Serie A Picks & Predictions
Moneyline Picks
Serie A
Monza
Como 1907
Serie A
Parma
Inter Milan
Serie A
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Serie A
Lecce
Venezia
Serie A
Empoli
Cagliari
Serie A
Atalanta
Lazio
Serie A
Roma
Juventus
Serie A
Bologna
Napoli
Find our free predictions for the overall standings of Serie A, along with expert picks for every match of the 2024-2025 Italian soccer championship. Tons of useful info for your sports betting!
Serie A: Format and Predictions
The Italian league, known as Serie A, is considered one of the top five leagues alongside the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, and the Bundesliga. That’s one of the reasons why Serie A predictions are so popular. Throughout the tournament, bettors have the chance to place wagers on matches featuring Italy’s 20 best clubs.
From Matchday 1 to Matchday 38 (running from August to late May), our experts provide free Serie A predictions to help you make informed bets. Below, you’ll find our overall predictions, along with key stats and tips on how to make the best Serie A picks.
Free Prediction for the Serie A Champion: Who Will Win the 2024-2025 Serie A?
Last season, while Inter Milan quickly pulled ahead in the title race, the battle for European spots and top-flight survival was fierce until the very end. Once again, the 2024-2025 season has been a treat for spectators.
From the legendary San Siro (also known as the Giuseppe Meazza) to the Juventus Stadium, Stadio Olimpico, and Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Italy’s top clubs are fighting not only for the Serie A title but also for European qualification—whether it’s the Champions League, Europa League, or Europa Conference League—not to mention the intense battle to avoid relegation.
As for the Serie A crown, Inter Milan is expected to be the clear favorite among sportsbooks. We also believe Inter has what it takes to become the 2024-2025 Serie A champion. However, we anticipate a tougher competition than last season, meaning the Nerazzurri won’t have an easy path to the title.
Of course, Naples and Atalanta are in the mix as well. With Lautaro Martínez leading the squad as captain and a strong, united team, we expect Inter Milan to maintain its dominance in Serie A this season.
Our prediction for Serie A: Inter Milan—2024-2025 Italian Champions!
Serie A Odds: the favorites for the Italian title
- Inter -430
- Napoli +280
- Atalanta +10000
- Juventus +23000
- Lazio +43000
Odds from FanDuel.
Serie A Top 4 Prediction: Who will qualify for the Champions League?
Just behind the future champions of Italy, the clubs in second, third, and fourth place in Serie A will book their place in the next Champions League, the 2025-2026 edition.
And sportsbooks are offering bets on this top 4. Our prediction for the top four in the Serie A, moving on to play in the Champions League next season is: Inter Milan, Atalanta, Bologne and Napoli!
Just after Inter Milan, whom we predict as future champions of the Italian league, we have Napoli, under the direction of Antonio Conte. We believe that the champions of two years ago are able to fight for the top four and improve the version of the previous season, in which they finished in 10th place.
Next, Atalanta could be the revelation team, since, after the first round, they are on the podium and are the last UEFA Europa League champions.
Serie A Top 4 Odds:
- Atalanta -1500
- Juventus -290
- Bologna +300
- Lazio +800
- Roma +1400
- Fiorentina +1800
- AC Milan +5000
- Udinese +10000
Odds from FanDuel.
Europa League Qualification Prediction: Which Serie A teams will go to the Europa League?
In addition to the winner of the Coppa Italia, the club that finishes fifth in Serie A at the end of the 2024-2025 season will qualify for the UEFA Europa League (2025-2026 edition).
And in this battle to reach the Europa League, the two clubs from Rome, AS Roma and Lazio, along with Juventus, could be in for a superb fight. After a bad start to the season last year, ¨La Loba¨ is still not quite steady, as they had to sack their coach, Daniele De Rossi and his successor, Ivan Juric, both for poor results, and look for an expert like Claudio Ranieri, champion with Leicester in the Premier League. In turn, the ¨Vecchia Signora¨ will try to be in the European places again after not participating in the current season, while Lazio, the other team of the capital, is always competitive.
Despite the stiff competition for fifth place, our experts have made their picks for the future top five of Serie A. Our prediction: Inter Milan, Atalanta, Bologne, Napoli and Juventus in the top 5!
Conference League Qualification Prediction: Which Serie A clubs will qualify for the Conference League?
Finally, the team that finishes 6th (or 7th, depending on who wins the cup) in Serie A this season will participate in the next edition of the UEFA Europa Conference League.
This third European cup is not taken lightly by Italian clubs either, as Roma won the first edition and Fiorentina reached the final in the last two editions (both lost, unfortunately). As you can see, many Italian clubs are looking forward to at least participating in this European Cup!
For this third cup, again, it is very difficult to make a prediction.... According to our analysis, the top 6 should again include some of the most historic clubs in the Italian league.
