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PSG vs Aston Villa Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

PSG
4/9/25 14:00
Aston Villa

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals.

+125
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 by Stephen Abiola | in Champions League Picks

On Wednesday night, Paris Saint-Germain and Aston Villa will lock horns in a thrilling UEFA Champions League quarterfinal clash at Parc des Princes. This will be the first of this two-legged tie, with PSG eager to maximize their home advantage. Luis Enrique's men surprised everyone after bundling Liverpool out of this competition in the Round of 16 on penalties. They'll now be eager to eliminate another English team and probably dream of winning the trophy.

Aston Villa, on the other hand, have really earned their shot at greatness this season. Unai Emery's men booked a place in the quarters after dispatching Club Brugge 6-1 on aggregate. Marco Asensio, who joined them on loan from PSG in January, has been a revelation so far, scoring a brace in their 3-0 win over Club Brugge. Villa will enter this matchup with an underdog tag, although they pack enough talent and resilience to face any side in this competition.

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PSG vs Aston Villa Form

PSG and Aston Villa Latest Matches

PSG
PSG Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Angers

Apr 1, 2025 - French Cup

USL Dunkerque
2 :  4
PSG

Mar 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Saint Etienne
1 :  6
PSG

Mar 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Marseille

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  1
PSG

Mar 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  4
PSG
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Angers

Mar 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Marseille

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
0 :  1
Liverpool

Mar 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  1
Lille

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
7 :  0
Brest

Feb 7, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  1
Monaco
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
4.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 1, 2025 - French Cup

USL Dunkerque
2 :  4
PSG

Mar 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Saint Etienne
1 :  6
PSG

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  1
PSG

Mar 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  4
PSG

Feb 26, 2025 - French Cup

Stade Briochin
0 :  7
PSG

Feb 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Mar 30, 2025 - FA Cup

Preston North End
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Mar 20, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Al Ain FC

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  0
Club Brugge

Mar 8, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Aston Villa
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Mar 20, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Al Ain FC

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  0
Club Brugge

Feb 28, 2025 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Cardiff

Feb 22, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Chelsea

Feb 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Liverpool
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Mar 30, 2025 - FA Cup

Preston North End
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Mar 8, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Aston Villa

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Club Brugge
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Feb 25, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
4 :  1
Aston Villa

Feb 1, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  0
Aston Villa

PSG - Aston Villa: Form Analysis

PSG have been on fire locally and will look to extend their winning form to this competition. They defeated Angers 1-0 last weekend to become the new French champions for the 13th time with six matches to spare. Les Parisiens did not lose a match during the 2024-25 campaign. However, their Champions League form has been shaky, losing four and winning seven of their assignments. Their attack has looked sharp, scoring 25 goals, an average of 2.09 per match.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, are fighting to maintain their top-four status in the EPL.

They are sixth in the standings with 51 points, just two points behind the fourth-placed Chelsea. The Villains boosted their qualification chances last weekend after defeating the third-placed Nottingham Forest 2-1 at Villa Park. Villa have now won their last five matches in all competitions and boast seven wins in their 10 Champions League assignments.

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Aston Villa v PSG last Lineups

PSG

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

1
G. Donnarumma
2
A. Hakimi
5
Marquinhos
51
W. Pacho
21
L. Hernandez
17
Vitinha
33
W. Zaire-Emery
8
F. Ruiz
14
D. Doue
9
G. Ramos
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
11
O. Watkins
27
M. Rogers
21
M. Asensio
17
D. Malen
8
Y. Tielemans
24
A. Onana
22
I. Maatsen
5
T. Mings
3
A. Disasi
16
A. Garcia
23
E. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Aston Villa

Missing players

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

A. Tenas

Midfielder

L. Kang-in

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Midfielder

R. Barkley

L. Bailey

PSG & Aston Villa Squad Analysis

PSG will be without their experienced center-back Marquinhos, who is serving a suspension. He has made 19 league appearances for the French champions, scoring once. Luis Enrique could select Beraldo to partner Pacho at the center of the defense, although Presnel Kimpembe will also be pushing to start on Wednesday. In-form striker Ousmane Dembele will lead the attack, with the Frenchman scoring seven goals in his 10 Champions League starts this season.

Aston Villa will be hoping to unleash Marco Asensio on his former employers on Wednesday.

Some club fans have been worried that the Spanish midfielder, who is on loan from PSG, will not be eligible to play. However, no Champions League rule prevents him from playing this matchup. However, Jamaica's Leon Bailey is doubtful of playing after missing their last game with a knock. England's Ross Barkley is also questionable with a calf injury.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato PSG
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
France O. Dembele (28 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (14 Goals)
Best assists
France B. Barcola (12 Assists)
Best assists
England O. Watkins (10 Assists)

PSG and Aston Villa Stats in Champions League

PSG
PSG
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
58%
Victories
70%
8%
Draw
10%
33%
Defeats
20%
2.92
Total goals per match
2.6
2.08
Goals scored per match
1.9
0.83
Goals conceded per match
0.7
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Under 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
30%
42%
No goals conceded
50%

PSG - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. PSG won 15 of their previous 16 games.
  2. PSG won eight of their last 10 matches at home.
  3. Both teams scored in four of the last five PSG games.
  4. Over 3.5 goals were scored in eight of the last 10 PSG games.
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Our PSG vs Aston Villa Prediction

This is the first time these rivals meet in a competitive environment. However, Henrique and Emery are familiar with each other from their stints in the Spanish La Liga. PSG will be eager to get a first-leg win and get the job done at Villa Park just as they did in Anfield, Liverpool. Their attackers have been full of life lately, scoring over 2.5 goals in each of their last three games. However, their defense has shown vulnerability, something that Villa's attackers will be keen to maximize. PSG have conceded in four of their last five games, shipping in five goals in the process. For this reason, we should expect several goals on Wednesday. Our prediction for PSG vs Aston Villa: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals.

+125
$1500 offered for betting!

PSG vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Picks

Both teams to score

Odds -140

PSG have looked vulnerable in the Champions League and Villa can smell the opportunity. They have conceded against all the English teams they have faced this season, including Arsenal, Liverpool, and Man City. Aston Villa, meanwhile, have scored over 2.5 goals in each of their last three Champions League games. Therefore, we predict an entertaining game with both teams scoring. 

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PSG vs Aston Villa Picks
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