Olympics - Rugby Sevens Picks & Predictions
Presentation and Predictions for Rugby Sevens at the 2024 Olympic Games
Rugby Sevens is also on the calendar for the 2024 Olympics! A faster and more intense variant of rugby compared to rugby union, Rugby Sevens (or rugby VII) usually offers spectacular matches. Held from July 24 to 30, 2024 in Paris (Saint-Denis), the Rugby Sevens tournament at the 2024 Olympic Games promises to be highly competitive, making your predictions particularly interesting.
In 2021, it was Fiji who won the men's tournament, having also won the first edition. Who will manage to prevail in this 3rd edition and succeed the Fijians? Which nations are among the favorites for these Olympic Rugby Sevens? We tell you everything on this page!
Prediction for the winner of the Rugby Sevens Olympics: who will win the men's tournament in 2024?
Although it's not the easiest question to answer given the narrow gaps in level between the different teams participating in the competition, we can still provide a group of favorites.
Indeed, according to our Rugby Sevens experts, the final victory should be contested between France, Argentina, New Zealand, Fiji, and Australia. These teams were the first to qualify for the Olympic Rugby Sevens tournament during the World Rugby Sevens Series 2022-2023, with the exception of France, which qualified automatically as the host country.
Slightly behind, Ireland and the United States are serious outsiders for the victory, but they may have a harder time against the top teams mentioned earlier.
Our prediction for the winner of the 2024 Rugby 7s Olympics is a French success. With their convincing results in recent tournaments and their affordable pool - unlike New Zealand - Les Bleus have the potential to win a gold medal in this discipline. Our prediction for the 2024 Olympic Games - Rugby 7s: victory for France!
Prediction for the 2024 Olympic Rugby Sevens - the odds for the favorites for the Olympic title
- France +200
- Argentina +320
- New Zealand +390
- Fiji +500
- Ireland +1400
- Australia +1400
- South Africa +2400
- United States +4500
- Samoa +10000
- Uruguay +20000
- Japan +20000
- Kenya +20000
Odds provided by DraftKings
Prediction for the medals: who is the favorite for gold, silver, and bronze in Rugby Sevens?
In line with our prediction for the winner of the men's tournament at the 2024 Olympics, here is our analysis of the favorites for the medals. These nations have performed the best in recent tournaments and have the squads to go all the way.
New Zealand, France, Argentina, Fiji, and Australia are the main teams to watch. Double title holders, Fiji are likely to finish in the top 3 once again, as is New Zealand, the finalist of the last edition. Antoine Dupont's France, which won the gold medal at the Madrid tournament, can leverage their status as the host country to make a difference and aim for a medal. Finally, Argentina, always present in major tournaments and 3rd in Tokyo, could once again deliver a strong performance in Saint-Denis.
For the gold, New Zealand is, as a reminder, our favorite, closely followed by Fiji and France, who could contend for silver and bronze. Argentina and Australia should not be underestimated and also have good chances of reaching the podium. Rugby remains an unpredictable sport where things can change quickly, so betting on the medals can be interesting compared to betting on the tournament winner.
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2024 Olympic Rugby Sevens: Our group-by-group predictions
Now that we know the constitution of the different pools for these Rugby à 7 2024 Olympic Games, here's our prediction for each of the 3 pools.
Group A predictions: New Zealand, Ireland, South Africa, Japan
This group is certainly the strongest of the three. There are 3 big teams: New Zealand, Ireland and South Africa. New Zealand are clear favorites to win this group, with odds of +390. The All Blacks Sevens should logically finish first in this group.
Ireland, with odds of +1400, and South Africa, at +2400, will probably fight it out for the second qualifying place. In our opinion, it's Ireland's turn. The Irish are on a very good run, while the South Africans have struggled to get their ticket and qualified late for this Olympic tournament.
Our prediction for Group A: New Zealand to win!
Group B predictions: Argentina, Australia, Samoa, Kenya
There's more disparity of level in Group B. Barring any major surprises, Argentina and Australia are likely to fight it out for top spot. Samoa and Kenya are likely to be outgunned by 2 of the biggest names in 7-a-side rugby. As far as our specialists are concerned, Argentina should finish top of the group. In recent encounters between Argentina and Australia, the Argentinians have dominated more often than not, and have shown better signs than the Australians of late.
Our Group B prediction: Argentina win!
