France - Ligue 1

PSG
3/16/25 15:45
Marseille

Prediction:

 

PSG to Win & Over 2.5 Goals

-132
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PSG vs Marseille Prediction & Picks - Ligue 1

 by Tyler Doty | in Soccer Picks

This is always one of the most highly anticipated matchups of the Ligue 1 season. The "Classique" between Paris Saint-Germain and Olympique de Marseille will take place on Matchday 26 of the French championship. This clash will be played at the Parc des Princes this Sunday at 3:45 PM EST. And PSG couldn’t ask for a better setup for this showdown. In addition to being comfortably at the top of Ligue 1, the capital club has just secured a spot in the quarterfinals of the Champions League. Last Tuesday, Luis Enrique’s squad defeated Liverpool at Anfield after a penalty shootout. The Parisians are looking to keep their perfect week going, and our prediction aligns with that expectation.

Marseille is undoubtedly dreaming of pulling off an upset against its fierce rival. The club has been sitting in second place in the French league for quite some time now. Their main goal is to secure a top-three finish and qualify directly for next season’s Champions League without having to go through the qualifiers. However, Roberto De Zerbi’s men have a tough challenge ahead against PSG, especially after suffering a tough loss last weekend against RC Lens (0-1). Marseille will need to pull off a major upset to stand up to the Ligue 1 leaders.

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PSG vs Marseille Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
PSG
PSG
65 25 20 5 0 46
2
Marseille
Marseille
49 25 15 4 6 22

PSG and Marseille Latest Matches

PSG
PSG Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  1
PSG

Mar 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  4
PSG

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
0 :  1
Liverpool

Mar 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  1
Lille

Feb 26, 2025 - French Cup

Stade Briochin
0 :  7
PSG

Feb 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG
W D W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
0 :  1
Liverpool

Mar 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  1
Lille

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
7 :  0
Brest

Feb 7, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  1
Monaco

Jan 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  1
Reims

Jan 22, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  2
Manchester City
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  1
PSG

Mar 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  4
PSG

Feb 26, 2025 - French Cup

Stade Briochin
0 :  7
PSG

Feb 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG

Feb 15, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
PSG

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Brest
0 :  3
PSG
Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  1
Lens

Mar 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  0
Nantes

Feb 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  0
Marseille

Feb 15, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  1
Saint Etienne

Feb 9, 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
0 :  2
Marseille

Feb 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  2
Lyon
D D W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  1
Lens

Mar 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  0
Nantes

Feb 15, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  1
Saint Etienne

Feb 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  2
Lyon

Jan 19, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  1
Strasbourg

Jan 14, 2025 - French Cup

Marseille
1 :  1
Lille
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  0
Marseille

Feb 9, 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
0 :  2
Marseille

Jan 26, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
2 :  0
Marseille

Jan 11, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  2
Marseille

Dec 22, 2024 - French Cup

Saint Etienne
0 :  4
Marseille

Dec 8, 2024 - Ligue 1

Saint Etienne
0 :  2
Marseille

PSG against Marseille : Head to Head (H2H)

PSG

83 %

Draw

0 %

Marseille

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
17%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Oct 27, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  3
PSG

Mar 31, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
PSG

Sep 24, 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  0
Marseille

Feb 26, 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  3
PSG

Feb 8, 2023 - French Cup

Marseille
2 :  1
PSG

Oct 16, 2022 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Marseille

PSG - Marseille: Form Analysis

What can we say about PSG’s recent performances? For weeks now, the capital club has been unstoppable. Domestically, they have no real competition. After winning the Trophée des Champions, they remain in contention in the Coupe de France semifinals. The Parisian squad will face USL Dunkerque on April 1st for a place in the final. And under Luis Enrique, the team has been just as dominant in Ligue 1. Still unbeaten after 25 matches, they lead the table by 16 points over their next opponent.

PSG is riding a six-game winning streak in Ligue 1 and hasn’t slowed down in the Champions League either. Despite losing the first leg of the Round of 16 against Liverpool (0-1), they refused to give up before traveling to Anfield. In a highly intense second leg, Paris managed to erase their deficit with a goal from Ousmane Dembélé (0-1). It all came down to penalties, where the Parisians held their nerve and secured their place in the quarterfinals, where they will face Aston Villa. This will only boost their confidence ahead of the Classique.

PSG has just knocked out Liverpool in the Champions League Round of 16.

On the other hand, Marseille is not competing in any European tournaments this season. They were eliminated in the Coupe de France Round of 32 after a penalty shootout loss to Lille. With only one clear objective in sight—qualifying for the Champions League next season—De Zerbi’s squad remains in a strong position. They’ve held second place in Ligue 1 for quite a while, but nothing is guaranteed yet. Heading into this matchday, they are only five points ahead of AS Monaco (4th) and Lille (5th).

