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Spain vs Germany Prediction & Picks - Euro
by Stephen Abiola in Euro Picks
Spain and Germany will clash on Friday in a quarter-final game where one of the tournament’s heavy favorites could exit the stage. The Germans have yet to taste defeat in this competition after topping Group A with 7 points. They proceeded to secure a convincing 2-0 win over Denmark 2-0 to book a date with the in-form Spain at the MHPArena in Stuttgart. Like Germany, Spain is also undefeated. The La Roja sailed through Group B after winning all their matchups, including a scrappy 1-0 win over Italy. Their good run continued in the knockout stages after dominating and punishing Georgia 4-1. They showed excellent composure after rallying from one goal behind. Spain’s form in this competition has convinced bookies that they are the favorites on Friday.
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Spain vs Germany Form
Spain and Germany Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 30, 2024 - Euro
Jun 24, 2024 - Euro
Jun 20, 2024 - Euro
Jun 15, 2024 - Euro
Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 30, 2024 - Euro
Jun 20, 2024 - Euro
Jun 15, 2024 - Euro
Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 24, 2024 - Euro
Nov 16, 2023 - Euro
Oct 15, 2023 - Euro
Sep 8, 2023 - Euro
Jun 18, 2023 - UEFA Nations League
Mar 28, 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 29, 2024 - Euro
Jun 23, 2024 - Euro
Jun 19, 2024 - Euro
Jun 14, 2024 - Euro
Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 29, 2024 - Euro
Jun 19, 2024 - Euro
Jun 14, 2024 - Euro
Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 23, 2024 - Euro
Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies
Nov 21, 2023 - International Friendlies
Oct 14, 2023 - International Friendlies
Jun 16, 2023 - International Friendlies
Dec 1, 2022 - World Cup
Spain against Germany : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Nov 27, 2022 - World Cup
Nov 17, 2020 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 3, 2020 - UEFA Nations League
Mar 23, 2018 - International Friendlies
Spain - Germany: Form Analysis
Spain has swept aside every challenge, including statement wins over bigwigs like Italy and Croatia. They have managed to strike the right balance between defending and attacking, conceding only once in this tournament. This was an unfortunate own goal in the 18th minute against Georgia. Interestingly, they finished the group matches without conceding a goal while scoring five. This takes their total goal tally to 9 in four games. It will be interesting to see how Luis del la Fuente’s youthful and energetic men perform against a more formidable opponent like Germany.
Germany has also recorded some ruthless and entertaining displays of their own. They have conceded only twice in this competition against Scotland and Switzerland. Germany showed excellent zeal against the Swiss after scoring an equalizer in the 92nd minute. However, they might not be lucky next time, especially against a well-drilled side like Spain. Die Mannschaft’s attack has been in excellent form in this competition, scoring 10 goals in four matches. It will be hard to stop them if they get past Spain.
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Spain against Germany Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Spain & Germany Squad Analysis
Spain clearly has the stronger starting eleven in this matchup. Their starting eleven hasn’t changed in three of their four Euro 2024 games. Luis de la Fuente rested 10 players against Albania for tactical reasons after bagging the group’s top spot. The experienced Alvaro Morata will undoubtedly start upfront against Germany, flanked by speedy youngsters – Lamine Yamal and Inaki Williams. However, Spain’s midfield is where their strength lies. Rodri has excellently dictated play in the middle of the park, capping off his impressive displays with an equalizer against Georgia.
Germany will get a significant squad boost in this matchup. Real Madrid’s Antonio Rudiger will return to the center of defense after a one-game suspension. His club teammate Toni Kroos, who has played in Spain for the last decade, will be crucial in winning the midfield battle against Rodri. On the wings, Leroy Sane might make way for Florian Wirtz after a quiet campaign so far. After impressive returns in this event, Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala are assured starters. Fullkrug, who has scored four goals as a substitute, should offer an exciting option from the bench.
Most goals and assists
Spain - Germany Key Points
- Spain has won their last six matches, scoring 19 (3.17 goals per game).
- Germany has four wins and two draws in their last six matches, scoring 12 (2.00 goals per game).
- 28 of the last 54 games involving Spain have hit over 2.5 goals.
- Germany and their opponents have hit over 2.5 goals in 22 of their last 41 games.
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Our Spain vs Germany Prediction
Spain versus Germany is shaping up to be an exciting game that could determine the winner of this tournament. It’s a tough match to call, considering both sides are in excellent form, and Germany has the home advantage. According to the moneyline odds provided, Spain and Germany have 36% and 35% win probabilities, respectively. However, Spain has dominated this matchup, recording four wins and as many draws in the last nine meetings. Overall, we expect both teams to go for the win and exploit scoring opportunities. Our prediction for Spain vs Germany: Over 2.5 goals at full-time.
Spain vs Germany - Other Interesting Picks
Jamal Musiala to score
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