St. Mary's vs Alabama Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball

USA - NCAA Basketball

St. Mary's
3/23/25 18:10
Alabama

Prediction:

 

Alabama -5.5

-110
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 by Travis Pulver | in NCAA Basketball Picks

The No. 7 seed Saint Mary's Gaels will need to get past the No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide in the second round if they are going to make the Sweet 16 for the third time in the history of the program. Tipoff for this SEC-WCC battle is scheduled for 6:10 pm ET on Sunday, March 23.

Saint Mary's was a 4.5-point favorite against the No.10 seed Vanderbilt in the first round but was down to the Commodores 29-22 at the break. However, a second-half rally led by Jordan Ross saw the Gales outscore the Commodores 37-27 to secure the win and a date with Alabama in the second round. Ross led the way with 15 points and was one of four starters to score in double digits. As for Alabama, the Tide was a 20.5-point over the No. 15 seed Robert Morris Colonials in the first round. However, Alabama led by only four at the half, 40-36. They couldn't pull away in the second half and even trailed briefly 65-64 with around seven minutes to play. But the Crimson Tide was able to quickly regain the lead and extend it to 11 points before settling for a nine-point win. Mark Sears led the way with 22 points and ten assists.

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St. Mary's vs Alabama Form

St. Mary's and Alabama Latest Matches

St. Mary's
St. Mary's Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Vanderbilt Commodores
56 :  59
St. Mary's

Mar 11, 2025 - NCAA Men

Gonzaga
58 :  51
St. Mary's

Mar 10, 2025 - NCAA Men

Pepperdine Waves
59 :  74
St. Mary's

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Oregon State Beavers
64 :  74
St. Mary's

Feb 27, 2025 - NCAA Men

St. Mary's
58 :  55
Loyola Marymount Lions

Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men

St. Mary's
74 :  67
Gonzaga
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Vanderbilt Commodores
56 :  59
St. Mary's

Mar 11, 2025 - NCAA Men

Gonzaga
58 :  51
St. Mary's

Mar 10, 2025 - NCAA Men

Pepperdine Waves
59 :  74
St. Mary's

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Oregon State Beavers
64 :  74
St. Mary's

Feb 19, 2025 - NCAA Men

Portland Pilots
66 :  79
St. Mary's

Feb 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Wash. St.
56 :  77
St. Mary's
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Feb 27, 2025 - NCAA Men

St. Mary's
58 :  55
Loyola Marymount Lions

Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men

St. Mary's
74 :  67
Gonzaga

Feb 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

St. Mary's
63 :  49
Oregon State Beavers

Feb 6, 2025 - NCAA Men

St. Mary's
64 :  65
San Francisco Dons

Jan 29, 2025 - NCAA Men

St. Mary's
67 :  54
Santa Clara Broncos

Jan 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

St. Mary's
80 :  75
Wash. St.
Alabama
Alabama Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Robert Morris Colonials
81 :  90
Alabama

Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Alabama
82 :  104
Florida

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

Kentucky Wildcats
70 :  99
Alabama

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Alabama
93 :  91
Auburn

Mar 5, 2025 - NCAA Men

Florida
99 :  94
Alabama

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Alabama
76 :  79
Tennessee
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Robert Morris Colonials
81 :  90
Alabama

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

Kentucky Wildcats
70 :  99
Alabama

Mar 5, 2025 - NCAA Men

Florida
99 :  94
Alabama

Feb 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mississippi State Bulldogs
73 :  111
Alabama

Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men

Kentucky Wildcats
83 :  96
Alabama

Feb 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Auburn
94 :  85
Alabama
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Alabama
82 :  104
Florida

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Alabama
93 :  91
Auburn

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Alabama
76 :  79
Tennessee

Feb 19, 2025 - NCAA Men

Alabama
98 :  110
Missouri Tigers

Feb 11, 2025 - NCAA Men

Alabama
103 :  80
Texas

Feb 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Alabama
85 :  81
Arkansas Razorbacks

St. Mary's - Alabama Key Points

  1. This is just the fifth time Saint Mary’s has played in the second and third time in the last four seasons.
  2. This season is the fourth time in five seasons Alabama made it to the second round; they advanced to the Sweet 16 in the previous three seasons.
  3. This game will be the first between Alabama and Saint Mary’s.
  4. Saint Mary’s was 10-5 vs. Quad 1-2 teams this season.
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Our St. Mary's vs Alabama Prediction

If Saint Mary's is to have a chance, they cannot let Alabama play as fast and loose as the Tide wants to. They have to control the pace of the game, eliminate fast break and second-chance opportunities, keep the Tide from heating up from three-point range, and avoid falling behind by more than a few points. That is a lot to ask, but the Gaels are one of the best rebounding teams in the country and have the size to control the paint. I can see Saint Mary's pulling it off for much of the game but not the entire game. Alabama will win, and since the spread is just 5.5 points, they'll cover.

Our Saint Mary's vs. Alabama: Alabama -5.5

Prediction:

 

Alabama -5.5

-110
$200 offered for betting!

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St. Mary's vs Alabama Picks
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