USA vs Brazil Prediction & Picks - Men's Olympic Tournament
by Lou Aguila | in Basketball Picks
After sweeping the preliminary stages, Team USA is locked in a win-or-go-home battle with Brazil in the quarterfinals of the men's basketball competition at the 2024 Paris Olympics. The United States men's basketball team entered this tournament for one goal and one goal only, and that is to win the gold medal, restoring their domination in the world of basketball. So far so good for the Americans, who routed their first three opponents by an average winning margin of 21.3 points. On the other hand, Brazil made it to the last eight by being one of the two best third-place finisher along with Greece in group play. The South Americans punched their tickets into the knockout stages by defeating Japan 102-84 in their final preliminary match. Brazil is also searching for their first medal in men's basketball since winning bronze at the 1964 Tokyo Olympics.
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USA vs Brazil Form
USA and Brazil Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Aug 3, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 31, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 28, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 22, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 20, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 17, 2024 - International Friendly Games
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 7, 2024 - Olympic Games, Qualification Playoffs
Jul 6, 2024 - Olympic Games, Qualification Playoffs
Jul 4, 2024 - Olympic Games, Qualification Playoffs
USA against Brazil : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Feb 26, 2023 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A
Nov 11, 2022 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A
Sep 9, 2019 - Basketball World Cup
USA - Brazil: Form Analysis
Team USA finished with a 3-0 record in Group C, averaging 105.7 points per game on 65.5% true shooting. The Americans have also imposed their presence in the interior, grabbing 40.3 rebounds and swatting 5.3 shots per contest. Team Brazil went 2-1 in Group B and scored an average of 80.3 points across three games. They have properly utilized their height and bulk to their advantage as they have emerged from group play as one of the best rebounding teams in the competition at 36.3 rebounds per contest. Team USA averages 85.67 possessions per 40 minute of basketball action while Brazil averages 75.27.
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Players list
Substitutes
USA & Brazil Squad Analysis
Despite not playing a single exhibition game in the lead up to Paris due to a calf injury, Kevin Durant has dazzled with Team USA, averaging 16.0 points per game. Anthony Edwards has led the way in the scoring department with 16.7 points per game while LeBron James has been an all-around maestro with 14.3 points, 6.7 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game. As for Brazil, Vitor Benite stands as their leading scorer with 14.3 points per game. Former NBA player Bruno Coboclo averages 13 points and 7.3 rebounds per game, while 25-year-old playmaker Yago Santos provides around 6 assists per contest.
USA - Brazil Key Points
- LeBron James is averaging 14.3 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 7.3 assists in the Olympics.
- Stephen Curry knocked down five treys throughout the Olympic tournament.
- Team USA has an average winning margin of 21 points.
- Team USA is given a -27.0 point spread on Caesars Sportsbook.
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Our USA vs Brazil Prediction
Although Team USA did not cover the -35.5-point spread in their last game against Puerto Rico, I am pretty sure the Americans decided not to exert maximum effort in their final group game, knowing that they already had the No.1 seed in the knockout stages in the bag. Against Brazil, expect the Americans to come out of the gates aggressively as they look to build a commanding lead against Brazil as early as possible. In the end, I predict team USA to cruise to a comfortable 30+ win, punching their ticket into the semis. Our betting prediction for Team USA vs. Brazil: Bet on USA to cover a -27.0 spread, -115, at Caesars Sportsbook.
USA vs Brazil - Other Interesting Picks
James will go UNDER 27.5 on points + rebounds + assists.
LeBron James will stuff the stats sheet again in this quarterfinal matchup with Brazil. The Lakers star has been an all-around virtuoso in the tourney, averaging 14.3 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 7.3 assists per game in three games. Brazil doesn't have a player big and agile enough to contain King James at age 40. However, a prop of 27.5 points on combined points, rebounds, and assists may be a bit far out of reach for James, given the fact that the USA is stacked with talent who can also score, grab boards and facilitate. Our betting prediction: James will go UNDER 27.5 on points + rebounds + assists, -130, at DraftKings.
Steph Curry Over 2.5 3-Points
Stephen Curry is going to a good night shooting beyond the three-point line against Brazil, and here's why. South Sudan's length proved to be a problem for Curry, who went 0-for-6 in that game. He came back draining two treys against Puerto Rico, but we still didn't see a Steph Curry showtime from the three-point area yet. That spectacle could take place against Brazil as the Americans will look for him more to destroy the Brazil's interior defense and space out the floor for their slashers. Our betting prediction for Team USA vs Brazil: Steph Curry Over 2.5 3-Points, -145, at DraftKings.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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