Group C Prediction: Fiji, France, USA, Uruguay
Fiji are France's main threat in Group C. Fiji always know how to respond to this kind of event. The Fijians are not only the holders of the Olympic Rugby 7s title, they also won the last World Cup. France still have enough to rival this great 7-a-side nation, and home advantage could make all the difference in such a tight duel. A notch below them, the USA should finish 3rd and the modest Uruguayan team in last place.
Our prediction for Group C: France to win!
Beginner bettors - How does the men's Rugby Sevens tournament at the Olympic Games work?
As its name suggests, Rugby Sevens is played with 7 players per team in 14-minute matches. The basic rules and scoring methods are identical to those of Rugby Union. Rugby was included in the Olympic Games in 1900, 1908, 1920, and 1924 in its 15-player form and returned to the Olympics in 2016 in its Sevens form, with both men's and women's tournaments.
To help you make the most accurate predictions for this men's Rugby Sevens tournament at the Olympics, here's a brief overview. For this men's Olympic Rugby Sevens tournament, note that 12 teams are qualified and divided into three groups of 4.
At the end of the group stage, the top two teams from each group and the two best third-placed teams advance to the quarterfinals. The teams then compete in single-elimination matches, and regardless of each team's ranking, the competition continues for all, as the Olympic Rugby Sevens tournament includes classification matches to determine the final ranking of each nation.
Now you understand how the 2024 Olympic Rugby Sevens works. One last thing to note is that Rugby Sevens matches follow each other very quickly in succession. For example, a semifinal match might be played at one time, and the next one starts just 30 minutes later. This is always good to know for your rugby predictions, especially Rugby Sevens.
Key points about the organization of the Olympic Games for your Rugby Sevens predictions:
- 12 qualified teams
- Group stage (3 groups of 4)
- The top two from each group advance to the knockout stage
- Quarterfinals and classification matches follow
- Quarterfinals, semifinals, and final
- Match for 3rd place (bronze medal)
With matches determining the medalists and others determining the teams finishing from 5th to 12th place, the stakes are high throughout the event. Now you know what to expect at the men's Rugby Sevens tournament at the 2024 Olympics!
How to make good predictions on the 2024 Olympic matches and bet on Rugby Sevens?
Now you know our favorites for the victory in the men's Rugby Sevens tournament at the 2024 Olympics, as well as the structure of this competition in Paris. To further refine your Rugby Sevens predictions, our specialists have some tips to offer. These will help you bet on Rugby Sevens, especially during this major event. Here is an overview of our main tips for betting on Rugby Sevens during the Olympic Games:
- Have accounts with multiple sportsbooks to get the best odds
- Follow the team line-ups
- Check the stakes during the group stage
- Review the track records of the nations participating in the 2024 Rugby Sevens Olympics
- Rely on various statistics
By considering these tips before each Rugby Sevens bet, you can maximize your chances of making good predictions throughout the competition. To know each of these tips in detail, simply continue reading below!
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Have accounts with multiple sportsbooks to get the best odds
This is certainly the most important advice to consider if you want to improve your results in the Rugby Sevens tournament at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Having accounts with as many sports betting sites as possible, ideally all of them, greatly helps you optimize your winnings.
The reason is simple: having accounts with multiple operators allows you to play the highest odds! You may already know that odds vary between betting sites, especially in a discipline like Rugby Sevens. Therefore, by comparing the odds on each of them and being able to play the highest odds thanks to your different registrations, you can achieve the highest possible winnings for your bet.
Better winnings for the same bet, not bad, right? So make your choice using our ranking of the best sportsbooks in the US, and bet like a pro on Rugby Sevens during the Olympics!
Follow the team line-ups
An aspect that must almost become mandatory in your analysis of a Rugby Sevens match during the 2024 Olympics is to follow the team line-ups. By doing this and also considering the statements of players and coaches, you will not only understand the teams' motivations for a particular match but also get an idea of the favorite.
In a discipline where only 7 players start, each absence or change from the usual line-up is significant. Is the captain not on the match sheet? Have several starters been injured in the previous match? All this information impacts the probabilities of each team's victory and helps you make the best betting choices for Rugby Sevens. So be informed of the team compositions before betting on your chosen match. Take it from the experts.
Check the stakes during the group stage
Our third tip for making successful Rugby Sevens bets during the Olympics is to thoroughly check the stakes of each match during the group stage of the tournament. Each team plays only three group matches, which means every match is crucial. Some teams might already be qualified for the quarterfinals before their last group match, while others are playing for their qualification in a single match.
Checking the stakes helps understand the teams' motivations. For example, a team already qualified might choose to rest its best players for the knockout stage, reducing its chances of victory in the last group match. Conversely, a team fighting for qualification will be more determined and could perform beyond expectations, giving you the opportunity to bet on the opponent and seize good odds.
