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Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks - NBA
by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks
Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat look for a solid finish to their regular-season campaign when they face the Toronto Raptors in Game 1 of a back-to-back on Friday at 8:00 p.m. US EST at Kaseya Center.
The Heat realized they would be participating in the play-in round when they lost to the Dallas Mavericks, 92-111, on April 10.
Now it's all about generating momentum and regaining that winning attitude for Miami, who will finish the regular season with a pair of home games against the Raptors.
Jimmy Butler, the major protagonist of the Heat's recent historic playoff runs, is looking to rebound off a 12-point performance against the Mavericks. This season, the Heat star is averaging 21.0 points on a 49.5 FG%, which looks to be the rationale for bookmakers to modify their total points props to over or under 21.0 points.
The Raptors, who are 5-1 ATS in their previous six games versus Miami, will rely on Ochai Agbachi and Jordan Nwora to contain a high-caliber player like Butler, while crucial players Scottie Barnes and RJ Barrett have already taken an early vacation.
Butler averaged 17.5 points and 48.1 FG% in his two games against the Raptors.
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Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.561 | 82 | 46 | 36 | 2 |
|
12
|
0.305 | 82 | 25 | 57 | -4 |
Toronto Raptors and Miami Heat Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
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Toronto Raptors against Miami Heat : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat Key Points
- Jimmy Butler averaged 17.5 points on 48.1 FG% in the two games this season vs. the Raptors
- Toronto are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games.
- Miami are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Miami are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto.
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Our Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction
Butler should start aggressively and capitalize on the Raptors' mismatch. With the play-in tournament approaching, Erik Spoelstra will want to limit his star's activity to manage exhaustion and avoid injury before the major games. That being said, I believe Butler will still score more than 20 points because the Raptors cannot provide a stronger defense for him.
Our betting pick for Raptors vs. Heat: Jimmy Butler to score over 20.5 points at DraftKings.
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