Taylor Fritz vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami

ATP - ATP Miami

ATP 4 USA
Taylor Fritz
3/27/25 19:00
ATP 30 Italy
Matteo Berrettini

Prediction:

 

Taylor Fritz will win 2-1

+290
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Miami Picks

Fritz of the United States will put his spotless record on the line against Matteo Berrettini of Italy on the line in Thursday’s semifinal at the 2025 Miami Open.

After coming up short at Indian Wells, Fritz made it to his first quarterfinal of an ATP 1000 event this year with a 6-3 7-5 win over Adam Walton of Australia. Taylor Fritz landed all except one of his first-serve attempts, producing 23 points of a possible 49 points or a 53 percent conversion rate. But the American dealt most of the damage as a returner, breaking the Aussie seven times while amassing 28 return points.

Fritz will be taking on Berrettini, whom he holds an impeccable 4-0 head-to-head record. The Italian plowed his way to the quarterfinals after upsetting Alex De Minaur of Australia 6-3, 7-6(7). Berrettini only conceded two service breaks and won 36 points on his first serves. He also scored several momentum-boosting points in the second set, especially in the tiebreaker, that helped him deny De Minaur from staging a comeback.

Taylor Fritz vs Matteo Berrettini Form

Taylor Fritz and Matteo Berrettini Latest Matches

Taylor Fritz Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Adam Walton

Mar 24, 2025 - ATP Miami

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

Mar 22, 2025 - ATP Miami

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Sonego

Mar 12, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Jack Draper
2 :  0
Taylor Fritz

Mar 10, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Alejandro Tabilo
1 :  2
Taylor Fritz

Mar 8, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Gigante
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz
Matteo Berrettini Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

Mar 24, 2025 - ATP Miami

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  0
Zizou Bergs

Mar 22, 2025 - ATP Miami

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  1
Hugo Gaston

Mar 9, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Mar 7, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  0
Christopher O'Connell

Feb 27, 2025 - ATP Dubai Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  1
Matteo Berrettini

Taylor Fritz against Matteo Berrettini : Head to Head (H2H)

Taylor Fritz

100 %

Matteo Berrettini

0 %

Aug 28, 2024 - ATP US Open

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  3
Taylor Fritz

Oct 12, 2021 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz
Compare Taylor Fritz and Matteo Berrettini with our comparison tool.

Taylor Fritz - Matteo Berrettini Key Points

  1. Taylor Fritz defeated Adam Walton 6-3. 7-5 in the fourth round of the 2025 Miami Open,
  2. Taylor Fritz is 13-5 in the 2025 ATP Tour.
  3. Matteo Berrettini is 9-6 in the 2025 ATP Tour.
  4. Matteo Berrettini defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3. 7-6 (7) in the fourth round of the 2025 Miami Open.

Our Taylor Fritz vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction

Unless Matteo Berrettini brings something different to their upcoming duel, Taylor Fritz is set to score another win over the Italian, improving his record to 5-0 vs. the Italian. Apart from his history of dominance in their head-to-head series, Fritz is landing 73 percent of his first serves in the tournament, collecting 87 points of 120 chances. Berrettini would try to buck the losing trend against Fritz by sticking to the formula that did wonders in his match against De Minaur. Despite still being winless against Fritz, Berrettini competed well in all four hard-court matches, two of which went the distance. Like Fritz, Berrettini serves exceptionally well in the tournament with an 89% hold percentage. Still, I think Fritz will come through with a gritty victory by winning momentum-swinging rallies while feeding off the energy of a pro-American crowd in Key Biscayne. Our betting prediction for Matteo Berrettini vs. Taylor Fritz: Taylor Fritz will win 2-1.

Prediction:

 

Taylor Fritz will win 2-1

+290
$200 offered for betting!

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Taylor Fritz vs Matteo Berrettini Picks