Europe - Euro

Spain
05 Jul 2024 12:00
Germany

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals at full-time.

+105
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Spain vs Germany Prediction & Picks - Euro

 by Stephen Abiola in Euro Picks

Spain and Germany will clash on Friday in a quarter-final game where one of the tournament’s heavy favorites could exit the stage. The Germans have yet to taste defeat in this competition after topping Group A with 7 points. They proceeded to secure a convincing 2-0 win over Denmark 2-0 to book a date with the in-form Spain at the MHPArena in Stuttgart. Like Germany, Spain is also undefeated. The La Roja sailed through Group B after winning all their matchups, including a scrappy 1-0 win over Italy. Their good run continued in the knockout stages after dominating and punishing Georgia 4-1. They showed excellent composure after rallying from one goal behind. Spain’s form in this competition has convinced bookies that they are the favorites on Friday.

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Spain vs Germany Form

Spain and Germany Latest Matches

Spain
Spain Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 30, 2024 - Euro

Spain
4 :  1
Georgia

Jun 24, 2024 - Euro

Albania
0 :  1
Spain

Jun 20, 2024 - Euro

Spain
1 :  0
Italy

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Spain
3 :  0
Croatia

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Spain
5 :  1
Northern Ireland

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

Spain
5 :  0
Andorra
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 30, 2024 - Euro

Spain
4 :  1
Georgia

Jun 20, 2024 - Euro

Spain
1 :  0
Italy

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Spain
3 :  0
Croatia

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Spain
5 :  1
Northern Ireland

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

Spain
5 :  0
Andorra

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Spain
3 :  3
Brazil
L D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 24, 2024 - Euro

Albania
0 :  1
Spain

Nov 16, 2023 - Euro

Cyprus
1 :  3
Spain

Oct 15, 2023 - Euro

Norway
0 :  1
Spain

Sep 8, 2023 - Euro

Georgia
1 :  7
Spain

Jun 18, 2023 - UEFA Nations League

Croatia
0 :  0
Spain

Mar 28, 2023 - Euro

Scotland
2 :  0
Spain
Germany
Germany Latest matches
D W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 29, 2024 - Euro

Germany
2 :  0
Denmark

Jun 23, 2024 - Euro

Switzerland
1 :  1
Germany

Jun 19, 2024 - Euro

Germany
2 :  0
Hungary

Jun 14, 2024 - Euro

Germany
5 :  1
Scotland

Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
Greece

Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
0 :  0
Ukraine
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 29, 2024 - Euro

Germany
2 :  0
Denmark

Jun 19, 2024 - Euro

Germany
2 :  0
Hungary

Jun 14, 2024 - Euro

Germany
5 :  1
Scotland

Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
Greece

Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
0 :  0
Ukraine

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
Netherlands
L W D L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 23, 2024 - Euro

Switzerland
1 :  1
Germany

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  2
Germany

Nov 21, 2023 - International Friendlies

Austria
2 :  0
Germany

Oct 14, 2023 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  3
Germany

Jun 16, 2023 - International Friendlies

Poland
1 :  0
Germany

Dec 1, 2022 - World Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  4
Germany

Spain against Germany : Head to Head (H2H)

Spain

25 %

Draw

75 %

Germany

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
75%
BTTS
2.25
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.75
Goals scored (Team 2)
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

Nov 27, 2022 - World Cup

Spain
1 :  1
Germany

Nov 17, 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
6 :  0
Germany

Sep 3, 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
1 :  1
Spain

Mar 23, 2018 - International Friendlies

Germany
1 :  1
Spain

Spain - Germany: Form Analysis

Spain has swept aside every challenge, including statement wins over bigwigs like Italy and Croatia. They have managed to strike the right balance between defending and attacking, conceding only once in this tournament. This was an unfortunate own goal in the 18th minute against Georgia. Interestingly, they finished the group matches without conceding a goal while scoring five. This takes their total goal tally to 9 in four games. It will be interesting to see how Luis del la Fuente’s youthful and energetic men perform against a more formidable opponent like Germany.

Germany has also recorded some ruthless and entertaining displays of their own. They have conceded only twice in this competition against Scotland and Switzerland. Germany showed excellent zeal against the Swiss after scoring an equalizer in the 92nd minute. However, they might not be lucky next time, especially against a well-drilled side like Spain. Die Mannschaft’s attack has been in excellent form in this competition, scoring 10 goals in four matches. It will be hard to stop them if they get past Spain.

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Spain against Germany Lineups: Starting 11

Spain

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
U. Simon
2
D. Carvajal
3
R. Le Normand
14
A. Laporte
24
M. Cucurella
16
Rodri
8
F. Ruiz
19
L. Yamal
20
Pedri
17
N. Williams
7
A. Morata
7
K. Havertz
19
L. Sane
21
I. Gundogan
10
J. Musiala
8
T. Kroos
25
E. Can
3
D. Raum
4
J. Tah
2
A. Rudiger
6
J. Kimmich
1
M. Neuer

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Germany

Spain & Germany Squad Analysis

Spain clearly has the stronger starting eleven in this matchup. Their starting eleven hasn’t changed in three of their four Euro 2024 games. Luis de la Fuente rested 10 players against Albania for tactical reasons after bagging the group’s top spot. The experienced Alvaro Morata will undoubtedly start upfront against Germany, flanked by speedy youngsters – Lamine Yamal and Inaki Williams. However, Spain’s midfield is where their strength lies. Rodri has excellently dictated play in the middle of the park, capping off his impressive displays with an equalizer against Georgia.

Germany will get a significant squad boost in this matchup. Real Madrid’s Antonio Rudiger will return to the center of defense after a one-game suspension. His club teammate Toni Kroos, who has played in Spain for the last decade, will be crucial in winning the midfield battle against Rodri. On the wings, Leroy Sane might make way for Florian Wirtz after a quiet campaign so far. After impressive returns in this event, Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala are assured starters. Fullkrug, who has scored four goals as a substitute, should offer an exciting option from the bench.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Spain
CD Huachipato Germany
Top Goalscorer
Spain D. Olmo (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany J. Musiala (3 Goals)
Best assists
Spain L. Yamal (4 Assists)
Best assists
Germany J. Kimmich (2 Assists)

Spain - Germany Key Points

  1. Spain has won their last six matches, scoring 19 (3.17 goals per game).
  2. Germany has four wins and two draws in their last six matches, scoring 12 (2.00 goals per game).
  3. 28 of the last 54 games involving Spain have hit over 2.5 goals.
  4. Germany and their opponents have hit over 2.5 goals in 22 of their last 41 games.
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Our Spain vs Germany Prediction

Spain versus Germany is shaping up to be an exciting game that could determine the winner of this tournament. It’s a tough match to call, considering both sides are in excellent form, and Germany has the home advantage. According to the moneyline odds provided, Spain and Germany have 36% and 35% win probabilities, respectively. However, Spain has dominated this matchup, recording four wins and as many draws in the last nine meetings. Overall, we expect both teams to go for the win and exploit scoring opportunities. Our prediction for Spain vs Germany: Over 2.5 goals at full-time.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals at full-time.

+105
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Spain vs Germany - Other Interesting Picks

Jamal Musiala to score

Odds +320
Jamal Musiala is always a threat when in a good mood. The Bavarian midfielder has scored in three of the last four Euro 2024 matches. He added the second goal in Germany’s win over Denmark. Only England’s Wayne Rooney has outscored him in a single European Championship. We expect Musiala to continue his goal-scoring exploits.
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Spain vs Germany Picks
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