Tomas Machac vs Yosuke Watanuki Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells

ATP - ATP Indian Wells

ATP 21 Czech Republic
Tomas Machac
3/7/25 22:15
ATP 214 Japan
Yosuke Watanuki

Prediction:

 

Yosuke Watanuki will cover +4.5 games

-140
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Indian Wells Picks

Tomas Machac of the Czech Republic will try to build on his title-winning run in Acapulco, kicking off his campaign at Indian Wells against Yosuke Watanuki of Japan on Friday. Machac is fresh off winning his first ATP Tour title after ruling the 2025 Acapulco Open. The Czech defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in straight sets 7-6(6) 6-2 to cap his impressive run in Mexico that saw him also beating American rising stars Learner Tien 6-3 7-5 and Brandon Nakashima 6-4 1-6 6-4. Watanuki have strung up three consecutive victories to reach the second round of the 2025 Indian Wells Open. His latest win came at the expense of Alexander Bublik of Kazakhstan 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the first round. The Japanese did a terrific job holding his serves, scoring 37 points off his first serves and 18 off his second while firing 13 aces. The win improved Watanuki’s record to 7-4 in the season.

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Tomas Machac vs Yosuke Watanuki Form

Tomas Machac and Yosuke Watanuki Latest Matches

Tomas Machac Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 1, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Tomas Machac
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Feb 28, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Tomas Machac
2 :  1
Brandon Nakashima

Feb 27, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Learner Tien
0 :  2
Tomas Machac

Feb 26, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Daniel Altmaier
0 :  2
Tomas Machac

Feb 24, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Jakub Mensik
1 :  2
Tomas Machac

Feb 7, 2025 - Dallas Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Tomas Machac
Yosuke Watanuki Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 5, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
1 :  2
Yosuke Watanuki

Mar 4, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Yosuke Watanuki
2 :  0
Rudy Quan

Mar 3, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Mattia Bellucci
0 :  2
Yosuke Watanuki

Feb 22, 2025 - ATP Dubai Open

Yosuke Watanuki
0 :  2
Pavel Kotov

Feb 15, 2025 - ATP Qatar Open

Christopher O'Connell
2 :  1
Yosuke Watanuki

Feb 10, 2025 - ATP Marseille

Yosuke Watanuki
0 :  2
Arthur Gea
Compare Tomas Machac and Yosuke Watanuki with our comparison tool.

Tomas Machac - Yosuke Watanuki Key Points

  1. Tomas Machac won the 2025 Acapulco Open.
  2. Tomas Machac has a 12-4 record in the 2025 season.
  3. Yosuke Watanuki defeated Alexander Bublik 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the first round of the 2025 Indian Wells Open.
  4. Yosuke Watanuki has a 7-4 record in the 2025 season.
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Our Tomas Machac vs Yosuke Watanuki Prediction

Tomas Machac marches into his second-round match with a lot of momentum behind him, but so does Watanuki who recorded a big win over a former top-20 player Alexander Bublik. Machac has a 69.2 percent win rate on hard courts and 3-0 in second-round matches, making him the overwhelming favorite for an outright win. However, I wouldn’t discount Watanuki’s capacity to make this an interesting match. If Watanuki can replicate the kind of serves he launched against Bublik in the first round, then I feel like he got a chance to pull off a stunner or even cover the spread at the very least. Our betting prediction for Tomas Machac vs. Yosuke Watanuki: Watanuki will cover +4.5 games.

Prediction:

 

Yosuke Watanuki will cover +4.5 games

-140
$200 offered for betting!

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Tomas Machac vs Yosuke Watanuki Picks
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