Spain vs Italy Prediction & Picks - Euro
by Simon Day | in Euro Picks
One of the most anticipated games of the tournament takes place on Thursday evening, as Spain and Italy clash at the Arena AufSchalke in Gelsenkirchen. Both sides won their opening games, so know that another victory will secure their place in the knockout stages. Spain were especially impressive in their 3-0 demolition of Croatia, with PSG midfielder Fabián Ruiz the star of the show and veteran striker Alvaro Morata proving that he can still perform at the highest level. Italy had to come from behind to beat Albania in their first game, with Alessandro Bastoni and Nicolo Barella scoring their goals.Limited Offer. Currently at BetMGM
Spain vs Italy Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
2
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Spain and Italy Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 15, 2024 - Euro
Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 22, 2024 - International Friendlies
Nov 19, 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 15, 2024 - Euro
Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 24, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 21, 2024 - International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2023 - Euro
Spain against Italy : Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Jun 15, 2023 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 6, 2021 - UEFA Nations League
Jul 6, 2021 - Euro
Sep 2, 2017 - World Cup
Oct 6, 2016 - World Cup
Spain - Italy: Form Analysis
Spain have now won 11 of their last 13 games, a run that includes a 2-1 success over Italy in the semi finals of the 2023 Nations League. The Spaniards went on to beat Croatia on penalties in the final to claim their first trophy since the 2012 Euros. At the 2022 World Cup, Spain suffered a heartbreaking penalty shootout defeat to Morocco in the last sixteen, meaning they have been eliminated from the last three major tournaments via penalties.
On the other hand, Italy triumphed at Euro 2020 thanks to a penalty shootout victory over England in the final. Since then, their form has been a mixed bag. They missed out on a place at the World Cup in 2022, and had to settle for second place in their qualification group for this tournament. However, they have improved in recent months and are now unbeaten in seven games.
The two sides met in the semi finals of Euro 2020. The game saw Morata scoring a late equalizer to cancel out Federico Chiesa's opener, before the Italians prevailed 4-3 in the penalty shootout. Overall, Spain have 14 wins in the head to head, compared to 10 for Italy, with 12 of the encounters ending all square.
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Spain against Italy Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Nacho
ForwardA. Perez
R. Calafiori
Spain & Italy Squad Analysis
Spain lost Alvaro Morata to injury during the second half of the Croatia game, but the striker is expected to be fit to start on Thursday. With no other fresh injury concerns, Spain boss Luis Enrique is expected to name an unchanged side. He will once again look for his midfield trio of Pedri, Rodri and Ruiz to control the game, something they did to incredibly good effect against Croatia. 16 year old Lamine Yamal will also retain his place in the front three after impressing in the Croatia game.
Italy midfielder Nicolo Fagioli missed the Albania game with a bruised fibula, but is expected to be available for selection on Thursday. However, coach Luciano Spalletti is likely to opt for the eleven that started the Albania game. Nicolo Barella was instrumental in that victory, aside from scoring the winning goal, he proved a constant threat to the Albanians with his proving passes and intelligent runs. Along with fellow midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini, Barella will need to be at his best to win what is sure to be a fierce battle in the middle of the park.
Spain - Italy Key Points
- Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 games between the teams
- Italy have unbeaten in their last 7 games
- Spain have scored in 10 of their last 11 games
- 12 of the 36 games between Spain and Italy have ended all square
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Our Spain vs Italy Prediction
Spain vs Italy - Other Interesting Picks
Fabian Ruiz first goalscorer
Correct score 1-1
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