29 June 2024 - 12:00 

- 1/8

Europe - Euro

Switzerland
VS
Italy

Prediction:

Switzerland

Odds : +250

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Switzerland vs Italy Prediction & Picks - Euro

 by Simon Day | in Euro Picks

The second round of Euro 2024 begins with a fascinating contest between Italy and Switzerland in Berlin. Both sides finished second in their respective groups, although Italy needed a 97th minute equalizer against Croatia to secure their place in the last 16, after following up their 2-1 win over Albania with a 1-0 loss against Spain. Switzerland had a more serene path to the knockouts, picking up five points and remaining undefeated in their three group games. The bookmakers have Italy as favorites for the game, but with Switzerland in such good form, could an upset be on the cards?
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Switzerland vs Italy Form

Switzerland and Italy Latest Matches

Switzerland
Switzerland Latest matches
W W D W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
0.67
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

Jun 23, 2024 - Euro

Switzerland
1 :  1
Germany

Jun 19, 2024 - Euro

Scotland
1 :  1
Switzerland

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Hungary
1 :  3
Switzerland

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
1 :  1
Austria

Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
4 :  0
Estonia

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ireland
0 :  1
Switzerland
Italy
Italy Latest matches
W D W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

Jun 24, 2024 - Euro

Croatia
1 :  1
Italy

Jun 20, 2024 - Euro

Spain
1 :  0
Italy

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Italy
2 :  1
Albania

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
0 :  0
Turkiye

Mar 24, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
2 :  0
Ecuador

Switzerland against Italy : Head to Head (H2H)

Switzerland

0 %

Draw

67 %

Italy

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.67
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.33
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

Nov 12, 2021 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  1
Switzerland

Sep 5, 2021 - World Cup

Switzerland
0 :  0
Italy

Jun 16, 2021 - Euro

Italy
3 :  0
Switzerland

Switzerland - Italy: Form Analysis

Switzerland are undefeated in 2024, winning three and drawing four of their seven games. They have only lost once in 17 games since their humiliating 6-1 defeat to Portugal in the second round of the 2022 World Cup. At the last European Championships, Switzerland produced a memorable run to the quarter finals before bowing out on penalties to Spain. 

Italy also came into the tournament in impressive form, losing just one of their 12 games before the 1-0 loss against Spain on Gameday Two. However, the Italians have struggled in front of goal in recent times, finding the net just four times in their last five games. Italy are the defending European champions, beating England on penalties in the final of Euro 2020 to secure their first major trophy since the 2006 World Cup. 

The two teams met in the group stages of Euro 2020, with Italy securing a 3-0 victory thanks to goals from Manuel Locatelli (2) and Ciro Immobile. The Italians are now unbeaten in their last 11 games against Switzerland, a run that goes all the way back to 1993. They also lead the overall head to head by 29 wins to seven. 

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Switzerland against Italy Lineups: Starting 11

Switzerland

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

1
Y. Sommer
22
F. Schar
5
M. Akanji
13
R. Rodriguez
20
M. Aebischer
8
R. Freuler
10
G. Xhaka
26
F. Rieder
17
R. Vargas
7
B. Embolo
19
D. Ndoye
22
S. El Shaarawy
9
G. Scamacca
14
F. Chiesa
18
N. Barella
21
N. Fagioli
16
B. Cristante
13
M. Darmian
23
A. Bastoni
17
G. Mancini
2
G. Di Lorenzo
1
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Italy

Missing players

Switzerland
Switzerland
Defender

S. Widmer

Italy
Italy
Defender

R. Calafiori

Switzerland & Italy Squad Analysis

Switzerland will be without full back Silvan Widmer, after the Mainz defender picked up his second booking of the tournament in the 1-1 draw with Germany. Swiss boss Murat Yakin has a number of options to take Widmer's place, with Dan Ndoye, Fabian Rieder, Steven Zuber and Michel Aebischer all in contention. Up front, Breel Embolo will continue after his successful return from injury. 

Possible starting eleven: Sommer; Schar, Akanji, Rodriguez; Zuber, Rieder, Xhaka, Freuler, Aebischer; Ndoye, Embolo

Italy will also be missing a defender due to suspension, with Ricardo Calafiori the man to miss out. Gianluca Mancini seems the man likely to take his place in the Italian back three. Mattia Zaccagni is pushing for a starting place after his superb last second goal gave Italy a precious point against Croatia. Up front, manager Luciano Spalletti must choose between Mateo Retegui and Gianluca Scamacca, neither of whom found the net in the group stage. 

Possible starting eleven: Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, Mancini, Darmian; Barella, Jorginho; Raspadori, Pellegrini, Dimarco; Retegui

Switzerland - Italy Key Points

  1. Switzerland have lost just once since December 2022
  2. Italy have scored 4 goals in their last 5 games
  3. Switzerland have failed to score just once in their last 18 games
  4. Italy have failed to score 3 goals in any of their last 8 games
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Our Switzerland vs Italy Prediction

We can sniff an upset in this one. Switzerland have played extremely well in their first three games and look well equipped to replicate their Euro 2020 run to the quarter finals. Their 1-1 draw with Germany was especially impressive, and they were just a couple of minutes away from completing a famous win. On the other hand, Italy have failed to convince in any of their group games. Their victory over Albania was slightly fortunate, before they were comprehensively outplayed by Spain and barely deserved their 1-1 draw versus Croatia. 

Our prediction for Switzerland vs Italy is: Switzerland to win, +140 at BetRivers.

Prediction:

Switzerland

Odds : +250

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Switzerland vs Italy - Other Interesting Picks

Granit Xhaka first goalscorer

Granit Xhaka does not score many goals, but he does tend to score memorable ones. He possesses a fearsome shot and is not shy of trying his luck from long range. Xhaka's performances in the group stage were world class and he will come into this game full of confidence.

Switzerland to win to nil

Italy have struggled in attack so far, with both Mateo Retegui and Gianluca Scamacca looking well short of their best. We think they will struggle to get any joy out of a solid Swiss backline led by Manchester City star Manuel Akanji. Take the 4.80 on a Swiss victory without conceding a goal.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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Switzerland vs Italy Picks