Europe - Euro

Switzerland
23 Jun 2024 15:00
Germany

Prediction:

 

Germany and Under 3.5 Goals

+155
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Switzerland vs Germany Prediction & Picks - Euro

 by Dan Angell | in Euro Picks

Switzerland takes on Germany in the final match of Group A, with knockout stage seeding on the line. The winner of Group A gets a very reasonable round of 16 matchup with either Denmark, Slovenia or Serbia, while the second-place team likely faces a much tougher round of 16 match with defending champion Italy.

There’s little reason to think that Germany will slow down here. Die Mannschaft has looked excellent in this tournament, admittedly against a weak group. Scotland and Hungary represented reasonable opposition, and the Germans have outscored their first two foes by 7-1. They’re yet to face any serious opposition, and they’ve technically been the only ones to put the ball in the net in any of their matches. In the match with Scotland, the Scots got their one goal on an own goal.

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Switzerland vs Germany Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Germany
Germany
7 3 2 1 0 6
2
Switzerland
Switzerland
5 3 1 2 0 2

Switzerland and Germany Latest Matches

Switzerland
Switzerland Latest matches
D W W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2024 - Euro

Scotland
1 :  1
Switzerland

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Hungary
1 :  3
Switzerland

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
1 :  1
Austria

Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
4 :  0
Estonia

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ireland
0 :  1
Switzerland

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

Denmark
0 :  0
Switzerland
D W D D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
1 :  1
Austria

Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
4 :  0
Estonia

Nov 18, 2023 - Euro

Switzerland
1 :  1
Kosovo

Oct 15, 2023 - Euro

Switzerland
3 :  3
Belarus

Sep 12, 2023 - Euro

Switzerland
3 :  0
Andorra

Jun 19, 2023 - Euro

Switzerland
2 :  2
Romania
D L D W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2024 - Euro

Scotland
1 :  1
Switzerland

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Hungary
1 :  3
Switzerland

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ireland
0 :  1
Switzerland

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

Denmark
0 :  0
Switzerland

Nov 21, 2023 - Euro

Romania
1 :  0
Switzerland

Nov 15, 2023 - Euro

Israel
1 :  1
Switzerland
Germany
Germany Latest matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2024 - Euro

Germany
2 :  0
Hungary

Jun 14, 2024 - Euro

Germany
5 :  1
Scotland

Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
Greece

Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
0 :  0
Ukraine

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
Netherlands

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  2
Germany
L W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2024 - Euro

Germany
2 :  0
Hungary

Jun 14, 2024 - Euro

Germany
5 :  1
Scotland

Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
Greece

Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
0 :  0
Ukraine

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
Netherlands

Nov 18, 2023 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  3
Turkey
W L W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  2
Germany

Nov 21, 2023 - International Friendlies

Austria
2 :  0
Germany

Oct 14, 2023 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  3
Germany

Jun 16, 2023 - International Friendlies

Poland
1 :  0
Germany

Dec 1, 2022 - World Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  4
Germany

Nov 27, 2022 - World Cup

Spain
1 :  1
Germany

Switzerland against Germany : Head to Head (H2H)

Switzerland

0 %

Draw

100 %

Germany

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Oct 13, 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
3 :  3
Switzerland

Sep 6, 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Switzerland
1 :  1
Germany

Switzerland - Germany: Form Analysis

Switzerland has allowed one goal in six of its past nine matches, but it hasn’t been breached more than once since October 2023. That said, the Swiss haven’t exactly played against the best competition. Only Denmark could reasonably considered a quality side prior to the tournament, and that ended in a scoreless stalemate.

If they give up an early goal, there’s every reason to expect the Swiss to try to park the bus and frustrate Germany. A draw would be fantastic for Switzerland, but a loss would be just fine as long as it comes by just one goal. Scotland is highly unlikely to overturn a six-goal deficit against Hungary, unless Germany lays waste to the Swiss goal. If Switzerland concede early, the Swiss might choose to defend what they have and accept second place in the group. Four points is likely enough to get through the group, but four points with a positive goal differential will definitely do it.

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Switzerland against Germany Lineups: Starting 11

Switzerland

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

1
Y. Sommer
22
F. Schar
5
M. Akanji
13
R. Rodriguez
3
S. Widmer
8
R. Freuler
10
G. Xhaka
20
M. Aebischer
19
D. Ndoye
7
B. Embolo
26
F. Rieder
7
K. Havertz
17
F. Wirtz
21
I. Gundogan
10
J. Musiala
8
T. Kroos
23
R. Andrich
18
M. Mittelstadt
4
J. Tah
2
A. Rudiger
6
J. Kimmich
1
M. Neuer

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Germany

Switzerland & Germany Squad Analysis

Both teams could make some changes, especially Germany. Robert Andrich is on a yellow card and has come off in each of the first two matches, making him a likely sub. Florian Wirtz also might get some rest as Germany tries to set itself up for the knockouts.

Remo Freuler and Silvan Widmer are both on yellow cards, and both have been subbed off in the first two group matches. It wouldn’t be a surprise for either to sit out here, as Switzerland will need all hands on deck for the round of 16.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Switzerland
CD Huachipato Germany
Top Goalscorer
Switzerland B. Embolo (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany J. Musiala (3 Goals)
Best assists
Switzerland R. Freuler (2 Assists)
Switzerland M. Aebischer (2 Assists)
Best assists
Germany J. Kimmich (2 Assists)

Switzerland - Germany Key Points

  1. Germany has not been beaten in 2024.
  2. Six of Germany's past seven matches have seen three goals or less.
  3. Switzerland has held nine straight opponents to one goal or less.
  4. Seven of Switzerland's past nine matches have seen three goals or less.
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Our Switzerland vs Germany Prediction

Germany should be good value for either one or two goals in this matchup. The Germans have scored twice exactly in four of their past six matches, with the exceptions coming against Ukraine and Scotland. Germany wanted to put on a show against the Scots, while the Ukraine match had more to do with Julian Nagelsmann figuring out which pieces went where.

The question is whether Switzerland chooses to fight back or go into a shell. Under normal circumstances, the Swiss would likely be looking at a tough result, but the final game of a group isn’t normal circumstances. The Swiss just want to get through, even if the reward is Italy. They’re not likely to push back unless Germany provides them with an opening. Based on how Die Mannschaft has performed, an opening isn’t likely. Our prediction for Switzerland vs. Germany is for Germany to win and Under 3.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Germany and Under 3.5 Goals

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Switzerland vs Germany - Other Interesting Picks

Niclas Fullkrug Anytime Goal Scorer

Odds +215

Niclas Fullkrug has come off the bench for Germany, and he’s making his impact. At age 31, he usually doesn’t impact a match for a full 90, but he’s pretty effective for the time on the pitch. He’s scored 12 goals in his 18 appearances in a German shirt, even more effective than the 45 goals he scored in 90 appearances at Werder Bremen.

With rotation likely, Fullkrug could get the start. If he does, he offers solid scoring value.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Switzerland vs Germany Picks
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