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San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction & Picks - MLB
by Dan Angell | in MLB Picks
The San Diego Padres (70-54 SU, 65-59 ATS) finish off their series with the opponent that has been their bogey team, the Colorado Rockies (45-79 SU, 63-61 ATS). The Padres finally won a series from Colorado last time they met, but before that, the Rockies had really done a number on them. Even after their modest success at the start of August, San Diego has won just three times in their past nine meetings with the Rockies.
Four seems to be the magic number for the Rockies in this matchup. Over the past 10 meetings, San Diego has managed to keep Colorado to three runs or less four times, and all four were the games the Padres won. It’s been 11 months since the Padres beat the Rockies while allowing Colorado to top three runs, a streak that covers 14 games.
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San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
4
|
0.574 | 162 | 93 | 69 |
29
|
0.377 | 162 | 61 | 101 |
San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 17, 2024 - MLB
Aug 16, 2024 - MLB
Aug 14, 2024 - MLB
Aug 13, 2024 - MLB
Aug 12, 2024 - MLB
Aug 11, 2024 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 14, 2024 - MLB
Aug 13, 2024 - MLB
Aug 12, 2024 - MLB
Aug 4, 2024 - MLB
Aug 3, 2024 - MLB
Aug 2, 2024 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 17, 2024 - MLB
Aug 16, 2024 - MLB
Aug 11, 2024 - MLB
Aug 10, 2024 - MLB
Aug 9, 2024 - MLB
Aug 8, 2024 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 17, 2024 - MLB
Aug 16, 2024 - MLB
Aug 14, 2024 - MLB
Aug 13, 2024 - MLB
Aug 12, 2024 - MLB
Aug 11, 2024 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 17, 2024 - MLB
Aug 16, 2024 - MLB
Aug 11, 2024 - MLB
Aug 10, 2024 - MLB
Aug 9, 2024 - MLB
Aug 8, 2024 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 14, 2024 - MLB
Aug 13, 2024 - MLB
Aug 12, 2024 - MLB
Aug 4, 2024 - MLB
Aug 3, 2024 - MLB
Aug 2, 2024 - MLB
San Diego Padres against Colorado Rockies : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Aug 17, 2024 - MLB
Aug 16, 2024 - MLB
Aug 4, 2024 - MLB
Aug 3, 2024 - MLB
Aug 2, 2024 - MLB
May 15, 2024 - MLB
San Diego Padres - Colorado Rockies Key Points
- Six of the past seven games have been decided by three runs or more.
- The visiting team has won five of the past eight meetings.
- The Padres are 12-2 in their past 14 games.
- The Rockies are 3-7 in their past 10 games.
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Our San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
There’s a reason that the Padres are heavy favorites here, but Joe Musgrove’s performances away from home are worth a second look. His ERA away from home is an ugly 6.94, in an admittedly small sample size. By a quirk of scheduling and the rotation, only three of Musgrove’s 11 starts this season have come away from Petco Park.
He also hasn’t pitched in Denver since 2022. That’s a park that’s tough for anyone to pitch in, and Musgrove’s strikeout numbers aren’t quite as good as they’ve been in past years. He’s averaging under a strikeout per inning, and when he has to get outs by pitching to contact, he’s not anywhere near as good of a pitcher. With the Rockies going with a bullpen game, there’s a good chance that both teams get the bats working early and often. Our prediction for San Diego vs. Colorado is Over 11.5 Runs.
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