USA - NCAA Division I, Championship Women
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by Paul Tamayo | in Basketball Picks
The Southern University Jaguars take on the UC San Diego Tritons in an NCAA First Four game on Wednesday, March 19, 2025, at the Pauley Pavilion.
Both seeded at 16th in the West region, the Jaguars and the Tritons battle for the right to face the 1st-ranked UCLA Bruins in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. They hold almost identical records, with the Jaguars sporting a 20-14 card and the Tritons finishing with 20-15.
These two teams aren't known for their offensive prowess. In terms of offensive rating, Southern is ranked 294th (85.3) and UC San Diego is at 227th (89.3). Sumayah Sugapong leads the Tritons with 14.7 points, while Aniya Gourdine produces a team-best 11.9 points for the Jaguars.
It is on defense that Southern and UC San Diego are at their best. The Jaguars are 38th (82.5) in defensive rating, while theTritons are ranked 21st (80.8). Both these teams force their opponents to commit 20.1 turnovers per game.
Look for Southern and UC San Diego to rely on their strength, which is their respective defensive schemes. With everything on the line, this could be a low-scoring affair between the Jaguars and the Tritons.
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Southern University Jaguars vs UC San Diego Tritons Form
Southern University Jaguars and UC San Diego Tritons Latest Matches

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Women
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Women
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Women
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Feb 15, 2025 - NCAA Women
Southern University Jaguars - UC San Diego Tritons Key Points
- In the last five games, Southern has held their opponents to below 50 points.
- Southern is ranked 38th (82.5) in the country in defensive rating.
- UC San Diego is ranked 21st (89.3) in the country in defensive rating.
- Southern and UC San Diego are ranked 294th and 227th in offensive rating.
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Our Southern University Jaguars vs UC San Diego Tritons Prediction
Between these two teams, no player averages at least 15 points. Other than Southern's Gourdine and UC San Diego's Sugapong, only Sabrina Ma averages double-digit points (10.1). This tells us that we're not going to watch fireworks on the offensive end.
This game will be a tight, defensive-minded battle between two above average defensive teams. Expect a low-scoring game between the Jaguars and the Tritons. Our prediction for the Southern University Jaguars vs UC San Diego Tritons match is: under 109.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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