Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4/9/25 19:00
Tampa Bay Lightning

Prediction:

 

Total Goals in the 1st Period - Under 1.5

-105
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 by Edgar Jibran | in NHL Picks

Two of the most competitive teams in the Eastern Conference like Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs will clash next Wednesday at 05:00 pm CST with the clear objective of winning to ensure keeping within the top 4 of the Conference, spots that could provide them with an advantage for the playoffs. In this regard, playing their second consecutive away game in less than 24 hours will be a very difficult challenge that could prepare them for the playoffs.

With that in mind, it isn’t surprising to have Tampa Bay Lightning as the big favorite to win according to the bookmakers’ odds, however their recent losses against Ottawa Senators and Buffalo Sabres are a clear symptom of irregularity that must be eradicated just before the playoffs begin. Most of that process must be managed by their head coach, who must implement offensive tactics like those used during their victory over NY Rangers (1-5).

Meanwhile, Toronto Maple Leafs lost a streak of 4 victories in a row after their 3-1 loss against Florida Panthers, a result that have the Maple Leafs under big pressure to avoid losing the second spot of the Eastern Conference, as well as the Divisional championship. Another important fact to note is that they conceded more than 3 goals for the first time since their 6-5 overtime loss to San Jose Sharks.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
108 82 52 30 37
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
102 82 47 35 75

Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning Latest Matches

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 8, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
1 :  3
Florida Panthers

Apr 5, 2025 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
0 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 2, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 30, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  2
Anaheim Ducks

Mar 29, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  1
Los Angeles Kings

Mar 27, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  6
San Jose Sharks
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 5, 2025 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
0 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 2, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 25, 2025 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
2 :  7
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 19, 2025 - NHL

Colorado Avalanche
1 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 17, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
2 :  6
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 15, 2025 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
4 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 8, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
1 :  3
Florida Panthers

Mar 30, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  2
Anaheim Ducks

Mar 29, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  1
Los Angeles Kings

Mar 27, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  6
San Jose Sharks

Mar 22, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  5
Nashville Predators

Mar 20, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  3
New York Rangers
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 7, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
5 :  1
New York Rangers

Apr 5, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  3
Buffalo Sabres

Apr 3, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
1 :  2
Ottawa Senators

Apr 1, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  1
New York Islanders

Mar 29, 2025 - NHL

New York Islanders
3 :  5
Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 27, 2025 - NHL

Utah Hockey Club
0 :  8
Tampa Bay Lightning
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 29, 2025 - NHL

New York Islanders
3 :  5
Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 27, 2025 - NHL

Utah Hockey Club
0 :  8
Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 25, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
1 :  6
Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 17, 2025 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
0 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 8, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
4 :  0
Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 6, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
5 :  6
Tampa Bay Lightning
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 7, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
5 :  1
New York Rangers

Apr 5, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  3
Buffalo Sabres

Apr 3, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
1 :  2
Ottawa Senators

Apr 1, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  1
New York Islanders

Mar 23, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  4
Vegas Golden Knights

Mar 22, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  6
Utah Hockey Club

Toronto Maple Leafs against Tampa Bay Lightning : Head to Head (H2H)

Toronto Maple Leafs

67 %

Tampa Bay Lightning

33 %

Jan 20, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 30, 2024 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Oct 21, 2024 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 17, 2024 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  6
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 3, 2024 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 6, 2023 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
5 :  6
Toronto Maple Leafs

Players list

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
J. Woll A. Stolarz M. Rielly B. Carlo C. Tanev P. Myers O. Ekman-Larsson S. Benoit S. Laughton P. Holmberg W. Nylander M. Marner S. Lorentz M. Knies M. Domi J. Tavares N. Robertson A. Matthews B. McMann C. Jarnkrok
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
J. Johansson A. Vasilevskiy R. McDonagh V. Hedman J. Moser E. Lilleberg D. Raddysh E. Cernak N. Perbix Y. Gourde B. Point G. Goncalves A. Cirelli Z. Girgensons N. Kucherov N. Paul O. Bjorkstrand L. Glendening M. Chaffee B. Hagel

Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning Key Points

  1. Tampa Bay Lightning at home holds a streak of 4 victories in a row, scoring 5 or more goals during their last 3 games.
  2. Toronto Maple Leafs lost a streak of 2 victories in a row after their most recent loss against Florida Panthers (3-1).
  3. Tampa Bay Lightning at home in direct duels against Toronto Maple Leafs, won only 1 out of their last 10 confrontations.
  4. Toronto Maple Leafs in face-to-face away games against Tampa Bay Lightning, scored 4 or more goals during their last 2 confrontations in a row.

Our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

To conclude, this game will be one of the most important of the season for both teams, so even though Tampa Bay Lightning could be considered as the team with an advantage, the reality is that Toronto Maple Leafs is expected to carry on its amazing defensive performance. Therefore, the pick for Tampa Bay Lightning – Toronto Maple Leafs is: Total Goals in the 1st Period – Under 1.5!

Prediction:

 

Total Goals in the 1st Period - Under 1.5

-105
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks