Real Madrid vs Leganés Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3/29/25 16:00
Leganés

Prediction:

 

Over 4.5

+215
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 by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks

Real Madrid return to La Liga action on Saturday after the international break, hosting local rivals Leganés at the Santiago Bernabéu. With just a couple of months left in the season, every match counts for Carlo Ancelotti's men as they continue their push for a domestic and European double.

Los Blancos entered the break on a positive note, edging Villarreal 2-1 away from home. That result marked their third win in four league matches, keeping them firmly in the driver's seat for the La Liga title. However, their performances have not been without issues—particularly at the back. Madrid have managed just two clean sheets in their last 13 outings across all competitions, a vulnerability that Ancelotti will be eager to address heading into the business end of the season.

Despite defensive lapses, Madrid's quality continues to shine through. Their recent 3-2 win over Atletico Madrid in the Champions League confirmed their quarter-final place, and their Copa del Rey victory over Leganés earlier this year underlined their dominance in this fixture. Historically, Madrid have had Leganés' number, with emphatic wins like the 5-0 thumping at the Bernabéu in 2019 still fresh in fans' minds.

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Real Madrid vs Leganés Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
63 29 19 6 4 33
18
Leganés
Leganés
27 29 6 9 14 -18

Real Madrid and Leganés Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Feb 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Girona

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Manchester City

Feb 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Jan 22, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Salzburg
W D W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid
Leganés
Leganés Latest matches
L D L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
2 :  3
Betis

Mar 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  1
Leganés

Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Getafe

Feb 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  0
Leganés

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
3 :  3
Alavés

Feb 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  0
Leganés
W L L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
2 :  3
Betis

Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Getafe

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
3 :  3
Alavés

Feb 5, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Jan 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid
D W D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  1
Leganés

Feb 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  0
Leganés

Feb 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  0
Leganés

Jan 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Leganés

Jan 15, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Almería
2 :  3
Leganés

Jan 11, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Leganés

Real Madrid against Leganés : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

50 %

Draw

33 %

Leganés

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Feb 5, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Nov 24, 2024 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Jul 19, 2020 - LaLiga

Leganés
2 :  2
Real Madrid

Oct 30, 2019 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  0
Leganés

Apr 15, 2019 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Jan 16, 2019 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Real Madrid against Leganés Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
A. Lunin
17
L. Vazquez
35
R. Asencio
22
A. Rudiger
20
F. Garcia
21
B. Diaz
6
E. Camavinga
10
L. Modric
5
J. Bellingham
15
A. Guler
9
K. Mbappe
19
D. Garcia
7
Oscar
10
D. Raba
11
J. Cruz
5
R. Tapia
17
Y. Neyou
20
J. Hernandez
22
M. Nastasic
6
S. Gonzalez
12
V. Rosier
13
M. Dmitrovic

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Leganés

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

T. Courtois

Defender

E. Militao

D. Carvajal

F. Mendy

Midfielder

D. Ceballos

Leganés
Leganés
Forward

E. Franquesa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Leganés
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (29 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain D. Raba (6 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (9 Assists)
Best assists
Spain Oscar (4 Assists)
Spain D. Raba (4 Assists)

Real Madrid - Leganés Key Points

  1. Real Madrid are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games
  2. Leganes are 2-6-2 in their last 10 games
  3. Leganes are 0-3 in their last 3 away games
  4. Leganes are 1-8 in their last 9 LaLiga games
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Our Real Madrid vs Leganés Prediction

Leganés are facing a tough battle for survival in their return season to the top flight. Sitting in the relegation zone, Borja Jiménez's side has lost momentum, picking up just one win in their last nine matches in all competitions. Before the break, they suffered back-to-back defeats, including a 3-2 loss to Real Betis and a heavy 3-0 defeat against Real Sociedad. Their leaky defense and inability to hold onto leads have been major concerns.

In terms of team news, Real Madrid are still without Ferland Mendy and Eder Militão, both recovering from knee injuries. Dani Carvajal is nearing a return but is unlikely to be risked. Leganés will miss defenders Enric Franquesa and Borna Barišić, but could welcome back Munir El Haddadi following suspension. Dani Raba, who has scored four in his last five, is expected to lead the line for the visitors.

Given the gulf in quality, form, and squad depth, Real Madrid are heavy favorites. With Leganés desperate for points but defensively vulnerable, and Madrid eager to reassert their title credentials, a high-scoring affair at the Bernabéu could be on the cards. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs. Leganes: Real Madrid to win.

Prediction:

 

Over 4.5

+215
$200 offered for betting!

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Real Madrid vs Leganés Picks
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