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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox and the Seattle Mariners will duke it out again in Thursday’s rubber match at Fenway Park.
After taking Game 1 via score of 8-3, the Red Sox absorbed a 5-8 loss to the Mariners in Game 2 as starting pitcher Sean Newcomb bombed out with four earned runs in 5.1 innings. The Red Sox’s pitching has been erratic in the last five games, throwing a 4.11 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.
The Mariners leveled the series at 1-1 behind a 8-run explosion by their batting corps. In their last five games, Seattle is averaging 5.3 runs on a .250 batting average. Despite .228 BA (22nd in the league), Seattle owns the 12th best total runs in baseball with 109.
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Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
11
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0.542 | 24 | 13 | 11 |
13
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0.538 | 26 | 14 | 12 |
Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 23, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 17, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 13, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 11, 2025 - MLB
Apr 9, 2025 - MLB
Apr 8, 2025 - MLB
Apr 7, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 23, 2025 - MLB
Apr 22, 2025 - MLB
Apr 20, 2025 - MLB
Apr 19, 2025 - MLB
Apr 18, 2025 - MLB
Apr 17, 2025 - MLB

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 23, 2025 - MLB
Apr 22, 2025 - MLB
Apr 21, 2025 - MLB
Apr 20, 2025 - MLB
Apr 19, 2025 - MLB
Apr 18, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 23, 2025 - MLB
Apr 22, 2025 - MLB
Apr 21, 2025 - MLB
Apr 20, 2025 - MLB
Apr 19, 2025 - MLB
Apr 18, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 16, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 14, 2025 - MLB
Apr 13, 2025 - MLB
Apr 12, 2025 - MLB
Apr 11, 2025 - MLB
Seattle Mariners against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Apr 23, 2025 - MLB
Apr 22, 2025 - MLB
Jul 31, 2024 - MLB
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Seattle Mariners - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games against Seattle.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road.
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Our Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Mariners, Red Sox engage in run bonanza again to push the total past OVER.
Despite an impeccable stat line from Garret Crochet (4-1, 1.12 ERA in his last 5 starts), I still think the Red Sox will concede at least four runs in this game, mainly because they have one of the worst bullpens in baseball with a 4.47 ERA. The Mariners have also thrown a 4.11 ERA and produced 5.3 runs per game in their last five game. In the last three Red Sox and Mariners meetings, they combined for 10 runs per contest. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games and 6 of Boston's last 9 games. Our betting prediction for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: Over 8.0 Runs.
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