they have already played a game in this tournament, our Xavier Musketeers vs Illinois Fighting Illini prediction is Xavier +3.5.

Prediction:

 

Xavier +3.5

-118
$200 offered for betting!

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Xavier Musketeers vs Illinois Picks
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