ATP Madrid Masters Picks & Predictions

On this page, you’ll find our predictions for this 2024 edition of the Madrid Masters tournament along with our expert tips for making your own tennis predictions. Loads of information about tennis betting, all for free!

ATP Madrid Masters - Predictions and Tournament Facts

Madrid Masters Picks and Predictions

Did a Madrid Masters tennis prediction pique your interest? This page has plenty of information tailored to the great Spanish tournament. Taking place from April 24th to May 5th, the Madrid Master’s 1000 will see the world's best clay players face off for the ultimate prize, including last year’s victor, hometown hero Carlos Alcaraz. Which players are favorites for this year’s Madrid Masters? Everything you need to know is on this page. 

Tournament Details

  • Venue: Madrid (Spain)
  • Dates: April 24th - May 5th
  • Surface: Clay 
  • Prize Money: $8,413,460
  • The last winner: Carlos Alcaraz (two-time title holder)

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Winner Prediction: Who will win the 2024 Madrid Masters?

Madrid Masters Winner Prediction - Tennis

Carlos Alcaraz, winner of the last two editions, could not prove invincible in Madrid this time. Just like Jannik Sinner (who withdrew), the top two seeds of the tournament saw their journey end in the quarterfinals. In our view, Andrey Rublev has a real opportunity to shine at this ATP Madrid 2024. It will be quite difficult for the competing players to defeat Rublev, who eliminated Alcaraz and seems always very comfortable on clay. Therefore, we recommend our Madrid Masters prediction: victory for Andrey Rublev! Do you agree with us? Place your bets!

Madrid Masters Prediction: Title Odds

  • Andrey Rublev +185
  • Daniil Medvedev +260
  • Taylor Fritz +430
  • Felix Auger-Aliassime +500
  • Jiri Lehecka +600

The odds have been taken from our international site, you can see the full version for yourself here!

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Our Madrid Masters Betting Tips

Madrid Masters Picks Tennis

In order to make the right predictions for the ATP Masters 1000 Madrid, there are a number of key factors in a tennis match that need to be analyzed. Here are the ones you need to work on before placing your bets according to our betting experts. The success of your Madrid 2024 Masters predictions undoubtedly depends on them.

Take into account the players' pre-Madrid form

First of all, you need to take into account the form of the two players facing each other. Take note of the last matches played, both in terms of form and context. In addition to the results in recent encounters (number of sets, number of games), look at the number of winning points scored, and the number of unforced errors or breaks conceded, for example. This will give you a good idea of the current form of both players before a match at this 2024 Madrid Masters.

Consider the playing surface in Madrid

The second most important aspect of your tennis betting in Madrid is the playing surface. Never forget that the surface of a court is of considerable importance in tennis. A player who thrives on clay won't perform as well on grass, indoors or outdoors. Every tennis player has his or her preferred playing conditions, with which he or she is most comfortable. In Madrid, clay is used for outdoor play. So it's best to bet on players who are used to shining on the Madrid surface.

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Study duel history (head-to-head)

Another tip from our experts before betting on the Madrid tennis tournament: determine which player has the psychological edge. In tennis, psychology plays a decisive role in the outcome of a match, since victories are often decided by mental strength. That's why it's a good idea to take a look at the last head-to-head meetings between the two players and determine which one is in the strongest position before the start of the match. In particular, the last duels played on clay should be taken into account, as this is the surface used in Madrid.

Analyze Spanish tournament history

The fourth factor to take into account when making your Madrid ATP prediction is the history of the players in the tournament. The crowd, the surface, the weather, the timing of the calendar... there are many aspects that determine whether or not a player enjoys a tennis competition. Every season, it's not uncommon to see the same players shine at a tournament, as Rafa Nadal did at Monte-Carlo or Roger Federer at Basel. If you want to be on the safe side with your bets this season, take a look at each player's recent performances at the Madrid Open. Even if he's the favorite on paper, a player who has never made it past the first round should be left out of your predictions.

Check the ATP rankings

The fifth major parameter to take into account is the current ATP ranking. As its name suggests, the Madrid Masters 1000 promises a thousand points to the winner. So it's no exaggeration to say that motivation will be present all the way to the end of the season once again, especially among players who are aiming to make a climb in rankings. Is a tennis player aiming to qualify for the ATP Finals at the end of the season? Number 1 in his country? His highest ranking ever? You can be sure he'll give it his all in the battle for Madrid. Don't forget that motivation counts for a lot in tennis, so it's also worth taking this ATP ranking into account for your tennis betting.

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Stats You Need to Know for Your Madrid Masters Predictions

ATP Madrid Masters Stats

Predicting a tennis tournament as accurately as possible also involves knowing the figures and statistics. To help you in your quest for winning bets this season, our experts have chosen to highlight the key figures for the Madrid Masters 1000. Here are the important stats from last year.

  • Average number of games per match: 24.8 games
  • Two-set matches: 57%
  • Three-set matches: 43%
  • Matches in which the winner won the 1st set: 79%
  • Matches with a golden set (6-0): 5%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 1st set: 27%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 2nd set: 24%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 3rd set: 12% (28% of three-set matches)

If you're unsure about your bet in a match between two players, don't hesitate to use these figures. They'll be particularly useful if you're in the habit of placing side bets on tennis (number of games, sets, exact score, etc.).

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In Short: How to make a good 2024 Madrid Masters prediction?

To make the best Madrid Masters picks, don't forget to take our experts' advice into account. Keep in mind the specifics of the tournament, as well as the most important statistics for your ATP 2024 Madrid predictions.

Look out for the players who are most in form, most comfortable on clay and who perform well in this category of tournaments, so you can make the most reliable bets on the competition. Happy Madrid Masters betting!

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Hot matches

08/09 2:00 PM
Jannik Sinner
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