However, the Olympians have been struggling lately, losing twice in their last three matches. After a crushing 3-0 defeat against AJ Auxerre, they bounced back with a 2-0 win over FC Nantes. But last weekend, their struggles resurfaced. Despite dominating against RC Lens, they failed to find the net and conceded a last-minute goal (0-1). This is far from the ideal preparation for a trip to Paris.

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Marseille v PSG last Lineups

PSG

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
G. Donnarumma
2
A. Hakimi
5
Marquinhos
51
W. Pacho
25
N. Mendes
87
J. Neves
17
Vitinha
8
F. Ruiz
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
10
O. Dembele
29
B. Barcola
9
A. Gouiri
25
A. Rabiot
21
V. Rongier
3
Q. Merlin
23
P. Hojbjerg
22
I. Bennacer
26
B. Nadir
19
G. Kondogbia
5
L. Balerdi
77
A. Dedic
1
G. Rulli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Marseille

PSG & Marseille Squad Analysis

For this Classique, PSG has only one uncertainty. Marquinhos picked up an injury against Liverpool and remains doubtful for this clash. One thing is certain: Luis Enrique will take no risks with him. Other than that, the coach should have a full squad available. Gianluigi Donnarumma, for instance, is coming into this game with plenty of confidence after his stellar performance in Liverpool.

And he’s not the only one! Willian Pacho has proven to be one of the best signings of the last winter transfer window. In midfield, Joao Neves and Vitinha have been shining for months now. PSG’s attacking line is also stacked. Recently called up by Didier Deschamps, Désiré Doué has taken his game to the next level. And what can we say about Ousmane Dembélé? After scoring again against Liverpool on Wednesday, he now has 29 goals and 6 assists across all competitions.

Ousmane Dembélé is arriving in top form for this Classique.

For Marseille, there was some bad news this week. Pierre-Emile Højbjerg suffered an injury and will miss this match. He joins Amir Murillo, Amine Harit, and Faris Mombagna on the injury list. Meanwhile, Gerónimo Rulli, who has been outstanding this season, will have to be at his very best. The Argentine goalkeeper will need to deliver a heroic performance to help his team pull off an upset.

Roberto De Zerbi is also hoping for a strong outing from Leonardo Balerdi, as the Argentine center-back will have his hands full against PSG’s attackers. Ismaël Bennacer and Adrien Rabiot—who is making his return to the Parc des Princes—are used to big games and will need to lead by example. Struggling recently, Luis Henrique and Mason Greenwood will look to step up at the perfect time. Meanwhile, Amine Gouiri, who has scored three goals in his last four games, will aim to shine.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato PSG
CD Huachipato Marseille
Top Goalscorer
France O. Dembele (27 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England M. Greenwood (15 Goals)
Best assists
Morocco A. Hakimi (11 Assists)
Best assists
Algeria A. Gouiri (5 Assists)

PSG and Marseille Stats in Ligue 1

PSG
PSG
Marseille
Marseille
80%
Victories
60%
20%
Draw
16%
0%
Defeats
24%
3.76
Total goals per match
3.28
2.8
Goals scored per match
2.08
0.96
Goals conceded per match
1.2
72%
Over 2.5
60%
28%
Under 2.5
40%
76%
BTTS
60%
24%
No goals conceded
20%

PSG - Marseille Key Points

  1. PSG is on a six-game winning streak in Ligue 1.
  2. PSG has gained confidence after qualifying for the Champions League quarterfinals.
  3. The "over 2.5 goals" bet has hit in PSG’s last three league games.
  4. Marseille has lost two of its last three matches.
  5. The "over 2.5 goals" bet has hit in three of Marseille’s last four league games.
  6. Marseille has lost its last six Ligue 1 meetings against PSG.
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Our PSG vs Marseille Prediction

This Ligue 1 Classique is highly anticipated! However, it’s hard to see Marseille pulling off an upset at the Parc des Princes. PSG has been operating on another level in recent weeks, both domestically and in Europe. Luis Enrique’s men know how important this match is for their fans, and they will be eager to put on a show before the international break. In what should be a high-scoring affair, we expect PSG to come away with another win and take another step toward the title.

Our PSG vs Marseille prediction: PSG to Win & Over 2.5 Goals!

Prediction:

 

PSG to Win & Over 2.5 Goals

-132
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PSG vs Marseille - Other Interesting Picks

Ousmane Dembélé Anytime Goalscorer

Odds -115
Ousmane Dembélé is at the peak of his form with PSG. The French forward has scored six times in his last six matches. Ligue 1’s top scorer won’t be slowing down for this Classique.
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PSG to Cover -2.5 Goals

Odds +290
In the last four meetings against Marseille, PSG has won by at least a two-goal margin. In the first leg, they easily won 3-0 at the Stade Vélodrome. Expect a similar outcome at the Parc des Princes.
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PSG vs Marseille Picks
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