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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3/9/25 11:15
Rayo Vallecano

Prediction:

 

Sergi Guardiola Over 0.5 Shots on Target

+130
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 by Bradley Gibbs in LaLiga Picks

One of the LaLiga games due to take place on Sunday sees Real Madrid welcome Rayo Vallecano, also from the Spanish capital, to the iconic venue of Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Can the hosts continue to push for the title by picking up another vital win? 

For Sunday's hosts, it's all about fighting on multiple fronts. Having taken a slender lead against bitter rivals Atletico in the UCL during the week, they'll look to beat another of their Madrid neighbours on Sunday, whilst also keeping things fresh for the return leg against Atleti next week. Can they carry out the balancing act to good effect? We'll find out.

Seen as one of the lesser Madrid teams by the wider footballing community, Rayo Vallecano is very much the beating heart of Villa de Vallecas area of the city, and this season, the team has done the district proud. As things stand, Sunday's visitors sit just outside of the European places in a lofty seventh place. If they continue to pick up regular points, as they have done all season, then there's no reason why the mean in striking white-with-red-sash jerseys can't feature in UEFA competition next season. Who knows, they may even cause an upset here. 

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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
72 33 22 6 5 35
10
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
41 32 10 11 11 -4

Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
D W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Girona

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Manchester City

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Real Madrid
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Feb 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Girona

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Manchester City

Feb 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Jan 22, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Salzburg

Jan 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Las Palmas
L W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Feb 5, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Feb 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  0
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Latest matches
W W W L L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Sevilla

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Villarreal

Feb 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Feb 7, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Valladolid

Jan 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  1
Girona
D W W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Sevilla

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Villarreal

Feb 7, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Valladolid

Jan 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  1
Girona

Jan 10, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  1
Celta Vigo

Dec 14, 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  3
Real Madrid
D W L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Feb 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 3, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Racing Ferrol
1 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

Dec 22, 2024 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid against Rayo Vallecano : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

33 %

Draw

50 %

Rayo Vallecano

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  3
Real Madrid

Feb 18, 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Nov 5, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

May 24, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Nov 7, 2022 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Feb 26, 2022 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Players list

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

A. Lunin

Defender

L. Vazquez

R. Asencio

D. Alaba

F. Garcia

Midfielder

L. Modric

A. Tchouameni

B. Diaz

Forward

F. Valverde

E. Camavinga

Vinicius Junior

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Goalkeeper

A. Batalla

Defender

A. Ratiu

F. Lejeune

A. Hernandez

U. Lopez

P. Chavarria

Midfielder

I. Balliu

S. Guardiola

O. Trejo

A. Garcia

Forward

O. Valentin

Substitutes

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

F. Gonzalez

S. Mestre

Defender

F. Mendy

Midfielder

F. Valverde

Rodrygo

E. Camavinga

K. Mbappe

Forward

B. Diaz

J. Bellingham

A. Guler

Endrick

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Goalkeeper

D. Cardenas

Defender

I. Balliu

P. Diaz

M. de las Sias

P. Fernandez

Midfielder

U. Lopez

A. Espino

O. Valentin

A. Embarba

Forward

S. Guardiola

P. Ciss

E. Eto'o

O. Trejo

G. Gumbau

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

E. Militao

Midfielder

D. Ceballos

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Defender

A. Mumin

Midfielder

J. Montiel

Forward

S. Camello

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Rayo Vallecano
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (29 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain J. De Frutos (4 Goals) ,  Senegal P. Ciss (4 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (9 Assists)
Best assists
Spain A. Garcia (5 Assists)

Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Key Points

  1. Last time out in LaLiga, Sergi Guardiola took no less than four shots (against Sevilla).
  2. In his last LaLiga appearance, Sergi Guardiola also registered two shots on target.
  3. This season for Vallecano, Sergi Guardiola averages 1.07 shots on target per 90 minutes (in LaLiga).
  4. In his last five LaLiga appearances, Sergi Guardiola has fired off 11 shots.
Up to $1500 to bet on Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano! 

Limited Offer. Currently at BetMGM

Our Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

With midweek UCL action to focus on, the hosts may rotate here, while this is something of a free-hit for the visitors, so don't be too surprised if we see Vallecano offer something offensively, especially on the break. If that's the case, Sergi Guardiola should have say. The experienced forward is likly to start given the offensive absentees that the visitors have, while his shooting stats are rather encouraging, as we can see above. Odds of +130 look a little generous as far as I'm concerned. Our Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Pick: Sergi Guardiola Over 0.5 Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Sergi Guardiola Over 0.5 Shots on Target

+130
$1500 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Picks
Up to $1500 to bet on Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano! 

Limited Offer. Currently at BetMGM

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