England - Premier League

Southampton

2/15/25 10:00

Bournemouth

Prediction:

Bournemouth -1

-109

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Southampton vs Bournemouth Prediction & Picks - Premier League

Prediction published on 2/13/25, 10:00 AM by Carlos Zabala | Modified on 2/13/25 at 2:13 PM in Premier League Picks

Southampton, who are virtually relegated, will want to make significant improvements in defence ahead of next season. They have conceded 54 goals in the first 24 Premier League games and no team in Europe's top five has conceded more. The Saints are set to host Iraola's excellent Bournemouth on Saturday, who have only lost one of their last 14 games. Earlier this season in Matchday 6, Bournemouth beat Southampton 3-1 at the Vitality Stadium with first-half goals from Evanilson, Ouattara and Semeyo. In that game, Bournemouth were favourites on the betting sites with odds around -185, very close to what they will have in the return leg against Southampton this time at St Mary's Stadium.

After losing their unbeaten record in 2025 against Liverpool, Bournemouth returned 7 days later but in the FA Cup to the winning path, in a match where the Cherries had an xG of 2.10 and Everton were only allowed to shoot at goal once at Goodison Park.

Despite his team's good form and results, Iraole has been dealing with a long list of injuries since 2024, but at least he has had Justin Kluivert, his main goal producer, healthy almost the entire season and played just 27 minutes in the FA Cup match against Everton.

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Southampton vs Bournemouth Form

Table

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
7 Bournemouth	40	24	11	7	6	13
20 Southampton	9	24	2	3	19	-36

Southampton and Bournemouth Latest Matches

Southampton Latest matches

All Home Away

W L L L W L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton

0 : 1

Burnley

Feb 1, 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town

1 : 2

Southampton

Jan 25, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton

1 : 3

Newcastle

Jan 19, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest

3 : 2

Southampton

Jan 16, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United

3 : 1

Southampton

Jan 12, 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton

3 : 0

Swansea

L L L W L L

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.83 Goals scored

2 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton

0 : 1

Burnley

Jan 25, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton

1 : 3

Newcastle

Jan 12, 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton

3 : 0

Swansea

Jan 4, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton

0 : 5

Brentford

Dec 26, 2024 - Premier League

Southampton

0 : 1

West Ham

Dec 18, 2024 - Carabao Cup

Southampton

1 : 2

Liverpool

L D L L L W

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

67% BTTS

1 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

Feb 1, 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town

1 : 2

Southampton

Jan 19, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest

3 : 2

Southampton

Jan 16, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United

3 : 1

Southampton

Dec 29, 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

2 : 1

Southampton

Dec 22, 2024 - Premier League

Fulham

0 : 0

Southampton

Dec 7, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa

1 : 0

Southampton

Bournemouth Latest matches

All Home Away

W D W W L W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals

50% BTTS

3 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Everton

0 : 2

Bournemouth

Feb 1, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 2

Liverpool

Jan 25, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth

5 : 0

Nottingham Forest

Jan 18, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 4

Bournemouth

Jan 14, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea

2 : 2

Bournemouth

Jan 11, 2025 - FA Cup

Bournemouth

5 : 1

West Brom

D D W W W L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

33% BTTS

2 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

Feb 1, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 2

Liverpool

Jan 25, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth

5 : 0

Nottingham Forest

Jan 11, 2025 - FA Cup

Bournemouth

5 : 1

West Brom

Jan 4, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth

1 : 0

Everton

Dec 26, 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 0

Crystal Palace

Dec 16, 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth

1 : 1

West Ham

W W D D W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.5 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Everton

0 : 2

Bournemouth

Jan 18, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 4

Bournemouth

Jan 14, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea

2 : 2

Bournemouth

Dec 29, 2024 - Premier League

Fulham

2 : 2

Bournemouth

Dec 22, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United

0 : 3

Bournemouth

Dec 8, 2024 - Premier League

Ipswich Town

1 : 2

Bournemouth

Southampton against Bournemouth : Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

50 %

Draw

0 %

Bournemouth

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5

Total goals

33%

BTTS

1.33

Goals scored (Team 1)

1.17

Goals scored (Team 2)

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

Sep 30, 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth

3 : 1

Southampton

Apr 27, 2023 - Premier League

Southampton

0 : 1

Bournemouth

Oct 19, 2022 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 1

Southampton

Mar 20, 2021 - FA Cup

Bournemouth

0 : 3

Southampton

Jul 19, 2020 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 2

Southampton

Sep 20, 2019 - Premier League

Southampton

1 : 3

Bournemouth

Missing players

Southampton

Defender

N. Wood

Forward

R. Stewart

R. Fraser

Bournemouth

Defender

M. Senesi

J. Araujo

A. Smith

J. Hill

J. Soler

Midfielder

A. Scott

Forward

L. Sinisterra

E. Unal

Evanilson

Most goals and assists

Southampton

Bournemouth

Top Goalscorer

C. Archer (5 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

J. Kluivert (11 Goals)

Best assists

M. Fernandes (5 Assists)

Best assists

M. Tavernier (5 Assists)

Southampton and Bournemouth Stats in Premier League

Southampton

Bournemouth

Victories

46%

13%

Draw

29%

79%

Defeats

25%

Total goals per match

2.88

0.75

Goals scored per match

1.71

2.25

Goals conceded per match

1.17

58%

Over 2.5

54%

42%

Under 2.5

46%

54%

BTTS

58%

No goals conceded

25%

Southampton - Bournemouth Key Points

Bournemouth's last 3 games have seen one of the two teams fail to score
Southampton had an xG of 0.88 in their last FA Cup loss to Burnley
Southampton completed 490 of 558 passes attempted in their last game
Bournemouth had 8 shots on target in their last win against Everton

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Our Southampton vs Bournemouth Prediction

After completely opposite seasons, it's logical that the Cherries are heavily favoured in the betting. Southampton have never been able to score three goals in a game this season in the Premier League, nor have they been able to avoid losing in back-to-back games. After being eliminated from the FA Cup at the hands of a second-tier side, there's little reason to believe that Southampton won't lose again at home to a red-hot Bournemouth. Our prediction for Bournemouth vs Southampton is: Bournemouth -1.

Prediction:

Bournemouth -1

-109

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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