USA - NCAA Basketball

Purdue
08 Apr 2024 21:20
UCONN

Prediction:

 

Purdue to cover +7

-111
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Purdue vs UCONN Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball

 by Bill Christy in NCAA Basketball Picks

It is finally here, the biggest game of the NCAA Men’s Basketball season. We began with 68 teams in the tournament and have been left with unquestionably the 2 best teams remaining. The defending champion UConn Huskies, 28-3 on the season, are led by their feisty head coach Dan Hurley. They are comprised of players that defend multiple positions and all are a threat to score. When things are not going great on the offensive end, they always seem to pick up the defense and force timely turnovers. They will be challenged by a 28-3 Purdue Boilermaker team that was guided by Matt Painter who has reached his 1st National Final. He will ride the big man, 7-4 Zach Edey, who was just announced as the back-to-back Naismith Player of the Year once again. He is leading the way all tournament for Purdue with 28ppg and 15.4rpg to go with his 2.0bpg. Purdue uses Edy as a scorer and a way to get their shooters open. Edey is a great passer out of the double teams and the shooters will make the pay.

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Purdue vs UCONN Form

Purdue and UCONN Latest Matches

Purdue
Purdue Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 6, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

NC St.
50 :  63
Purdue

Mar 31, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Tennessee
66 :  72
Purdue

Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Gonzaga
68 :  80
Purdue

Mar 24, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Utah St.
67 :  106
Purdue

Mar 22, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Grambling St.
50 :  78
Purdue

Mar 16, 2024 - NCAA Men

Wisconsin
76 :  75
Purdue
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 6, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

NC St.
50 :  63
Purdue

Mar 31, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Tennessee
66 :  72
Purdue

Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Gonzaga
68 :  80
Purdue

Mar 24, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Utah St.
67 :  106
Purdue

Mar 22, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Grambling St.
50 :  78
Purdue

Mar 16, 2024 - NCAA Men

Wisconsin
76 :  75
Purdue
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 5, 2024 - NCAA Men

Purdue
77 :  71
Illinois

Feb 25, 2024 - NCAA Men

Purdue
84 :  76
Michigan Wolverines

Feb 18, 2024 - NCAA Men

Purdue
69 :  73
Ohio State Buckeyes

Feb 4, 2024 - NCAA Men

Purdue
75 :  69
Wisconsin

Jan 28, 2024 - NCAA Men

Purdue
68 :  60
Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Jan 20, 2024 - NCAA Men

Purdue
84 :  70
Iowa Hawkeyes
UCONN
UCONN Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Apr 6, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Alabama
72 :  86
UCONN

Mar 30, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Illinois
52 :  77
UCONN

Mar 28, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

San Diego St.
52 :  82
UCONN

Mar 24, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Northwestern
58 :  75
UCONN

Mar 22, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Stetson
52 :  91
UCONN

Mar 16, 2024 - NCAA Men

Marquette
57 :  73
UCONN
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Apr 6, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Alabama
72 :  86
UCONN

Mar 30, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Illinois
52 :  77
UCONN

Mar 28, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

San Diego St.
52 :  82
UCONN

Mar 24, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Northwestern
58 :  75
UCONN

Mar 22, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Stetson
52 :  91
UCONN

Mar 16, 2024 - NCAA Men

Marquette
57 :  73
UCONN
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 9, 2024 - NCAA Men

UCONN
74 :  60
Providence Friars

Mar 6, 2024 - NCAA Men

UCONN
74 :  67
Marquette

Feb 20, 2024 - NCAA Men

UCONN
66 :  85
Creighton

Feb 14, 2024 - NCAA Men

UCONN
101 :  65
DePaul Blue Demons

Feb 10, 2024 - NCAA Men

UCONN
89 :  64
Georgetown Hoyas

Feb 3, 2024 - NCAA Men

UCONN
77 :  64
St. John's Red Storm

Purdue - UCONN: Form Analysis

The game within the game is likely to come down to Zach Edey and Donovan Clingan. Both bigs provide so much for their squads and will be an integral part of the success or failure in this final. Edey has yet to face a team with a big man capable of defending him 1 on 1, it is likely that UConn will try to use that strategy in the beginning and if it us unsuccessful, they will be sure to send double-teams whenever he touches the ball. While Edey has become a more mobile player, he still will not be able to keep up with Clingan when running the floor. Look for UConn to try to expose this and get Clingan some easy buckets in transition.

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Purdue & UCONN Squad Analysis

Both teams are fully healthy and ready to play to their top potentials. In terms of their efficiency numbers in offense vs defense, UConn holds a slight advantage. The Huskies have the 4th best defense to go against Purdue’s 3rd ranked offense. UConn’s offense is ranked 1st in the country while Purdue’s defense is 12th. The difference may lay in where the majorty of each teams shots end up coming from. Purdue shoots a solid percentage from long range and UConn can struggle to defend the perimeter at times. On the other side, UConn is one of the best in shooting percentage inside the arc while Purdue is not inside the top 50 in defending them.

Purdue - UCONN Key Points

  1. Purdue is 8-1-1 ATS against ranked opponents this season.
  2. Purdue is 12-2-2 ATS against non-conference opponent this season.
  3. Purdue is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
  4. Purdue is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing as the underdog.
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Our Purdue vs UCONN Prediction

This game should be one of the best games to be played in recent years but there is likely small factors that will play into who covers the spread.  And that is where we look at how these teams do at getting to the foul line and keeping their opponents off it. That is where Purdue has an advantage. They are 4th best in the country in defending without fouling while UConn can be physical and pick up bad fouls. UConn is 135th in defending without fouling. On the flip side, Purdue is 13h best at getting to the line and UConn is 189th. We believe Edey will get the Huskies in foul trouble and do enough for them to cover this number

Our prediction for Connecticut Huskies vs Purdue Boilermakers:  Purdue t to cover +7, -110 at DraftKings

Prediction:

 

Purdue to cover +7

-111
$150 offered for betting!

Purdue vs UCONN - Other Interesting Picks

Our secondary predictions for Connecticut Huskies vs Purdue Boilermakers: Purdue 1st Half to cover +3.5, -110 at DraftKings & Race to 10 points Purdue +120 at DraftKings

Odds -111
$150 offered for betting!

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Purdue vs UCONN Picks
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