ATP - ATP Miami

ATP 53 Italy
Lorenzo Sonego
21 Mar 2024 15:40
ATP 166 Great Britain
Daniel Evans

Prediction:

 

Lorenzo Sonego to Win

-137
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Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Evans Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami

 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Miami Picks

After struggling to get going at the Indian Wells event last week, Lorenzo Sonego and Dan Evans will both hope that the courts in Miami are kinder to them this week, though only one will get their wish as the pair clash in this first-round match . In the early betting, Lorenzo Sonego, despite being slightly lower in the rankings right now, comes into the match as a relatively strong favorite, though I think a rather strong case can be made for the Italian being even stronger in the betting, so much so that he's worthy of betting on at currently available odds.
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Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Evans Form

Lorenzo Sonego and Daniel Evans Latest Matches

Lorenzo Sonego Latest matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 9, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Cameron Norrie
2 :  0
Lorenzo Sonego

Mar 7, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Miomir Kecmanovic

Feb 28, 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Lorenzo Sonego

Feb 27, 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Sumit Nagal
1 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

Feb 19, 2024 - ATP Qatar Open

Pavel Kotov
2 :  0
Lorenzo Sonego

Feb 14, 2024 - ATP Rotterdam

Grigor Dimitrov
2 :  0
Lorenzo Sonego
Daniel Evans Latest matches
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Mar 7, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Roman Safiullin
2 :  1
Daniel Evans

Feb 26, 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open

Daniel Evans
1 :  2
Ben Shelton

Feb 21, 2024 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Thanasi Kokkinakis
2 :  0
Daniel Evans

Feb 19, 2024 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Daniel Evans
2 :  0
Roman Safiullin

Feb 13, 2024 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Daniel Evans
0 :  2
Jordan Thompson

Jan 16, 2024 - ATP Australian Open

Daniel Evans
1 :  3
Lorenzo Sonego

Lorenzo Sonego against Daniel Evans : Head to Head (H2H)

Lorenzo Sonego

100 %

Daniel Evans

0 %

Jan 16, 2024 - ATP Australian Open

Daniel Evans
1 :  3
Lorenzo Sonego

Mar 25, 2023 - ATP Miami

Daniel Evans
1 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

Lorenzo Sonego - Daniel Evans Key Points

  1. Lorenzo Sonego has never lost to Dan Evans, winning each of the previous three match-ups.
  2. All three of Lorenzo Sonego's win against Dan Evans have come on a hard-court surface.
  3. Dan Evans has won just two of his eight hard-court matches in 2024.
  4. Dan Evans has never taken a set from Lorenzo Sonego in three-set matches.
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Our Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Evans Prediction

It's fair to say that neither player comes into this match in blistering form, though I think there's been plenty more to like about Sonego's recent efforts than what we've seen from Evans, who has won just one of his last seven matches, all of which have been played on a hard surface. Moreover, the Englishman hasn't exactly only lost to top-tier players. Sure, one of hsi recent defeats came against the highly exciting Ben Shelton, who is rapidly moving towards stardom, but his other two recent losses have come against players currently ranked outside of the world's top 35. He recently lost in straight sets to 101-ranked Kokkinakis. What's more, it was only two months ago that he lost, quite comfortably to Sonego in Australia. The Italian has since gone on to beat other players that hold similar rankings to Evans, while he also performed very well against Medvedev recently. Consider this in combination with his 100% record against Evans and he starts to look like a very decent bet at odds of -127, which despite not being huge, still look a shade generous. 

Prediction:

 

Lorenzo Sonego to Win

-137
$150 offered for betting!

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Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Evans Picks
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