We believe that Juventus, in this process of renewal of squad and coach that they are carrying out in the current course, can be encouraged to qualify for international competitions despite not being in their best years. Our prediction: Inter Milan, Atalanta, Bologne, Napoli, Juventus and Roma in the top 6!
Relegation Prediction: Which Serie A club will be relegated?
At the bottom of the table, the objectives are very different. The struggle to stay in the top flight often causes many clubs to fall every year.
And this season, too, the battle will be very close in Serie A. A total of three clubs will be relegated (18th, 19th and 20th) in the 2025-2026 season, and there are several clubs involved, usually those who were recently promoted and are struggling to adapt to the Italian elite, as well as historic clubs that are going through a bad institutional moment and that is reflected in the sporting side. Our picks for relegation: Monza, Venezia and Empoli!
Serie A Relegation Odds:
- AC Monza -20000
- Venezia -750
- Parma -120
- Empoli +170
- Lecce +200
- Verona +3200
- Cagliari +4400
- Como +10000
- Genoa +10000
Odds from FanDuel.
Serie A Golden Boot Prediction: Who will score the most goals?
There is more at stake in the Italian league than just the teams. In fact, in Serie A there is a hotly contested individual title every season, that of top scorer (capocannoniere). In the new 2024-2025 season, which striker can finish at the top of the Italian league? Here is a list of players to keep an eye on this season:
- Mateo Retegui (Atalanta)
- Lautaro Martinez (Inter Milan)
- Artem Dovbyk (AS Roma)
- Marcus Thuram (Inter Milan)
- Dusan Vlahovic (Juventus)
- Moise Kean (Fiorentina)
After Victor Osimhen won the Serie A top scorer award two years ago and Lautaro Martinez last year, the Argentina international is expected to renew his title this year. The Inter Milan striker (who is expected to be crowned Serie A champion) is the man to watch this season. But the ¨9¨ of the Italian National Team, Mateo Retegui, should not be overlooked either, with his great goal-scoring form at Atalanta, as well as Lautaro Martinez's striker partner at Inter, the Frenchman Marcus Thuram.
Beginner Bettors: How does the Serie A work?
The Italian first division championship has 20 participating teams that play against each other in round-robin matches. The first phase is played between August and December, and all the clubs in this period play each other once. The same occurs between January and May, so that all teams play each other twice (home and away) for a total of 38 matchdays. That is 380 matches per edition of Serie A. Therefore, at the end of the competition, certain positions have a considerable influence on the fate of the club:
- The team that finishes the tournament in first place is the champion of Italy (and qualifies for the Champions League).
- The second, third and fourth qualify for the Champions League
- The fifth (and sixth, depending on the winner of the Coppa Italia) qualifies for the Europa League
- The sixth (or seventh, depending on the winner of the Coppa Italia) qualifies for the Conference League.
- Eighteenth, nineteenth and twentieth are relegated to Serie B
Whether at the top or bottom of the table, many teams in the Italian league are fighting for one goal. This explains why predictions for all Serie A matches are eagerly awaited by all bettors.
How to Make Smart Serie A Predictions?
To make accurate predictions on the next round of Serie A, some free tips from our experts that can be useful for bettors, such as having a solid knowledge of the competition. However, this is not enough and a good practice is equally necessary. The SportyTrader website, specialized in soccer, but also in Serie A for several years, offers its tips on the best way to forecast:
- Check the physical condition of each Italian team
- Analyze Serie A stats
- Heed expert advice
- Take into account what is at stake in Serie A matches
- Check the list of absent players in Italy
These are the minimum elements to more accurately predict each Serie A match and place soccer bets on the three-way moneyline market. In the following sections we delve into the above elements to play reliable Serie A bets.
Check the physical condition of each Italian team
This is probably the most important advice for making a reliable prediction in the Serie A. Checking and considering the form of all 20 teams should be an automatic and essential step if you want to bet on Serie A. For example, if you want to bet on Napoli but the team hasn’t won in seven matches, while their opponent is on a five-game winning streak, it might be better to avoid making that bet. On the other hand, a double chance bet on the opponent could be the right choice.
However, it’s important to stress that it’s not enough to just check recent results. It’s equally important to look at the statistical data for the teams involved: possession, goals scored and conceded, number of shots taken and received, goals conceded, etc. A team may have dominated their last two opponents but still lost... This, however, doesn’t mean they’re out of form.
At the end of the season, it will also be crucial to know the teams' schedules, especially for those involved in international competitions, as the "knockout" matches often lead coaches to prioritize one competition over another. This can give teams that aren’t favorites a better chance of winning due to the opponent’s fatigue or lineup rotation.
Analyze Serie A stats
Our second piece of advice: analyze the Serie A statistics! What's important is to get a general idea of the numbers from the very beginning. Below on this page, you can access the best statistics for Serie A matches, especially in terms of goals scored (Under/Over). This information can be useful for placing certain types of bets.
Secondly, having access to the statistics of each team’s most recent matches in Italy’s top division is equally important for making solid betting predictions. By reviewing the most up-to-date stats, you'll also get a sense of each club's current form.
