06 July 2024 - 21:00 

- QF

South America - Copa America

Uruguay
VS
Brazil

Prediction:

Draw

Odds : +205

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Uruguay vs Brazil Prediction & Picks - Copa America

 by Simon Day | in Copa America Picks

The final quarter final of the 2024 Copa America is a mouthwatering clash between Uruguay and Brazil. Uruguay have been in imperious form so far, winning all three of their group games by a combined score of nine goals to one. Aside from their fantastic results, Marcelo Biesla's men have been receiving rave reviews for their fluent, attacking play and creativity. All of a sudden, they are among the favorites to lift the title. Standing in their way is a Brazilian side yet to hit top form. Their passage to the last eight was secured thanks to a 4-1 victory over a poor Paraguay side, but they will have to improve considerably if they want to win the Copa for a tenth time.
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Uruguay vs Brazil Form

Uruguay and Brazil Latest Matches

Uruguay
Uruguay Latest matches
L D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

Jul 1, 2024 - Copa America

USA
0 :  1
Uruguay

Jun 27, 2024 - Copa America

Uruguay
5 :  0
Bolivia

Jun 23, 2024 - Copa America

Uruguay
3 :  1
Panama

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  4
Uruguay

May 31, 2024 - International Friendlies

Costa Rica
0 :  0
Uruguay

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Uruguay
1 :  2
Ivory Coast
Brazil
Brazil Latest matches
D W D D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

Jul 2, 2024 - Copa America

Brazil
1 :  1
Colombia

Jun 28, 2024 - Copa America

Paraguay
1 :  4
Brazil

Jun 24, 2024 - Copa America

Brazil
0 :  0
Costa Rica

Jun 12, 2024 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  1
Brazil

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Brazil

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Spain
3 :  3
Brazil

Uruguay against Brazil : Head to Head (H2H)

Uruguay

25 %

Draw

0 %

Brazil

75 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
25%
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.75
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.75
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%

Oct 17, 2023 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  0
Brazil

Oct 14, 2021 - World Cup

Brazil
4 :  1
Uruguay

Nov 17, 2020 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  2
Brazil

Nov 16, 2018 - International Friendlies

Brazil
1 :  0
Uruguay

Uruguay - Brazil: Form Analysis

Uruguay are on a four match winning run, scoring 13 goals and conceding just one in those games. They have now won eight and drawn two of their 12 matches since Marcelo Biesla took over as manager. Along with Argentina, Uruguay hold the record for the most Copa America titles. They have picked up the trophy on 15 occasions, most recently in 2011, when they defeated Paraguay 3-0 in the final. However, in the four tournaments since then, they have failed to make it past the quarter final stage. 

Brazil are undefeated in their last seven games, although four of those have ended in draws. Prior to that, they had lost three consecutive World Cup qualification games, leaving them in sixth place in the South American standings and in serious danger of missing out on the 2026 tournament. Brazil have won the Copa America on nine occasions, most recently in 2019. At the 2021 tournament, they made it all the way to the final, before losing 1-0 to Argentina. They have also won the World Cup a record five times, although it has been 22 years since they last lifted the trophy. 

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Uruguay against Brazil Lineups: Starting 11

Uruguay

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
S. Rochet
8
N. Nandez
4
R. Araujo
16
M. Olivera
17
M. Vina
15
F. Valverde
5
M. Ugarte
7
N. De La Cruz
11
F. Pellistri
19
D. Nunez
20
M. Araujo
10
Rodrygo
9
Endrick
11
Raphinha
15
J. Gomes
8
L. Paqueta
5
B. Guimaraes
16
G. Arana
4
Marquinhos
3
E. Militao
2
Danilo
1
Alisson

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Brazil

Missing players

Uruguay
Uruguay
Midfielder

M. Ugarte

Forward

M. Araujo

Brazil
Brazil
Forward

V. Junior

Uruguay & Brazil Squad Analysis

Uruguay are likely to be unchanged from the eleven that eased to a 0-1 victory over the United States in their final group game. That means Darwin Nunez (two goals in three games) will lead the attack, with the likes of Maximiliano Araújo and Federico Valverde providing support from midfield. At the other end of the pitch, goalkeeper Sergio Rochet has been in fine form, conceding just one goal in the three group games. 

Possible starting eleven: Rochet; Nandez, R. Araujo, Olivera, Olaza; Ugarte, Valverde; Pellistri, De Arrascaeta, M. Araujo; Nunez

Brazil declined the chance to rest some key players for their final group game (a 1-1 draw with Columbia). Therefore, the likes of Vinicius Junior, Allison, Rodrygo and Damilo have played all three games so far. Despite Savio and Endrick pushing hard for starting places, manager Dorival Júnior is unlikely to make any changes from the eleven that started the final group game.

Possible starting eleven: Alisson; Danilo, Militao, Marquinhos, Arana; Guimaraes, Luiz; Raphinha, Paqueta, Rodrygo; Junior

Uruguay - Brazil Key Points

  1. Brazil have won 4 of their last 5 v Uruguay
  2. Uruguay have conceded once in their last 4 games
  3. Brazil have drawn 4 of their last 7
  4. Both sides are unbeaten in the tournament
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Our Uruguay vs Brazil Prediction

The bookmakers cannot call this game and have both teams priced at around 2.70 for the win. Whilst Uruguay have been playing the better football in the tournament thus far, it is impossible to ignore the incredible quality in the Brazilian lineup. Any team with players such as Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo and Lucas Paqueta in their ranks are capable of beating anyone on their day. It all points towards a close game, which makes calling a winner virtually impossible. With that in mind, our prediction for Uruguay vs Brazil is: Draw, +205 at BetMGM.

Prediction:

Draw

Odds : +205

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Uruguay vs Brazil - Other Interesting Picks

Lucas Paqueta first goalscorer

Lucas Paqueta has been one of the better performers for Brazil so far. He scored in the 4-1 victory over Paraguay and came close to finding the net in both of the other group games. He is also Brazil's designated penalty taker, which makes his first scorer odds of 12.50 seem very attractive.

Over 2.5 goals

Uruguay are averaging three goals per game in the tournament, whilst Brazil have a multitude of attacking options at their disposal. In all adds up to an exciting game, that should feature plenty of goalmouth action. Odds of 2.30 on there being over 2 goals in the game seem very generous, so don't miss out.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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Uruguay vs Brazil Picks