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San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks - NBA
by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks
The San Antonio Spurs will be aiming to even the season series when they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Sunday night. The Timberwolves have climbed to seventh place in the Western Conference standings, while the Spurs remain entrenched in the 13th spot. Minnesota enters this matchup with momentum, coming off a narrow two-point victory over the Miami Heat.
The Timberwolves are currently riding a four-game winning streak, benefiting from both an easier schedule and strong contributions from their bench unit. Anthony Edwards continues to be the team’s primary offensive weapon, demonstrating his ability to carry the scoring load efficiently. Randle’s return has provided the team with additional versatility, though he is still adjusting to his new role within the system.
Meanwhile, the Spurs come into this game after an 18-point loss to the Sacramento Kings, despite a standout 25-point performance from rookie Stephon Castle. The team has struggled significantly since the beginning of January, posting an 8-19 record in that span. Their struggles are particularly concerning given that even when Victor Wembanyama was available, they were unable to string together consistent performances. His absence has further exposed the team's weaknesses, particularly on the defensive end. Additionally, newly acquired guard De’Aaron Fox has yet to find his rhythm in San Antonio as he adjusts to a different offensive system.
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San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
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7
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0.554 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 4 |
13
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0.426 | 61 | 26 | 35 | -1 |
San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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San Antonio Spurs against Minnesota Timberwolves : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
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San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves Key Points
- The Timberwolves are 29-35-1 ATS this season
- The Spurs are 27-34 ATS this season
- The Spurs are 1-7 in their last 8 games at Target Center
- The Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. Western Conference teams
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Our San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
The Timberwolves hold a clear advantage heading into this matchup. They have shot the ball efficiently in recent games, converting over 51% of their attempts in their last three outings. In contrast, the Spurs have struggled offensively, shooting just 45% on the road. Free-throw shooting has also been a disparity between the two teams, with Minnesota hitting more than 75% of its attempts during this recent stretch, while the Spurs have failed to reach 65%.
The Timberwolves also have a strong presence on the boards, particularly on the offensive glass, averaging 12 offensive rebounds per game at home. This ability to generate second-chance opportunities will likely create problems for a Spurs team that has struggled defensively. San Antonio’s defense has been porous in recent games, allowing opponents to score more than 125 points per game in their last three outings. Given these factors, the Timberwolves appear well-positioned to extend their winning streak and capitalize on the Spurs’ ongoing struggles. Our prediction for the Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs: Timberwolves win and cover.
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