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Sebastian Baez vs Holger Rune Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open
by Edgar Jibran | in ATP Italian Open Picks
The third round of the ATP 1000 in Rome has 8 matches to be disputed next Monday, May 13th, and one of the most attractive is the confrontation between Sebastian Baez and Holger Rune, players that will face not before 08:00 am Central Time knowing that this tournament is a great opportunity for them to try to recover their best performance just before Roland Garros.
First of all, when looking at Sebastian Baez’s performance, the Argentinian has disappointed after winning only 2 out of 5 disputed matches over clay, being predictable that he has been really far from competing in final instances. In addition, he had a difficult start on Rome after defeating Dusan Lajovic (7-6, 7-6), so there aren’t big expectations set on him.
On Holger Rune’s side he’s still so far from the best shape of his career and it has been notorious during the clay season as he hasn’t been able to compete on the most important tournaments such as in Montecarlo or Madrid, so Rome is his last opportunity to bright before Roland Garros. In this regard, he had a solid debut after defeating Luca Nardi in two straight sets (4-6, 4-6), but he committed 18 unforced errors during the match.
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Sebastian Baez vs Holger Rune Form
Sebastian Baez and Holger Rune Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 11, 2024 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 28, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 16, 2024 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 7, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 23, 2024 - ATP Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 11, 2024 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 28, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 20, 2024 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 19, 2024 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 18, 2024 - ATP Munich Open
Sebastian Baez against Holger Rune : Head to Head (H2H)
Oct 26, 2023 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Sebastian Baez - Holger Rune Key Points
- Sebastian Baez hasn’t won 2 matches in a row since he conquered the championship of the ATP in Santiago last March 2024.
- Holger Rune accumulates an irregular streak of 3 consecutive matches in which he won at least 1 set per match, but he also lost at least 1 set per match during his last 4 disputed matches.
- Sebastian Baez in direct duels against Rune, carries a streak of 2 victories in straight sets over clay, but those weren’t achieved in Europe.
- Holger Rune in face-to-face matches against Baez, won their most recent confrontation even when it was over hard surface (7-6, 6-1) during the ATP 250 in Basel 2023.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Holger Rune Prediction
To sum up, this matchup will be a great opportunity for Baez to take advantage of the bad moment that Rune has been crossing during the most recent months, but the bookmakers’ odds are clearly choosing the Danish as the favorite to advance, so the pick for Sebastian Baez – Holger Rune is: Over 2.5 Sets!
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