Olympics - Men's Olympic Tournament

Serbia
10 Aug 2024 05:00
Germany

Prediction:

Serbia will win.

-134
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Serbia vs Germany Prediction & Picks - Men's Olympic Tournament

 by Lou Aguila | in Basketball Picks

Roughly 48 hours after suffering the most painful basketball defeat in their nations’ history, Germany and Serbia lock horns in the bronze medal match of men’s 5x5 basketball at Accor Arena. Germany’s goal of holding the World and Olympic champion simultaneously dashed away on Friday as they bowed out from the gold medal contention following a 73-69 loss to the host country, France. Dennis Schroder scored a team-high 18 points and Franz Wagner 8 points and 11 rebounds for Germany, who struggled to knock down their shots late in the match. It’s the first loss for Germany in this Olympic tournament but that was enough for them to be relegated to the bronze medal match with Serbia, who are also licking their wound after almost upsetting Team USA 91-95. Serbia stormed to a huge lead in the first half and had a sizeable lead entering the fourth quarter until Team USA dropped 32 points in the payoff period to pull off arguably the most scintillating comeback win in their program’s history.

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Serbia vs Germany Form

Serbia and Germany Latest Matches

Serbia
Serbia Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 8, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Serbia
91 :  95
USA

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
90 :  95
Serbia

Aug 3, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

South Sudan
85 :  96
Serbia

Jul 31, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Serbia
107 :  66
Puerto Rico

Jul 28, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
110 :  84
Serbia

Jul 22, 2024 - International Friendly Games

Greece
72 :  94
Serbia
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
90 :  95
Serbia

Aug 3, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

South Sudan
85 :  96
Serbia

Jul 28, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
110 :  84
Serbia

Jul 22, 2024 - International Friendly Games

Greece
72 :  94
Serbia

Jul 21, 2024 - International Friendly Games

Japan
100 :  119
Serbia

Feb 23, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Finland
61 :  77
Serbia
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 8, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Serbia
91 :  95
USA

Jul 31, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Serbia
107 :  66
Puerto Rico

Jul 17, 2024 - International Friendly Games

Serbia
79 :  105
USA

Jul 16, 2024 - International Friendly Games

Serbia
73 :  84
Australia

Jul 12, 2024 - International Friendly Games

Serbia
79 :  67
France

Feb 26, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Serbia
76 :  63
Georgia
Germany
Germany Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 8, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
69 :  73
France

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
63 :  76
Germany

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
85 :  71
France

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
86 :  73
Brazil

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
77 :  97
Germany

Jul 22, 2024 - International Friendly Games

Germany
88 :  92
USA
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
63 :  76
Germany

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
77 :  97
Germany

Jul 19, 2024 - International Friendly Games

Japan
83 :  104
Germany

Jul 13, 2024 - International Friendly Games

Netherlands
50 :  95
Germany

Jul 6, 2024 - International Friendly Games

France
90 :  66
Germany

Feb 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Montenegro
61 :  85
Germany
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 8, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
69 :  73
France

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
85 :  71
France

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
86 :  73
Brazil

Jul 22, 2024 - International Friendly Games

Germany
88 :  92
USA

Jul 8, 2024 - International Friendly Games

Germany
70 :  65
France

Feb 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Germany
62 :  67
Bulgaria

Serbia against Germany : Head to Head (H2H)

Sep 10, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Serbia
77 :  83
Germany

Serbia - Germany: Form Analysis

Germany thrives in a slow-paced offense that generates 82.6 points on 70 ball possessions per 40 minutes. Germany is averaging 31.4 rebounds and 19.4 assists per game while holding their opponents in this Olympics under 80 points. Serbia emerges as the second-best offensive team in the tournament behind Team USA. Averaging 94.6 points per game, Serbia boasts a true shooting of 60.7 percent and 82.8 ball possessions per 40 minutes.

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Serbia & Germany Squad Analysis

Dennis Schroder is Germany’s chief playmaker who can score in bunches. He averages 18.0 points and 7.8 rebounds in five games in this Olympics. Franz Wagner leads the team in scoring at 18.6 points per game, while Daniel Theis stands out in the rebounding department at 8.0 rebounds per game. Team Serbia is led by their two NBA stars, Bogdan Bogdanovic and Nikola Jokic. Nikola Jokic averages 18.8 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 8.2 assists per game. Bogdanovic is the other main gunner for Serbia, with 18.8 points per contest.

Serbia - Germany Key Points

  1. Germany and Serbia were the finalists at last year’s FIBA World Cup.
  2. Germany lost to France 69-73, while Serbia lost to the USA 95-91 in the semifinals.
  3. Germany averages 82.6 ppg, while Serbia averages 94.6 ppg.
  4. Nikola Jokic scores 17 points, 5 rebounds and 11 assists in the loss to Serbia.
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Our Serbia vs Germany Prediction

Germany and Serbia met in last year’s FIBA World Cup in which the former won 83-77. In that game, Serbia didn’t have Nikola Jokic who opted out of the tournament to take some rest after winning the 2023 NBA championship. For me, Jokic will play a big difference in this match since he has been a focal point of Serbia’s offense throughout the tournament. I expect the three-time NBA MVP to impose his will inside, helping Serbia secure the bronze. Our betting prediction for Germany vs. Serbia: Bet on Serbia to win, -134, at FanDuel.

Prediction:

Serbia will win.

-134
$150 offered for betting!

Serbia vs Germany - Other Interesting Picks

Total UNDER 170.5 Points

Odds -105

While Serbia boasts the second-best offensive in the competition, I believe the battle for bronze will be played at a much slower tempo. Germany has been successful in keeping every opponent under 80 points, and they will do the same against Serbia. As good as Germany is defensively, the lack of any shot creator except Schroder and Wagner has been revealed as their main weakness against France—our betting prediction for Germany vs. Serbia: Under 170.5 points, -105, at BetMGM.

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Nikola Jokic UNDER 40.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists Player Combo

Odds -130

Nikola Jokic averages 18.8 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 8.2 assists per game in the tournament. Against the USA, Jokic was held to 17 points, five rebounds, and 11 assists. There’s no questioning ability to impact the game in different ways. He’s a walking 7-foot triple-double machine, after all. However, asking him to exceed 40.5 from combined points, rebounds, and assists is just too much in a highly physical, slow-paced 40-minute of international basketball. Our betting prediction for Germany vs. Serbia: Nikola Jokic UNDER 40.5 on points + rebounds + assists combo, -130, at DraftKings.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Serbia vs Germany Picks
Up to $150 to bet on Serbia - Germany! 

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