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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates will meet again on Sunday with the home team batting for a sweep at Great American Ball Park.
The Reds banked on their fantastic pitching anew, but this time they turned to their rookie hurler Andrew Abbott to smoother the hapless Pirates in five innings. Abbott posted one earned run, two hits and five strikeouts in the Reds 5-2 win over the Pirates. Cincinnati will enter week 4 of the season as one of the best pitching teams in the MLB, throwing a 3.06 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and .191 BAA with seven quality starts.
The Pirates have lost three of their last four games, including back-to-back losses to the Reds. Pittsburgh enters the final game of their weekend series with the 10th worst ERA in baseball (4.39) and the league’s most pathetic batting average (.199). They are pinning their hopes on Carmen Mlodzinski to get them a rare quality start but he too is facing a daunting task on the mound on Sunday when he duels with Reds’ strikeout machine Hunter Greene (1-1, 1.31 ERA with 23 strikeouts).
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
17
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0.48 | 25 | 12 | 13 |
27
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0.385 | 26 | 10 | 16 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 12, 2025 - MLB
Apr 11, 2025 - MLB
Apr 9, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 6, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 9, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 4, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Apr 12, 2025 - MLB
Apr 11, 2025 - MLB
Apr 2, 2025 - MLB
Apr 1, 2025 - MLB
Mar 31, 2025 - MLB
Mar 30, 2025 - MLB

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 12, 2025 - MLB
Apr 11, 2025 - MLB
Apr 9, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 7, 2025 - MLB
Apr 6, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 12, 2025 - MLB
Apr 11, 2025 - MLB
Apr 2, 2025 - MLB
Apr 1, 2025 - MLB
Mar 31, 2025 - MLB
Mar 30, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 9, 2025 - MLB
Apr 8, 2025 - MLB
Apr 7, 2025 - MLB
Apr 6, 2025 - MLB
Apr 5, 2025 - MLB
Apr 4, 2025 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Apr 12, 2025 - MLB
Apr 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 22, 2024 - MLB
Sep 21, 2024 - MLB
Sep 20, 2024 - MLB
Aug 25, 2024 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds Key Points
- Pittsburgh are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games.
- Pittsburgh are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Cincinnati.
- Cincinnati are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- Cincinnati are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
With the Reds deploying another formidable pitcher, Hunter Greene on Sunday, the Pirates face the possibility of being swept for the first time this season. It sure doesn’t help that their starting pitcher, Mlodzinski, shoulders a lot of pressure in his matchup with Greene, who is coming off a shutout in his last start vs. the Giants. Mlodzinski put up a solid outing in his last start, giving one earned run over five innings in an 8-4 win over the St. Louis Cardinals. Is he capable of leading the Pirates to a win? Honestly, the answer is No. I see Greene dominate, and the Reds score at least five runs again to chalk up another ATS win in the process. Our betting prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Reds will cover -1.5 runs.
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