ATP - ATP Umag Open

ATP 53 Italy
Lorenzo Sonego
24 Jul 2024 10:30
ATP 68 France
Alexandre Muller

Prediction:

 

Lorenzo Sonego to Win

+110
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Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexandre Muller Prediction & Picks - ATP Umag Open

 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

On Wednesday, there's more ATP action in Croatia, where the event in Umag, typically known as the Croatian Open, takes place. Here we have Italian player Lorenzo Sonego taking on Frenchman Alexandre Muller. It is Muller who currently trades as the favorite for this clash, but is that market supremacy justified? I'd argue not. Sonego is far from consistent, but he's not a bad clay-court player, while there's plenty to suggest that he could quuite easily get the better of this lower-ranked player.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexandre Muller Form

Lorenzo Sonego and Alexandre Muller Latest Matches

Lorenzo Sonego Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 22, 2024 - ATP Umag Open

Mili Poljicak
1 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

Jul 3, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Lorenzo Sonego
1 :  3
Roberto Bautista-Agut

Jul 1, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Mariano Navone
0 :  3
Lorenzo Sonego

Jun 26, 2024 - ATP Eastbourne International

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Max Purcell

Jun 25, 2024 - ATP Eastbourne International

Henry Searle
0 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

Jun 19, 2024 - ATP Halle Open

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev
Alexandre Muller Latest matches
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 21, 2024 - ATP Umag Open

Alexandre Muller
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

Jul 16, 2024 - ATP Bastad Open

Denis Yevseyev
2 :  0
Alexandre Muller

Jul 3, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alexandre Muller
1 :  3
Daniil Medvedev

Jul 1, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alexandre Muller
3 :  0
Hugo Gaston

Jun 18, 2024 - ATP Challenger Sassuolo, Italy Men Singles

Jesper De Jong
2 :  0
Alexandre Muller

Jun 16, 2024 - Lyon, France, Qualifying

Hugo Gaston
2 :  1
Alexandre Muller

Lorenzo Sonego against Alexandre Muller : Head to Head (H2H)

Oct 22, 2023 - ATP Vienna

Lorenzo Sonego
1 :  2
Alexandre Muller

Lorenzo Sonego - Alexandre Muller Key Points

  1. When the pair previously met on clay, Lorenzo Sonego won in straight sets.
  2. Lorenzo Sonego has won three of his last four clay-court matches against lower-ranked players.
  3. Alexandre Muller has lost four of his last six clay-court matches against higher-ranked players.
  4. Alexandre Muller has lost three of his last four clay-court matches.

Our Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexandre Muller Prediction

Having recently played on the grass, something that opponent Alexandre Muller avoided, Sonego was likely to take some time to get back into the swing of things on clay, but he warmed up with that win over home-soil player Poljicak during the last round, which should give the Italian a decent base to work from here. If he can build on that, then I really do think he's got a bigger chance of winning this match than the early odds suggest. After all, he beat Muller when the pair previously met on clay, while he has a solid recent record against lower-ranked players on clay. Sure, Muller secured a decent win against Arnaldi last time out, but his overall clay-court form isn't too promising, while he doesn't typically beat many higher-ranked players, or at least he hasn't in recent times. All in all, a win for the Italian looks generously priced. Our Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego to Win. 

Prediction:

 

Lorenzo Sonego to Win

+110
$1500 offered for betting!

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Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexandre Muller Picks