Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4/5/25 10:15
Valencia

Prediction:

 

Real Madrid wins the match

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 by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks

Real Madrid is gearing up to host Valencia at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu on April 5th in what promises to be an intriguing La Liga clash. With just a handful of matches left in the season, every point matters—especially for Los Blancos, who are currently in 2nd place with 63 points. They are in hot pursuit of the league title and cannot afford any slip-ups if they hope to retain their crown.

Carlo Ancelotti's side boasts a strong track record this season, having won 66% of their league games. That form has helped them stay within reach of the top spot, and a win here could close the gap depending on results elsewhere. Real Madrid's recent 3-2 victory over Leganes in the Madrid derby highlighted their attacking firepower but also exposed defensive vulnerabilities—something they'll need to address against a tricky Valencia side.

Valencia, currently 15th with 31 points, have shown resilience in recent weeks. They have managed to draw half of their last six games, suggesting improved stability under their new manager. The narrow 1-0 win over Mallorca gave them some breathing room above the relegation zone, but with key players like Jose Gaya and goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili facing fitness concerns, and midfield anchor Pepelu suspended, the trip to Madrid looks daunting.

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Real Madrid vs Valencia Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
63 29 19 6 4 33
15
Valencia
Valencia
31 29 7 10 12 -14

Real Madrid and Valencia Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 1, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
4 :  4
Real Sociedad

Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Leganés

Mar 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 1, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
4 :  4
Real Sociedad

Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Leganés

Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Feb 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Girona

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Manchester City
W D W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid
Valencia
Valencia Latest matches
D L D W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Mallorca

Mar 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Valencia

Mar 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  1
Valladolid

Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
3 :  3
Valencia

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  1
Valencia
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Mallorca

Mar 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  1
Valladolid

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Feb 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  0
Leganés

Feb 6, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Valencia
0 :  5
Barcelona

Feb 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  1
Celta Vigo
D W L D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Valencia

Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
3 :  3
Valencia

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  1
Valencia

Jan 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
7 :  1
Valencia

Jan 14, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Ourense CF
0 :  2
Valencia

Jan 11, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Valencia

Real Madrid against Valencia : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

50 %

Draw

33 %

Valencia

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Jan 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 2, 2024 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  2
Real Madrid

Nov 11, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Valencia

May 21, 2023 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Feb 2, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Valencia

Jan 11, 2023 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Valencia

Valencia v Real Madrid last Lineups

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
A. Lunin
17
L. Vazquez
35
R. Asencio
4
D. Alaba
6
E. Camavinga
8
F. Valverde
14
A. Tchouameni
11
Rodrygo
5
J. Bellingham
7
V. Junior
16
Endrick
12
U. Sadiq
10
A. Almeida
16
D. Lopez
5
E. Barrenechea
8
J. Guerra Moreno
22
L. Rioja
14
J. Gaya
15
C. Tarrega
3
C. Mosquera
20
D. Foulquier
25
G. Mamardashvili

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Valencia

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

T. Courtois

Defender

E. Militao

D. Carvajal

F. Mendy

Midfielder

D. Ceballos

Valencia
Valencia
Defender

T. Correia

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Valencia
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (29 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain H. Duro (7 Goals) Spain D. Lopez (7 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (9 Assists)
Best assists
Spain D. Lopez (3 Assists)
Spain L. Rioja (3 Assists)
Spain J. Guerra Moreno (3 Assists)

Real Madrid and Valencia Stats in LaLiga

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Valencia
Valencia
66%
Victories
24%
21%
Draw
34%
14%
Defeats
41%
3.14
Total goals per match
2.69
2.14
Goals scored per match
1.1
1
Goals conceded per match
1.59
62%
Over 2.5
48%
38%
Under 2.5
52%
59%
BTTS
59%
34%
No goals conceded
21%

Real Madrid - Valencia Key Points

  1. Real Madrid are 19-0 in their last 19 home games vs. Valencia in all competitions
  2. Real Madrid have won by 2+ goals in their last 6 LaLiga home games vs. Valencia
  3. Valencia are 1-17 in their last 18 LaLiga away games
  4. Valencia have conceded 1+ goals in their last 9 LaLiga away games
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Our Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction

Historically, Real Madrid have had the upper hand in this fixture, scoring two or more goals in four of their last six meetings with Valencia. The attacking trio of Kylian Mbappé—fresh off a brace—Vinicius Junior, and Rodrygo could once again prove too much for a depleted Valencia defense to handle. Despite missing several defenders including Ferland Mendy, Dani Carvajal, and Eder Militao due to injury, Real Madrid's depth in quality keeps them favorites at home.

With Valencia struggling for consistency on the road and missing key personnel, this fixture leans heavily in favor of the home side. A win for Real Madrid wouldn't just be expected—it's essential for their title ambitions. Meanwhile, Valencia will be hoping to grind out a result, but the odds are stacked against them in the capital. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs. Valencia: Real Madrid to win.

Prediction:

 

Real Madrid wins the match

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Real Madrid vs Valencia Picks
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