Portugal vs Slovenia Prediction & Picks - Euro
by Edgar Jibran | in Euro Picks
Next Monday, July 01st the immediate future will be unveiled for Portugal and Slovenia, national teams that had a very different journey during the group stages, but in this kind of competitions is well known that no matter what they did, the only thing that matters is what they’ll be capable of during the final instances of the EURO 2024, so even when Portugal is the big favorite to win, Slovenia cannot be discarded at all due to their great defensive effectiveness.
However, the bookmakers’ odds are putting Portugal as the greatest favorite to get into the quarterfinals, round in which the winner of this match will face the winner between France and Belgium, so both teams are forced to avoid extending their games to extra-time or penalties, as the physical and mental strength is key for them to compete in the highest possible level.
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Portugal vs Slovenia Form
Portugal and Slovenia Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 26, 2024 - Euro
Jun 22, 2024 - Euro
Jun 18, 2024 - Euro
Jun 11, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 25, 2024 - Euro
Jun 20, 2024 - Euro
Jun 16, 2024 - Euro
Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies
Portugal against Slovenia : Head to Head (H2H)
Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies
Portugal - Slovenia: Form Analysis
Portugal’s performance was definitely one of the best of the group stage, and they even were able to confront Georgia with an alternative squad, but for sure there was an impact on their motivation after losing that match 2-0, as it demonstrated that Portugal doesn’t have big variants on the bench. Also, it must be noted that the Portuguese suffered a lot to defeat Czechia (2-1), so they must try to increase their offensive effectiveness during this match.
On Slovenia’s case, this national team wasn’t supposed to qualify in one of the toughest groups of the competition, but they showed an impressive defensive effectiveness during the group stage that allowed them to overcome that stage without losing any match. Nonetheless, the Slovenian couldn’t win any of their matches as well, being the match against Serbia the only one in which they were closer to sum the historic first win of their EURO history.
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Portugal against Slovenia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
R. Leao
E. Janza
Portugal & Slovenia Squad Analysis
Taking that into consideration, is a fact that Portugal’s squad has a very solid defensive performance with Pepe’s leadership, but one of the biggest issues that the Portuguese team has is that there are a lot of players with an offensive profile like Fernandes, Silva, Ronaldo and Leao, so instead of generating spaces and dangerous opportunities, they are only crowding the midfield without any sense or idea, and the ball circulation turns very slow when attacking.
Meanwhile, Slovenia is depending on a very solid defensive block conformed by Drkusic, Bijol and Oblak, players whose performances have been key to qualify for these instances even when nobody thought that they would be able to survive on their group with Serbia, Denmark and England, but they did. Additionally, it must be noted that the head coach, Matjaz Kek job has been impressive throughout this competition, having a great understating of what his team is needing on each precise moment.
Portugal - Slovenia Key Points
- Portugal was unable to score a goal in a match for the first time since their 2-0 loss precisely against Slovenia (2-0) last March.
- Slovenia hasn’t been able to score more than 1 goal since their 2-1 victory over Armenia in a friendly preparation match for this competition.
- Portugal hasn’t confronted any team with a clear proposal yet, so if Slovenia is able to keep the same displayed tactic during the group stage, the Portuguese squad will be in great trouble.
- Slovenia accumulates a streak of 9 matches in a row without losing, being relevant to highlight that their last loss was against Denmark (2-1) in November 2023.
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Our Portugal vs Slovenia Prediction
To conclude, this match appears to be an easy one for Portugal, however the Slovenian squad is having a wonderful performance that has already converted them in one of the biggest surprises in the EURO 2024, so the expectation is to have a very even match with a low number of opportunities for both teams, so the pick for Portugal – Slovenia is: Half Time: Tie!
Portugal vs Slovenia - Other Interesting Picks
Under 0.5 Goals in the First Half
The general trend in the EURO round of 16 so far has offered very tight matches during the first half, so the expectation for this match is to continue that line as both teams must prioritize the defensive order in the early instances.
Under 2.5 Goals
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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