2024 Nitto ATP Finals Picks & Predictions
Nitto ATP Finals 2024 Format and Predictions
The ATP Finals, formerly known as the Masters, is the last tournament of the ATP season. It is also the most prestigious following the four Grand Slam tournaments.
Held this season from November 10th to 17th, 2024 in Turin (Italy), the Nitto ATP Finals pit the top 8 players in the ATP rankings against each other, awarding up to 1,500 points to an undefeated champion. There are plenty of mouth-watering duels to predict, and plenty of tennis betting opportunities. Who will succeed two-time title-holder Novak Djokovic? SportyTrader is here to help with your tennis predictions.
Tournament details
- Venue: Pala Alpitour Stadium, Turin (Italy)
- Dates: November 10-17, 2024
- Surface: Hard (indoor)
- Prize Money: ($15,000,000 in 2023)
- Last winner: Novak Djokovic
Our Prediction for the 2024 ATP Finals
The first to qualify chronologically, Jannik Sinner, author of a remarkable season, is certainly one of the great favorites for the title in the 2024 ATP Finals. Sublime this season with several major titles, including the Australian Open and the US Open, the young Italian is hungry and arrives in Turin to obtain a title that is logically missing from his growing trophy case. Although Carlos Alcaraz represents a big threat to him, and these Masters are sometimes the scene of winners not always expected at the start of the tournament (Zverev, Tsitsipas, Dimitrov...), Jannik Sinner remains a player to consider for your tennis predictions this year.
Having won several tournaments on the surface in his career (Australian Open, US Open, Masters 1000 Miami, Cincinnati...), the world #1 is eagerly awaited on hard court in northern Italy. In any case, the native of the Italian Alps is our specialists' favorite. Our ATP Finals 2024 prediction: victory for Jannik Sinner.
Title odds
- Jannik Sinner +120
- Carlos Alcaraz +210
- Alexander Zverev +550
- Daniil Medvedev +900
- Taylor Fritz +1400
- Alex de Minaur +2000
- Andrey Rublev +2200
- Casper Ruud +4000
Odds from betMGM.
Our Tips for Betting on the 2024 ATP Finals Tournament
Want to make reliable 2024 ATP Nitto Finals predictions? You've come to the right place! Here, we'll give you all the tips you need to make the right predictions for the season-ending Masters. And, of course, you'll need to apply these tips to each and every one of your predictions during this week in Turin.
Analyze the players' form
First tip: analyze each player's current form! It may sound obvious, but too many bettors get caught out by relying solely on the notoriety and popularity of the two players. Carlos Alcaraz may be, but if the Spaniard has just suffered two defeats, it's best to avoid betting on his victory, and vice versa. In tennis, and even more so at the ATP Finals, form is a key factor in sports predictions. Get into the habit of taking note of each player's form before betting.
Consider the playing surface
The second tip for your Turin Masters predictions: don't forget to take into account the surface used for the tournament. As you know, the surface is a crucial parameter in tennis and can tip a match one way or the other. On the ATP circuit, every player has qualities on a certain surface that he won't have on another. Think of clay-court king Rafael Nadal, who dominated ochre for a decade, or Roger Federer, who has delighted everyone on grass during his immense career. In Turin, the 2024 ATP Finals will be played indoors on hard court. An ideal surface for complete players in optimum physical condition.
Look at the history of duels
The third tip is to look at the results of the most recent head-to-head matches between the two players you're betting on. In tennis, more than in any other sporting discipline, psychology and mental attitude play a vital role in determining the outcome of a match. Will the 8th-ranked ATP player face the 3rd? If he's on a 4-match winning streak against his opponent, don't hesitate to predict his victory despite his supposed inferiority. Psychological advantage is an important factor in tennis.
Observe tournament history
Fourthly, don't forget to consider everyone's recent performances in the tournament. Every player likes to shine during certain competitions, and these ATP Finals are no exception to the rule. Motivation and desire can also make all the difference at the ATP Finals, so keep an eye on them. Even if, on paper, the eight contenders will give their all to be crowned champions.
Taking stock of the ATP rankings
Last but not least, don't forget that these ATP Finals also award numerous points towards the ATP rankings! In total, up to 1,500 points can be earned if the winner goes undefeated, and 500 points are at stake for the winner of the final alone. In the rankings, this tournament can therefore enable players to break into the Top 3, or even take top spot in the ATP rankings, depending on the year. In this 2024 edition, for example, several players are in the running to be among the world's Top 10 at the end of the season. Other stakes are also present, so don't forget to check the various rankings. This aspect always plays a part in the motivation of the players, and therefore in the final outcome of the matches. Your tennis predictions also depend on it.
Important Stats for your ATP Finals Predictions
To get the most out of your tennis predictions for the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin, it's also useful to know the tournament's key statistics. Here are the key figures from the last edition of the competition. Use them to shine in 2024!
- Average number of games per match: 25 games
- Two-set matches: 57% of matches
- Three-set matches: 43% of matches
- Matches in which the winner won the 1st set: 86% of matches
- Matches with a golden set (6-0): 0% of matches
- Matches with a tie-break in the 1st set: 29% of matches
- Matches with a tie-break in the 2nd set: 21% of matches
- Matches with a tie-break in the 3rd set: 7% of matches (17% of 3-set matches)
Among other things, we can see that it will be interesting to place bets on the Over 24.5 games, on exact 2-0 scores, or on the success of the winner of the first set for your Live bets. Remember this when you visit your favorite online sportsbook.
In a nutshell: How to make a good prediction on the Masters tennis tournament?
In addition to following the free predictions of our experts, successful betting on the Masters tournament requires a good knowledge of the statistics (see above), an analysis of the context of the match and a reading of the history. By working on all the points highlighted by our specialists on this page, you should easily improve your success rate with online tennis sportsbooks. Don't miss out before you bet!
Our current ATP Nitto Finals predictions
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All images on this page are from the IMAGO website.
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