USA - NCAA Division I, Championship Women
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by Travis Pulver in Basketball Picks
The TCU Horned Frogs will face off with the Texas Longhorns at the Legacy Arena in Birmingham, AL, for the right to move on to the Final Four for the first time in school history. Tipoff for this Lone Star State showdown is scheduled for 9 p.m. EST on Monday, March 31.
TCU earned its spot in the Elite Eight with a 71-62 win over Notre Dame. They limited Hannah Hidalgo to just 15 points with most of it coming at the foul line. As a team, Notre Dame shot 31.9% from the field and 20% from three-point range. Hailey Van Lith helped put what had been a close game out of reach with 12 of her 26 points in the fourth quarter. But beating a Texas team averaging close to 80 points a game will not be easy. However, after blowing up for 100+ points against William & Mary, the Texas offense has not looked the same. While doing enough to win, they only scored 65 against Illinois and 67 vs. Tennessee. Their defense held those teams to 48 and 59 points (William & Mary scored 61). The Longhorns were 0-5 from three-point range vs. Illinois and just 3-7 vs. Tennessee.
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TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Longhorns Form
TCU Horned Frogs and Texas Longhorns Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
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5/6 (83%)
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Mar 29, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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TCU Horned Frogs - Texas Longhorns Key Points
- Texas has dominated the all-time series vs. TCU, 50-4.
- The last time TCU beat Texas was during the 2019-20 season, 65-63 in Austin (Jan. 3, 2020).
- TCU is the third team Hailey Van Lith has helped guide to the Elite Eight; lost with LSU last season and Louisville in 2023.
- Texas last made the Final Four in 2003; 0-4 in Elite Eight appearances since.
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Our TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Longhorns Prediction
At this point in the season, it is not just about who looks good on paper or who had been more dominant in the regular season. It’s about playing your best basketball when it matters most. Texas has not done that since the opening round, but TCU continues to play better and better. Of course, Texas got to this point because they are an extremely talented team. But I don’t have faith that they’ll get things turned around against a very good TCU defense. If you’re feeling brave, take the TCU ML. Otherwise, take TCU and the points. If the Longhorns do win, the score will be pretty close.
Our TCU vs. Texas Pick: TCU +7.5
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