ATP - ATP Miami

ATP 25

Tomas Machac

26 Mar 2024 11:00

ATP 38

Matteo Arnaldi

Prediction:

Matteo Arnaldi to Win

+120

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Tomas Machac vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami

Prediction published on 3/25/24, 6:08 AM by Bradley Gibbs | Modified on 3/25/24 at 7:09 AM in ATP Miami Picks

On Tuesday, up-and-comer Matteo Arnaldi will continue his assault on the ATP event in Miami by taking on Tomas Machac. The Czech, who is the more experienced player, is the early favourite ahead of this clash, but I can't agree with that personally. Arnaldi has been in fine hard-court form recently and is very much a player on the up. At what can only be described as generous early odds of +120, I'm betting on the Italian to come out on top here.

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Tomas Machac vs Matteo Arnaldi Form

Tomas Machac and Matteo Arnaldi Latest Matches

Tomas Machac Latest matches

L W L W W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 24, 2024 - ATP Miami

Tomas Machac

2 : 1

Andy Murray

Mar 22, 2024 - ATP Miami

Andrey Rublev

0 : 2

Tomas Machac

Mar 20, 2024 - ATP Miami

Tomas Machac

2 : 0

Darwin Blanch

Mar 9, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Adrian Mannarino

2 : 0

Tomas Machac

Mar 7, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Stan Wawrinka

1 : 2

Tomas Machac

Feb 26, 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Alexander Bublik

2 : 1

Tomas Machac

Matteo Arnaldi Latest matches

L W L W W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 24, 2024 - ATP Miami

Matteo Arnaldi

2 : 0

Denis Shapovalov

Mar 23, 2024 - ATP Miami

Alexander Bublik

0 : 2

Matteo Arnaldi

Mar 20, 2024 - ATP Miami

Arthur Fils

0 : 2

Matteo Arnaldi

Mar 8, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Arnaldi

1 : 2

Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 6, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Luca Van Assche

0 : 2

Matteo Arnaldi

Feb 28, 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open

Ben Shelton

2 : 1

Matteo Arnaldi

Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points

Matteo Arnaldi has won each of his last three matches in straight sets.
Matteo Arnaldi has won each of his last two matches against lower-ranked opponents.
The only player to beat Arnaldi in the US recently is Carlos Alcaraz.
Matteo Arnaldi has an 80% win rate during his current US hard-court stint.

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Our Tomas Machac vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction

Listen, Tomas Machac is a very decent hard-court player and to be honest, he's better than an ATP ranking of 60th suggests. However, he's not infallible, while he had a very tough three-set match against Andy Murray yesterday, a match that contained two tie breaks. In contrast, Arnaldi beat Shapovalov in straight sets and thus probably has more left in the tank. What's more, it's hard to see how the Italian isn't getting a bit more respect in the early market. He's looked in fine form of late, with his only US hard-court loss coming against Alacaraz, and he won a set in that match. He's shown more than enough to suggest that winning a match of this nature is within his grasp, and at the current odds, that's exactly what I'm betting on him to do.

Prediction:

Matteo Arnaldi to Win

+120

$200 offered for betting!

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