Check what the experts are saying
Here’s a key piece of advice for success when betting on the best sportsbooks, even those offering no-deposit betting bonuses. In fact, before placing a bet on Italy's top soccer league, relying on expert predictions will help you make your own forecasts, reinforcing your personal analysis.
The experts at SportyTrader take multiple aspects of a match into account and evaluate a large number of statistics from previous and upcoming games in order to offer the best and most reliable predictions. Especially for those who enjoy combo betting, following our experts' advice for moneyline bets can be a great resource.
Take into account what is at stake in Serie A matches
For this fourth tip, there won’t be any statistical analysis, but rather the context in which both teams will play the match. Is it a notoriously heated derby like the one in Lombardy or the capital? Were there any issues in the last match? These are very important aspects that are often overlooked by many bettors.
For example, you’ll notice that in recent direct encounters between Roma and Lazio, the tension tends to take over the game, limiting the number of goals scored. The Over 2.5 bet might not be the best choice in this case.
Check the list of absent players in Italy
And finally, the last piece of advice is obviously very important. Although soccer is played 11 against 11, it’s well known that there are certain players who are indispensable. These players are difficult to replace when they’re unavailable, especially in teams that don’t have deep or well-balanced squads.
Before placing any bet, it’s essential to check the list of players called up for the teams involved in the match you want to bet on, in order to identify any key absences. Looking at the likely starting lineups can help you decide what kind of bet to make: an absence among the home team could even lead you to favor the away team (sign 2), as the odds for the home team (sign 1) might rise, while a draw could be a safer option.
Injuries, suspensions, loss of form, off-field issues, disagreements... there can be many reasons why a player might not be available for a match. All of this should be checked before placing any bets with online sports betting operators.
Of course, our team of experts takes all these factors into account before publishing any Serie A match predictions.
Mistakes to Avoid When Betting on the Serie A
Among the best tips for making smart bets on Serie A matches are also those that highlight things you should avoid. In fact, certain bad habits should definitely be avoided. Below, you’ll find everything that’s not recommended before making a Serie A prediction:
- Not analyzing a soccer match (in this case, Serie A)
- Betting only on high odds
- Not comparing odds available in the market and betting on lower odds
- Betting on Serie A without understanding it well
- Trying to recover a lost bet in Serie A at all costs
- Betting too frequently on live odds or high odds
- Betting too often on your favorite team
Still, too many novice and experienced bettors are often influenced by these bad habits. So, make sure to leave them behind before betting on Serie A!
Key Statistics You Should Know About Serie A
In addition to everything we’ve just described, having a good understanding of the most important statistics in Serie A is also a key factor for successful soccer predictions. Without further delay, here are the key stats you should consider when making predictions for the Italian league. These are based on the most recent edition (2023-2024):
- Home Wins: 42%
- Draws: 29%
- Away Wins: 29%
- Goals per Game Average: 2.61 goals per match
- +0.5 Goals: 92%
- -0.5 Goals: 8%
- +1.5 Goals: 74%
- -1.5 Goals: 26%
- +2.5 Goals: 49%
- -2.5 Goals: 51%
- +3.5 Goals: 26%
- -3.5 Goals: 74%
- +4.5 Goals: 12%
- -4.5 Goals: 88%
- Both Teams to Score - Yes: 52%
- Goals per Game (Home): 1.43
- Goals per Game (Away): 1.18
- Shots per Game Average: 21.26
- Home Team Scores First: 51%
- Away Team Scores First: 41%
- Matches Won by 2+ Goal Margin (Handicap): 33%
- Exact Score 0-0: 7.9% of matches
- Exact Score 1-1: 13.4% of matches
- Most Common Scoreline: 1-0 or 0-1 (17.6% of matches)
- Quarter of the Match with Most Goals: 76'-90' (24%)
When betting on Serie A, you’ll notice that certain types of bets are more favorable. The percentage of home wins remains relatively low, so it might be worth considering a double-chance bet on 'Draw & Away Team'.
For the best odds, an away win could be quite interesting based on these stats. Also, the exact score of 1-0 occurs in nearly 1 out of every 5 matches. The odds for this type of bet should be very attractive, and it's now one of the most popular bets in soccer, so don’t hesitate to try it out this season.
In Short: How to get your predictions right in Serie A?
To make reliable soccer predictions about Italy’s Serie A, there are several things you need to consider and put into practice. For example, it’s important to analyze each match, but you also need to follow all the best practices we've discussed, as well as have a solid understanding of how the competition works and the key statistics.
If you think doing all this will take too much time before each Serie A prediction, remember that all you need to do is consult the predictions from our Serie A and Italian soccer experts, which are available before each match.
As a reminder, we offer a detailed analysis of all 380 matches in the Italian league, completely free and accessible at the top of this page. Find all Serie A predictions on Sportytrader—your ideal guide throughout the year!
Our Current Free Serie A Predictions
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