Portugal vs France Prediction & Picks - Euro
by Stephen Abiola in Euro Picks
Can Christiano Ronaldo actualize his dream of lifting one more Euro Championship before a possible retirement? That could happen after defeating a resilient Slovenian side on penalties to advance to the quarter-finals. The five-time Ballon d’Or winner now faces a more formidable opponent in Kylian Mbappe and his French teammates. Le Bleus also left it late to win 1-0 against a determined Belgian side. Jan Vertonghen deflected Kolo Muani’s strike into his own goal in the 85th minute to end Belgium’s campaign in this competition. Neither team has been dominant and convincing thus far despite having abundant talent. A statement win on Friday will be much welcome for both sides.
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Portugal vs France Form
Portugal and France Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 1, 2024 - Euro
Jun 26, 2024 - Euro
Jun 22, 2024 - Euro
Jun 18, 2024 - Euro
Jun 11, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 1, 2024 - Euro
Jun 25, 2024 - Euro
Jun 21, 2024 - Euro
Jun 17, 2024 - Euro
Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies
Portugal against France : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Jun 23, 2021 - Euro
Nov 14, 2020 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 11, 2020 - UEFA Nations League
Portugal - France: Form Analysis
The Selecao haven’t necessarily set the world alight in this campaign despite having one of the football icons in the squad. They struggled to break down a resilient Slovenian side in the Round of 16 despite seeing 72% of the ball and completing 88% of their passes. Roberto Mertinez’s men topped Group F with 6 points, scoring five and conceding two goals. They lost 2-0 against Georgia after struggling to score a goal throughout the 90 minutes of play. These results mean Portugal scored only 5 goals in the 2024 Euros and 9 in the last six matches. They average 1.50 goals per game in their previous six competitive games.
Le Bleus haven’t been any better throughout this competition. Didier Deschamps’ men were second in Group D with 5 points, just a point behind the surprising underdogs Austria. They won one game in the group stages against Austria (1-0) and drew against the Netherlands and Poland. Their fearsome attack has yet to click in this campaign, scoring just three goals. Thankfully, the defense has done most of the hard work, conceding only once so far against Poland. France is yet to find the net from open play, relying on two own goals and a penalty in this competition. Deschamps must get them firing at this crucial stage of the tournament.
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Portugal against France Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Missing players
R. Leao
A. Rabiot
Portugal & France Squad Analysis
Portugal is misfiring, which could be down to an ageing Christiano Ronaldo. The 39-year-old striker has been Portugal’s main goal threat for over a decade. However, age is catching up with him. He has yet to open his goal-scoring account in the Euro 2024. Portugal has struggled to produce without him leading the line. However, the good news is that they have an excellent creative force in Manchester United’s Bruno Fernandes and Man City’s Bernado Silver. Monday night’s hero, Diogo Costa, will continue between the sticks while 41-year-old Pepe marshalls the defense.
There’s a minor concern in the French camp. Juventus midfielder Adrien Robiot will miss the Portugal match after picking up a first-half booking against Belgium in the knockout stages. However, France has a ready replacement in Real Madrid’s Eduardo Camavinga, who played only 50 minutes this summer. The hard-working Ngolo Kante will continue his midfield exploits, and Arsenal’s rock-solid William Saliba will start in the back. Skipper Kylian Mbappe will continue hunting for goals with the help of the creative Antoine Griezmann of Atletico Madrid. Le Bleus looks like the stronger team on paper.
Portugal - France Key Points
- France has won six of the previous nine matches against Portugal.
- Le Bleus have conceded just a single goal in the last six competitive games.
- Four of the last five matches between these opponents have finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Portugal and their opponents have hit over 2.5 goals in 28 out of the last 45 games.
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Our Portugal vs France Prediction
France is the favorite in this matchup. They have shown that they can grind out results as they did against Austria and Belgium. France also drew 0-0 with the Netherlands in the group stages. On the other hand, Portugal has yet to face the most formidable challenge at this tournament. A win against France could prove their doubters wrong and set the stage for a semi-final clash with Germany or Spain. Based on the provided moneyline odds, France and Portugal have 40% and 29% win probabilities, respectively. Our prediction for Portugal vs France: Under 2.5 goals.
Portugal vs France - Other Interesting Picks
Kylian Mbappe to score
Kylian Mbappe has scored once in the 2024 UEFA Euro Championship. However, we don’t expect opposition defenders to continue keeping him at bay for long. The speedy 25-year-old striker should outrun the ageing Pepe and increase his goal account. So, we’re backing Mbappe to score any time.
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