ATP - ATP Australian Open

ATP 1 Italy
Jannik Sinner
1/26/25 03:30
ATP 2 Germany
Alexander Zverev

Prediction:

 

Alexander Zverev will win

+225
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Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open

 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Australian Open Picks

Jannik Sinner of Italy will take on Alexander Zverev of Germany in a titanic showdown for the Australian Open men’s singles title on Sunday on Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne, Australia. Sinner reached the final of the Australian Open for a second straight year after making quick work of Ben Shelton of the United States 7-6(2) 6-2 6-2. Still hot after disposing Alex de Minaur also in straight sets in the quarterfinal 6-3 6-2 6-1, The Italian faced resistance from the big-serving Shelton in the first set, where he was broken two times. Sinner still made the big shots down the stretch to capture the first set via tiebreaker. Shelton, however, could not hang around much as Sinner raised the ante in the following two sets to secure his second consecutive straight-set win and a place in the championship match. Zverev advanced to his first Australian Open final after Novak Djokovic retired from the game due to a muscle tear. Zverev took the fight out of the 24-time Grand Slam champion after edging him in the first set tie-breaker 7-6 (5). The win propelled him to a third Grand Slam final appearance and, most importantly, gave him another shot at a major title after coming up short at the 2020 US Open and 2024 French Open.

Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev Form

Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev Latest Matches

Jannik Sinner Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jan 24, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Ben Shelton

Jan 22, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Jan 19, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Holger Rune

Jan 18, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Marcos Giron

Jan 16, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Tristan Schoolkate

Jan 12, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Nicolás Jarry
Alexander Zverev Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jan 23, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Novak Djokovic
abort
Alexander Zverev

Jan 20, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Tommy Paul
1 :  3
Alexander Zverev

Jan 19, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Ugo Humbert
1 :  3
Alexander Zverev

Jan 16, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Jacob Fearnley
0 :  3
Alexander Zverev

Jan 15, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Pedro Martinez
0 :  3
Alexander Zverev

Jan 12, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Lucas Pouille
0 :  3
Alexander Zverev

Jannik Sinner against Alexander Zverev : Head to Head (H2H)

Jannik Sinner

33 %

Alexander Zverev

67 %

Aug 18, 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  1
Alexander Zverev

Sep 4, 2023 - ATP US Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  2
Jannik Sinner

Apr 15, 2022 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jannik Sinner
1 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Sep 6, 2021 - ATP US Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  0
Jannik Sinner

Oct 24, 2020 - Cologne II, Germany, Qualifying

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Jannik Sinner

Oct 4, 2020 - ATP French Open

Alexander Zverev
1 :  3
Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev: Form Analysis

Despite not participating in pre-season tournaments, Sinner proved too good to reach the final. The Italian defeated Nicolas Jarry 7-6(2) 7-6(5) 6-1 in the first round, Tristan Schoolkate 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3 in the second, Marcos Giron 6-3 6-4 6-2 in the third, Holger Rune 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the fourth, De Minaur 6-3 6-2 6-1 in the quarters and Shelton 7-6(2) 6-2 6-2 in the semis.

Sinner dropped a total of three sets in this tournament so far.

Alexander Zverev made it through to his first Australian Open finals by eliminating Lucas Pouille 6-4 6-4 6-4, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-1 6-4 6-1, Jacon Fearnley 6-3 6-4 6-4, Ugo Humbert 6-1 2-6 6-3 6-2, Tommy Paul 7-6(1) 7-6(0) 2-6 6-1 and Djokovic 7-6(5) ret.

Jannik Sinner & Alexander Zverev Squad Analysis

Jannik Sinner struggled with his fitness during his match with Holger Rune in the round of 16. Before his quarterfinal match with Alex De Minaur, there were rumors that Sinner had pneumonia-like symptoms, though he quickly squashed the unconfirmed report by putting together a masterful performance against De Minaur, eliminating the Aussie in straight sets.

The bicep strain that forced Alexander Zverev to withdraw from the United Cup is no longer an issue in Melbourne.

Zverev has already logged 18 sets in this tourney, never showing an indication of an injury and expressing concerns about his stamina. The German is tip-top and looks prepared to take on Sinner in a long match.

Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev Key Points

  1. Jannik Sinner defeated Ben Shelton 7-6(2) 6-2 6-2 in the semifinal.
  2. Jannik Sinner eyes his second straight Australian Open title.
  3. Alexander Zverev defeated Novak Djokovic 7-6 (5) ret. in the semifinal.
  4. Alexander Zverev eyes his first Grand Slam title.

Our Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Alexander Zverev is one of few players on the tour with Sinner’s number. Zverev has a 4-2 edge in the head-to-head series, beating the Italian three times on the hard court. Sinner won their last encounter in the semifinal of the 2024 Cincinnati Masters 7-6(9) 5-7 7-6(4), but that match was tightly contested, and it could have gone either way. I know Sinner is the overwhelming favorite in this final, but I am throwing the gauntlet here: Zverev will win his first Grand Slam in a five-setter. Sinner has been playing terrific tennis throughout the competition, but you can say the same for Zverev, who has only lost two sets in this tourney. The German is also 3-for-3 in the tiebreaker, whereas Sinner is 2-for-3. Beating the world’s No.1 and defending champion is no easy feat. However, I really believe that this is the year when Zverev finally gets over the hump and challenges the Alcaraz and Sinners of the world on the ATP Tour. Our betting prediction for Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Zverev will win.

Prediction:

 

Alexander Zverev will win

+225
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Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev - Other Interesting Picks

Zverev will win 3-2.

Odds +675

Alexander Zverev and Jannik Sinner have played six times, and each one of these matches is played at a high level. Expect another all-out battle in Sunday’s final as these players lay everything on the line. Both players are serving well in this tournament, with Zverev holding 90 percent of his serves and Sinner holding serves at 96 percent. They are also excellent at saving break points. Zverev has saved 27 of 35 break points, while Sinner saved 13 of 16. These numbers only suggest that this match has the potential to go the distance, which already happened once in their head-to-head at a Grand Slam event. Zverev defeated Sinner 6-4 3-6 6-2 4-6 6-3 in the fourth round of the 2023 US Open. Our betting prediction for Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Zverev will win 3-2.

$200 offered for betting!

Over 40.5 Games.

Odds -105

Again, these two players always produce exciting, high-level matches whenever they face each other. And with the Australian Open final title hanging in the balance on Sunday, they are bound to trade bombs and engage in a tactical back-and-forth battle. Of course, since I predict this match to go to the limit, it’s only right that we expect more than 40 games in this championship match. Both players are in terrific condition physically and mentally, fit to go through another grueling marathon match if necessary. Our betting prediction for Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Over 40.5 Games.

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Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev Picks