Switzerland vs Germany Prediction & Picks - Euro
by Dan Angell | in Euro Picks
Switzerland takes on Germany in the final match of Group A, with knockout stage seeding on the line. The winner of Group A gets a very reasonable round of 16 matchup with either Denmark, Slovenia or Serbia, while the second-place team likely faces a much tougher round of 16 match with defending champion Italy.
There’s little reason to think that Germany will slow down here. Die Mannschaft has looked excellent in this tournament, admittedly against a weak group. Scotland and Hungary represented reasonable opposition, and the Germans have outscored their first two foes by 7-1. They’re yet to face any serious opposition, and they’ve technically been the only ones to put the ball in the net in any of their matches. In the match with Scotland, the Scots got their one goal on an own goal.
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Switzerland vs Germany Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
|
2
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Switzerland and Germany Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 19, 2024 - Euro
Jun 15, 2024 - Euro
Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 19, 2024 - Euro
Jun 14, 2024 - Euro
Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies
Switzerland against Germany : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Oct 13, 2020 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 6, 2020 - UEFA Nations League
Switzerland - Germany: Form Analysis
Switzerland has allowed one goal in six of its past nine matches, but it hasn’t been breached more than once since October 2023. That said, the Swiss haven’t exactly played against the best competition. Only Denmark could reasonably considered a quality side prior to the tournament, and that ended in a scoreless stalemate.
If they give up an early goal, there’s every reason to expect the Swiss to try to park the bus and frustrate Germany. A draw would be fantastic for Switzerland, but a loss would be just fine as long as it comes by just one goal. Scotland is highly unlikely to overturn a six-goal deficit against Hungary, unless Germany lays waste to the Swiss goal. If Switzerland concede early, the Swiss might choose to defend what they have and accept second place in the group. Four points is likely enough to get through the group, but four points with a positive goal differential will definitely do it.
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Switzerland against Germany Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
S. Widmer
J. Tah
Switzerland & Germany Squad Analysis
Both teams could make some changes, especially Germany. Robert Andrich is on a yellow card and has come off in each of the first two matches, making him a likely sub. Florian Wirtz also might get some rest as Germany tries to set itself up for the knockouts.
Remo Freuler and Silvan Widmer are both on yellow cards, and both have been subbed off in the first two group matches. It wouldn’t be a surprise for either to sit out here, as Switzerland will need all hands on deck for the round of 16.
Switzerland - Germany Key Points
- Germany has not been beaten in 2024.
- Six of Germany's past seven matches have seen three goals or less.
- Switzerland has held nine straight opponents to one goal or less.
- Seven of Switzerland's past nine matches have seen three goals or less.
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Our Switzerland vs Germany Prediction
Germany should be good value for either one or two goals in this matchup. The Germans have scored twice exactly in four of their past six matches, with the exceptions coming against Ukraine and Scotland. Germany wanted to put on a show against the Scots, while the Ukraine match had more to do with Julian Nagelsmann figuring out which pieces went where.
The question is whether Switzerland chooses to fight back or go into a shell. Under normal circumstances, the Swiss would likely be looking at a tough result, but the final game of a group isn’t normal circumstances. The Swiss just want to get through, even if the reward is Italy. They’re not likely to push back unless Germany provides them with an opening. Based on how Die Mannschaft has performed, an opening isn’t likely. Our prediction for Switzerland vs. Germany is for Germany to win and Under 3.5 Goals.
Switzerland vs Germany - Other Interesting Picks
Niclas Fullkrug Anytime Goal Scorer
Niclas Fullkrug has come off the bench for Germany, and he’s making his impact. At age 31, he usually doesn’t impact a match for a full 90, but he’s pretty effective for the time on the pitch. He’s scored 12 goals in his 18 appearances in a German shirt, even more effective than the 45 goals he scored in 90 appearances at Werder Bremen.
With rotation likely, Fullkrug could get the start. If he does, he offers solid scoring value.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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