Europe - Champions League

Real Madrid
2/19/25 15:00
Manchester City

Prediction:

 

Jude Bellingham Over 0.5 Shots On Target

-137
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Real Madrid vs Manchester City Prediction & Picks - Champions League

 by Bradley Gibbs | in Champions League Picks

UEFA Champions League play-off ties don't come much bigger than the one between Real Madrid and Manchester City, who will clash at the Bernabeu on Wednesday evening (local time). 

There's still all to play for after last week's first leg, but it is Wednesday's hosts who are in the stronger position having returned from Manchester with a single-goal advantage thanks to Jude Bellingham's late winner. With one eye very much on this game, Los Blancos could only tie at the weekend, but we all know that this competition ignites a fire inside of the men in white, so don't expect them to be slacking on Wednesday. 

The Citizens go to the Spanish capital just a single goal behind, so all is far from lost, and there's no reason why Pep Guardiola's men can't get a positive result here, though they'll have to defend better than they did last week. In fact, they'll have to defend better than they have done for most of the current campaign, which given the occasion, isn't going to be easy. 

Real Madrid vs Manchester City Form

Real Madrid and Manchester City Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W L W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Feb 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Feb 5, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Feb 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Brest
0 :  3
Real Madrid
W L W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Jan 22, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Salzburg

Jan 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Las Palmas

Jan 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
5 :  2
Celta Vigo

Jan 12, 2025 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
2 :  5
Barcelona

Jan 9, 2025 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Mallorca
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Feb 5, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Feb 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Brest
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Jan 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Valladolid
0 :  3
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  0
Newcastle

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Leyton Orient London
1 :  2
Manchester City

Feb 2, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  1
Manchester City

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Club Brugge

Jan 25, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Chelsea
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
67% BTTS
4 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  0
Newcastle

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Club Brugge

Jan 25, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Chelsea

Jan 11, 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester City
8 :  0
Salford City

Jan 4, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
West Ham
W D W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Leyton Orient London
1 :  2
Manchester City

Feb 2, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  1
Manchester City

Jan 22, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 19, 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  6
Manchester City

Jan 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Manchester City

Dec 29, 2024 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  2
Manchester City

Real Madrid against Manchester City : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

33 %

Draw

50 %

Manchester City

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Apr 17, 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 9, 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  3
Manchester City

May 17, 2023 - Champions League

Manchester City
4 :  0
Real Madrid

May 9, 2023 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Manchester City

May 4, 2022 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Manchester City

Real Madrid - Manchester City: Form Analysis

It's been an up and down few weeks for Wednesday's hosts, who've struggled to be consistent. Following their win against Brest in the final UCL league-phase game, which marked four wins on the bounce, they began February with a defeat to Espanyol, which was followed by a narrow cup success against Leganes. After that can a tie in the Madrid derby before raising their game, as they always do, to beat City in the first leg of this tie last week. 

The problem is that they've simply been consistently inconsistent this season

Guardiola's men steadied themselves after last week's disappointment by beating Newcastle in positive fashion at the week, so they ought to go to Madrid with renewed confidence. The problem is that they've simply been consistently inconsistent this season, nearly always following a strong effort with a weak one. 

Manchester City v Real Madrid last Lineups

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
T. Courtois
8
F. Valverde
14
A. Tchouameni
35
R. Asencio
20
F. Garcia
21
B. Diaz
10
L. Modric
6
E. Camavinga
5
J. Bellingham
9
K. Mbappe
7
V. Junior
9
E. Haaland
26
Savinho
7
O. Marmoush
47
P. Foden
19
I. Gundogan
14
N. Gonzalez
24
J. Gvardiol
5
J. Stones
45
A. Khusanov
82
R. Lewis
31
Ederson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Manchester City

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

D. Carvajal

E. Militao

D. Alaba

A. Rudiger

L. Vazquez

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

M. Akanji

Midfielder

Rodri

O. Bobb

J. Grealish

Real Madrid & Manchester City Squad Analysis

Having been rested at the weekend, the likes of Ferland Mendy and Rodrygo should be reinstated into the home-team line-up. Danny Carvajal and Lucas are expected to still be out, though. 

For the visitors, Manuel Akanji remains sidelined, as does Oscar Bobb, while Rodri is another player who is currently inactive due to injury. There are also serious doubts over the readiness of both Ruben Dias and Nathan Ake. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (21 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (27 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (9 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Savinho (9 Assists)

Real Madrid and Manchester City Stats in Champions League

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Manchester City
67%
Victories
33%
0%
Draw
22%
33%
Defeats
44%
4.11
Total goals per match
4.11
2.56
Goals scored per match
2.22
1.56
Goals conceded per match
1.89
78%
Over 2.5
78%
22%
Under 2.5
22%
67%
BTTS
56%
11%
No goals conceded
33%

Real Madrid - Manchester City Key Points

  1. Jude Bellingham not only scored but registered two shots on target in the first leg.
  2. Jude Bellingham has registered six shots on target in his last five appearances in all competitions.
  3. In 11 games (in all competitions) in 2025, Jude Bellingham has registered 11 shots on target.
  4. Jude Bellingham has registered three shots on target in his last two UCL games.

Our Real Madrid vs Manchester City Prediction

We very much know that Jude Bellingham has become a big-game player for Real Madrid, while he's no stranger to showing up in the UEFA Champions League, scoring in three of his last four UCL appearances. After scoring that late winner in the reverse fixture a week ago, the Englishman will be hungry for more and given his rather encouraging recent shooting stats, he looks a decent bet to work the City keeper. Our Real Madrid vs Man City Prediction: Jude Bellingham Over 0.5 Shots on Target.

Prediction:

 

Jude Bellingham Over 0.5 Shots On Target

-137
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Real Madrid vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Picks

Federico Valverde Over 0.5 Shots on Target

Odds +180
As a secondary option, it's worth considering Federico Valverde to also register a shot on target here, especially at odds of +180. The Uruguayan is yet to score in the UCL this season, but he hasn't been shy to shoot, firing off three shots against City last week, shooting six times in his last four UCL appearances.
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Real Madrid vs Manchester City Picks