Furthermore, the points differential also plays a significant role during the group stage of the Olympic Rugby Sevens tournament, as it can determine the best third-placed teams advancing to the quarterfinals. Consequently, teams in the running for these spots might be more offensive to improve their points differential, influencing the total number of points scored in a match. Always good to know, especially if you usually place “Over/Under” bets on Rugby Sevens.
Review the track records of the nations participating in the 2024 Rugby Sevens Olympics
Another parameter to consider in your Rugby Sevens Olympics analysis: review the track records of the nations participating in the tournament. Indeed, observing the track records gives you an insight into the past performances of the teams and helps you gauge their potential for the competition.
Experience, competitiveness, ability to perform in major matches... Reviewing the teams' track records in detail allows you to clarify all these points. A team that has reached the quarterfinals in the first two editions, for example, should be favored in your Rugby Sevens predictions over another that has never made it out of the pools. This is why Fiji and New Zealand are solid contenders to take seriously in this tournament.
You can also analyze the teams' performances in major tournaments. A nation that regularly reaches the finals, even without winning the title, demonstrates consistency and the ability to compete at the highest level. Additionally, recent performances in the qualifying tournaments for the 2024 Olympics can help you assess the current form of the teams. So don't forget all this for your predictions on the Rugby Sevens tournament at the 2024 Olympics.
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Relying on various statistics
One last thing, don't forget to take into account the statistics for the Olympic Rugby Sevens tournament. The more stats you analyze, the more reliable your predictions will be. Focus primarily on the data from the last edition to make your choices, but you can also complement it with data from recent Rugby Sevens tournaments.
To help you with this, we have compiled the key figures from the last Olympic Rugby Sevens tournament for you. These figures revealed further down this page, will help you place various types of bets during the competition.
What not to do for your Rugby Sevens predictions at the Olympics in France
To complement the advice from our Rugby Sevens specialists, here is a non-exhaustive list of mistakes to avoid when betting on the Olympic tournament:
- Betting with only one sportsbook for the Olympic Rugby Sevens tournament
- Not considering the sequence of matches
- Underestimating the level difference between the top teams and the modest teams
- Wanting to bet on all the matches in the Rugby Sevens tournament at the Olympics
- Betting live without specific information
- Not taking into account the form of the teams and players
If you are new to sports betting or not used to betting on Rugby Sevens, keep all these recommendations in mind; they will certainly be useful when betting on the Olympic tournament.
The stats to know for the men's Rugby Sevens tournament at the Olympic Games
Now let's move on to the data that will be useful when betting on the matches of the men's Rugby Sevens tournament at the Olympic Games. To help you make your Rugby Sevens predictions, here are the key statistics to remember from the last edition of the competition, at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.
- Average points: 36.6 points
- Average tries scored: 5.7 tries per match
- More points in the first half: 44% of matches
- More points in the second half: 44% of matches
- Equal points in both halves: 12% of matches
- Team wins at halftime and at the end of the match: 88% of matches
- Team leads at halftime but loses the match: 12% of matches
- Victories by 1 to 5 points: 30% of matches
- Victories by 6 to 15 points: 26% of matches
- Victories by 16 points or more: 44% of matches
- Number of draws: 0
Reflecting on the above statistics, it's important to note that many points are often scored despite the limited duration of matches to 14 minutes. So, don't hesitate to consider the “Over” bet if the odds are favorable. Additionally, teams leading at halftime usually win at the end of the match. Keep this in mind, especially for your live bets.
Furthermore, handicap bets are particularly interesting during the Rugby Sevens matches at the Olympics, as victories with large point differences are frequent. Following this logic, note that there were no draws in the last edition. Therefore, avoid being tempted by the high odds of a draw, even if the match seems close.
In summary: How to make good predictions for Rugby Sevens at the 2024 Olympics and place successful bets?
To summarize, if you want to make good predictions on Rugby Sevens during the 2024 Olympic Games, there's no secret: follow our experts' advice!
Analyze each match, rely on relevant statistics, avoid mistakes that can be detrimental, and learn to master all the specifics of the tournament.
If you don't want to spend time making your predictions for Rugby Sevens at the 2024 Olympics, then know that our specialists provide their Rugby Sevens predictions with detailed analysis at the top of this page. Good luck with your Olympic Rugby Sevens bets!
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- Our Paris Olympic Boxing Prediction
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Images featuring the official Olympic Games branding are licensed from the IMAGO website.
