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USA - NCAA Basketball

UC San Diego Tritons
3/20/25 21:00
Michigan Wolverines

Prediction:

 

UC San Diego +2.5

-110
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UC San Diego Tritons vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball

 by Matt Lowrimore | in Basketball Picks

One of the late games in the first round on Thursday will feature the 12th-seeded UC San Diego Tritons and the 5th-seeded Michigan Wolverines. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this first-round game between the Tritons and the Wolverines in the South Region.

UC San Diego enters this game with a record 30-4, earning their NCAA tournament bid by winning the Big West tournament title. The Tritons beat Santa Barbara in the Big West Semifinals and UC Irvine in the Big West final. This will be UC San Diego’s first-ever NCAA tournament appearance in program history.

As for Michigan, they enter this game with a record of 25-9, earning their automatic bid into the NCAA tournament by winning the Big Ten. The Wolverines beat Purdue in the Big ten quarterfinals, Maryland in the Big Ten semifinals, and Wisconsin in the Big Ten final. This will be Michigan’s 33rd NCAA tournament appearance and first since 2022.

UC San Diego Tritons vs Michigan Wolverines Form

UC San Diego Tritons and Michigan Wolverines Latest Matches

UC San Diego Tritons
UC San Diego Tritons Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC Irvine Anteaters
61 :  75
UC San Diego Tritons

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
51 :  69
UC San Diego Tritons

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC San Diego Tritons
68 :  57
UC Davis Aggies

Mar 6, 2025 - NCAA Men

Long Beach State Beach
63 :  70
UC San Diego Tritons

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Cal State Fullerton Titans
55 :  100
UC San Diego Tritons

Feb 27, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC San Diego Tritons
77 :  71
Cal State Northridge Matadors
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC Irvine Anteaters
61 :  75
UC San Diego Tritons

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
51 :  69
UC San Diego Tritons

Mar 6, 2025 - NCAA Men

Long Beach State Beach
63 :  70
UC San Diego Tritons

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Cal State Fullerton Titans
55 :  100
UC San Diego Tritons

Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
44 :  83
UC San Diego Tritons

Feb 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC Davis Aggies
60 :  85
UC San Diego Tritons
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC San Diego Tritons
68 :  57
UC Davis Aggies

Feb 27, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC San Diego Tritons
77 :  71
Cal State Northridge Matadors

Feb 20, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC San Diego Tritons
81 :  67
Cal Poly Mustangs

Feb 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC San Diego Tritons
73 :  54
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Feb 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC San Diego Tritons
85 :  67
UC Irvine Anteaters

Jan 30, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC San Diego Tritons
74 :  63
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 16, 2025 - NCAA Men

Wisconsin
53 :  59
Michigan Wolverines

Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan Wolverines
81 :  80
Maryland Terrapins

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

Purdue
68 :  86
Michigan Wolverines

Mar 9, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan Wolverines
62 :  79
Michigan St.

Mar 5, 2025 - NCAA Men

Maryland Terrapins
71 :  65
Michigan Wolverines

Mar 2, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
93 :  73
Michigan Wolverines
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 16, 2025 - NCAA Men

Wisconsin
53 :  59
Michigan Wolverines

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

Purdue
68 :  86
Michigan Wolverines

Mar 5, 2025 - NCAA Men

Maryland Terrapins
71 :  65
Michigan Wolverines

Mar 2, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
93 :  73
Michigan Wolverines

Feb 27, 2025 - NCAA Men

Rutgers Scarlet Knights
82 :  84
Michigan Wolverines

Feb 21, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
75 :  62
Michigan Wolverines
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan Wolverines
81 :  80
Maryland Terrapins

Mar 9, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan Wolverines
62 :  79
Michigan St.

Feb 24, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan Wolverines
49 :  46
Nebraska Cornhuskers

Feb 16, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan Wolverines
86 :  83
Ohio State Buckeyes

Feb 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan Wolverines
70 :  67
Indiana Hoosiers

Feb 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan Wolverines
66 :  63
Rutgers Scarlet Knights

UC San Diego Tritons - Michigan Wolverines Key Points

  1. UCSD is 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games
  2. UCSD is 10-0 SU in their last 10 games
  3. UCSD is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog
  4. Michigan is 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite

Our UC San Diego Tritons vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction

Although Michigan has improved its play recently, they still are not a team to trust in the NCAA tournament. The Wolverines have not played well recently when they are a favorite, which is the situation in this first round game.

Further, UC San Diego loves the underdog role, having covered in their last 6 games in this situation. They have one of the country’s best scoring defenses, allowing an average of 61.6 points per game. Offensively, the Tritons and Wolverines have similar numbers with UC San Diego averaging 79.9 points per game and the Wolverines averaging 78.7 points per game. 

There is no denying that Michigan has played much tougher competition but even knowing this, the Tritons’ defense should have plenty of success at slowing down Michigan. Because of this, our UC San Diego Tritons vs Michigan Wolverines prediction is UC San Diego +2.5.

Prediction:

 

UC San Diego +2.5

-110
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UC San Diego Tritons vs Michigan Wolverines Picks