ATP - ATP Newport Open

ATP 293 USA
Reilly Opelka
20 Jul 2024 13:00
ATP 41 USA
Alex Michelsen

Prediction:

 

Alex Michelsen to Win

-133
$1500 offered for betting!

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Reilly Opelka vs Alex Michelsen Prediction & Picks - ATP Newport Open

 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

On Saturday morning, there's an all US clash at the grass-court event in Newport, Rhode Island. Lowly ranked player Reilly Opelka, who is the joint-tallest player to ever play on the ATP at 6ft, 11 inches, has enjoyed himself at this event so far, but could he now have met the end of the road as he takes on Alex Michelsen, who is not also an in-form player, but made the final of this event last season? For me, Michelsen, who is now ranked at 67 in the world, should be a much stronger favourite here.

Reilly Opelka vs Alex Michelsen Form

Reilly Opelka and Alex Michelsen Latest Matches

Reilly Opelka Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 18, 2024 - ATP Newport Open

Reilly Opelka
2 :  1
Mackenzie Mcdonald

Jul 17, 2024 - ATP Newport Open

Adrian Mannarino
1 :  2
Reilly Opelka

Jul 15, 2024 - ATP Newport Open

Constant Lestienne
1 :  2
Reilly Opelka

Nov 2, 2023 - Charlottesville, USA

Aidan Mayo
withdraw
Reilly Opelka

Oct 31, 2023 - Charlottesville, USA

Reilly Opelka
2 :  0
Tennys Sandgren

May 20, 2022 - ATP Geneva Open

Reilly Opelka
0 :  2
Casper Ruud
Alex Michelsen Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 18, 2024 - ATP Newport Open

Alex Michelsen
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

Jul 17, 2024 - ATP Newport Open

Alex Michelsen
2 :  0
Maxime Cressy

Jul 1, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Lloyd Harris
3 :  2
Alex Michelsen

Jun 27, 2024 - ATP Mallorca Open

Alex Michelsen
1 :  2
Sebastian Ofner

Jun 25, 2024 - ATP Mallorca Open

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Alex Michelsen

Jun 23, 2024 - ATP Mallorca Open

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Alex Michelsen

Reilly Opelka - Alex Michelsen Key Points

  1. Alex Michelsen reached the final of this event 12 months ago.
  2. Reilly Opelka has never won four grass-court matches on the spin.
  3. Alex Michelsen has beaten two lower-ranked players in straight sets to reach this stage.
  4. Reilly Opelka has never reached a semi-final on grass.

Our Reilly Opelka vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Reilly Opelka, who really is a giant of a player, has played some great stuff at this tournament, showing that he's a far better player in terms of talent than his rank suggests. However, he's had a couple of tough matches in a row now, which isn't ideal given that he's up against a player who has breezed through so far and who reached the final at this venue a year ago.

Alex Michelsen has made light work of beating two lower-ranked players in straight sets and I really do think he should be getting more respect than the early lines suggest. Sure, he's the steady favorite at odds of -133, but let's be honest, youngster Alex Michelsen is a bright spark, especially on grass courts that he has a clear preference for. Personally, I think if Opelka has reached this stage having beaten someone other than an underperfoming Mannarino, then Michelsen would be a much stronger favorite. Ultimately, betting on the younger player to move one step closer to making back-to-back finals in Newport offers some value for money at the early odds. Our Prediction: Alex Michelsen to Win. 

Prediction:

 

Alex Michelsen to Win

-133
$1500 offered for betting!

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Reilly Opelka vs Alex Michelsen Picks