2025 BNP Paribas Open Picks & Predictions

BNP Paribas Open 1000: Presentation & Predictions

The 2025 BNP Paribas Open is sure to be an action-packed tournament, providing plenty of excitement for your sports bets! Held from March 5th-16th, 2025 in California, the Masters 1000, also known as the Indian Wells Open, promises some great duels on the ten hard courts. After Carlos Alcaraz's two titles, who will win the trophy in 2025? Have you got an idea? Place your bets with our tennis predictions! 

Tournament Details

• Venue: BNP Paribas Open, California (United States)
• Dates: March 5th-16th 2025
• Surface: Hard
• Prize Money: TBD ($8,995,555 in 2024)
• The last winner: Carlos Alcaraz (Spain)

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Winner Prediction: who will win the BNP Paribas Open?

The battle promises to be fierce once again at the BNP Paribas Open tournament! Carlos Alcaraz is the logical favorite for the BNP Paribas Open 2025, as he has the opportunity to win a third consecutive title in the BNP Paribas Open. If he succeeds, he will equal the feat achieved by Novak Djokovic, the last player to win three titles in the Californian desert (2014-2016). The Serb, five-time winner of the tournament, should also be in the running despite his recent hamstring injury sustained at the Australian Open.

Among the other title contenders, Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, and Casper Ruud also have a chance of winning their first title at the BNP Paribas Open, while Taylor Fritz (American No.1) looks to be the country's best hope, having already won here in 2022. In fact, the step seems too high for his compatriots Tommy Paul, Ben Shelton, Frances Tiafoe and Sebastian Korda, who have more of a chance on the ATP 500, even if they are also looking for a big result on home soil.

However, our tennis experts favor Alcaraz, who has already proved his ability on the slow courts of the BNP Paribas Open. What's more, he will be able to take advantage of Sinner's absence and Djokovic's poorer form, perhaps to exact revenge for his defeat at the Australian Open. Alcaraz is our main candidate for victory, and he is well-motivated to make it three wins out of three. Our BNP Paribas Open prediction: Carlos Alcaraz wins!

BNP Paribas Open 2025 prediction: Title Odds

The BNP Paribas Open 2025 winner odds have not yet been released by the sports betting sites. Come back to this page a few days before the start of the tournament to find out. In the meantime, head over to FanDuel the sportsbook's tennis offer is well worth a visit!

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Our tips for betting on the 2025 BNP Paribas Open

Do you want to make the best possible predictions for BNP Paribas Open matches in 2025? Here are our top tips. Our tennis experts recommend that you apply them to your betting process for the best results. They could well make the difference between winning and losing at the sportsbooks:

• Analyze the players’ form
• Take court type into account
• Study the head-to-head history of the two players
• Look at players’ past results at BNP Paribas Open

Continue reading below to find below to find additional information on each bullet point: 

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Analyze the players' form 

There's no secret: the first tip is to analyze the form of the two players on the court. Take the time to consult the latest performances recorded by each player, both in terms of content and results. If, for example, a player has just won 5 matches without dropping a set, you can be sure that it would be better to avoid making predictions against him. And vice versa.

Take court type into account

The second important factor is the playing surface. In tennis, and especially at this level, the surface on which the match is played has a major influence on the results. A player with a good serve, for example, can shine on hard courts given the fast nature at which the ball travels, while a good defensive player will be relatively comfortable on clay. At the BNP Paribas Open, the hard court surface is used. Ideal for all-rounders and power players, it allows for exchanges that are both technical and fast.

Study the head-to-head history of the two players

Another important point is not to forget to look at the history of duels between the two players involved in your sports bet. Psychology is very important in tennis, and a player who has lost 3 times to his opponent in the same season may be suffering from an inferiority complex. Take a look at the results of recent duels played on the same surface as the one used at the BNP Paribas Open (Hard), as this will bring you closer to a more accurate prediction.

Look at players’ past results at the BNP Paribas Open

Another important point is not to forget to look at the history of duels between the two players involved in your sports bet. Psychology is very important in tennis, and a player who has lost 3 times to his opponent on the day may be suffering from an inferiority complex. Take a look at the results of recent duels played on the same surface as the one used in the BNP Paribas Open (Hard), as this will bring you closer to the truth.

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Look at the history of the BNP Paribas Open tournament

Fourth tip: don't forget to look at the players' recent performances in the tournament. For example, if a player has reached two semi-finals in a row at the BNP Paribas Open (or 2 victories like Alcaraz), you can be sure that he will be one to watch again this season. On the other hand, if a player has never made it past the third round despite his talent, it might be wise not to predict his victory. A player's affection for a tournament often plays an important role.

Taking stock of the ATP Race before the BNP Paribas Open

Finally, don't forget to take stock of the ATP rankings. As its name suggests, the BNP Paribas Open Masters 1000 puts 1,000 points at stake for the winner, which can make all the difference at the end of the season. A player who is aiming for a place in the Nitto ATP Finals, for example, or another who has the opportunity to break into the Top 3, will be more motivated than another who is not aiming for anything special this season. And in tennis, motivation always counts. Don't forget that titles are also decided in the mind, mentally.

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The statistics to know for your BNP Paribas Open predictions

To make the best possible predictions for the 2025 BNP Paribas Open tournament, it's useful to know the latest statistics recorded for the event. We’ve compiled the data from the 2024 edition which can point you in the right direction as to what to expect this year. Here are the most notable ones:

• Average number of games per match: 22.1 games
• Matches in two sets: 69%
• Three-set matches: 31%
• Matches where the winner won the 1st set: 82%
• Matches with a golden set (6-0): 5%
• Matches with a tie-break in the 1st set: 19%
• Matches with a tie-break in the 2nd set: 12%
• Matches with a tie-break in the 3rd set: 3% (10% of matches in 3 sets)

Among other things, it will be interesting to bet on the good odds of two-set matches when you think that a player will win in style, and therefore without conceding a set (around 7 out of 10 matches last year), and on the victory of the player who won the first set live (more than 8 out of 10 matches in 2024). With a bit of luck (of course, nothing is guaranteed), you can look forward to some nice winnings over the decade.

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In short: how do you make good predictions for the BNP Paribas Open?

When making your predictions for BNP Paribas Open 2025, keep in mind the format of the competition, the statistics presented, and the history of head-to-head meetings between the players.

Remember that this is a tournament played on a fast surface, which some players may not like. For this first Masters 1000 of the year, take all these aspects into account and think carefully before placing your bet on a sports betting site. Happy betting on BNP Paribas Open!

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Our betting tips on upcoming BNP Paribas Open matches

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

BNP Paribas Open: Betting Odds

Odds are not yet available for this competition.

All the images on this page come from the IMAGO website.