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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB
by Dan Angell in MLB Picks
The Pittsburgh Pirates (9-3 SU, 9-3 ATS) travel across the Keystone State to begin a series with the Philadelphia Phillies (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS). The Pirates have started well because they’ve been getting timely hitting throughout their lineup. Four players with at least 25 at-bats have hit .300 or better, with Oneil Cruz sitting just under the line at .298.
The Phillies’ inconsistency stems from the same problem the Phillies always have: they can’t count on their bullpen. Philadelphia’s pitchers have an ERA of 3.92, but their bullpen ERA of 5.44 shows that they’ve been blowing games in the back half of the contest yet again. In their most recent series in St. Louis, five of the Cardinals’ nine runs came in the final three innings of the game.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.586 | 162 | 95 | 67 |
|
23
|
0.469 | 162 | 76 | 86 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 9, 2024 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 9, 2024 - MLB
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Mar 25, 2024 - MLB Spring Training
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 4, 2024 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 10, 2024 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 3, 2024 - MLB
Apr 2, 2024 - MLB
Apr 1, 2024 - MLB
Mar 31, 2024 - MLB
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Mar 29, 2024 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 10, 2024 - MLB
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Pittsburgh Pirates against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Mar 18, 2024 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 10, 2024 - MLB Spring Training
Jul 30, 2023 - MLB
Mar 14, 2021 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 5, 2021 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 4, 2020 - MLB Spring Training
Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- The Phillies have played to the under in seven straight games.
- The Phillies have given up exactly three runs in four straight games.
- The Pirates are 5-1 SU this season as an underdog.
- The Pirates have scored at least three runs 11 times in 12 games.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The X-factor in this matchup is the wind, which is heading out to left field at 16 miles per hour. With a lot of space available to shoot for and the wind potentially carrying the ball, this could turn into an offensive explosion. Jared Jones has mostly been effective for Pittsburgh, but he’s highly dependent on strikeouts. If he isn’t missing bats, the Phillies can power their way to a fair amount of offense.
Ranger Suarez got to face the light-hitting Nationals last time out, but he’s right around his usual ERA of around four. The Pirates’ bats look like they’re going to stay hot, and there’s always that poor Phillies bullpen to worry about. Because of the hitters holding the edge in this matchup, our prediction for Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia is Over 9 runs.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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