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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves are set for a rubber match in Thursday’s series-finale at Truist Park.
The Phillies leveled the series to 1-1 with a 4-3 win over the Braves in Game 2. Philadelphia has won three of their last five games, averaging 4.4 runs with a .210 batting average. They are also giving a 4.50 ERA and .258 BAA in that stretch. The Phillies will start Jesus Lazardo, who is hot off a seven-inning shutout of Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Braves blew a chance to record their first winning streak of the season after letting Trae Turner hit a go-ahead homer at the top of the 9th inning. Atlanta is scoring 5.2 runs per game and pitching a 3.86 ERA in their last five games. On Thursday, the Braves will dispatch Spencer Schwellenbach who hasn’t conceded a run in 14 innings pitched this season.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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14
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0.5 | 26 | 13 | 13 |
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24
|
0.417 | 24 | 10 | 14 |
Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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0/6 (0%)
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Philadelphia Phillies against Atlanta Braves : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Philadelphia Phillies - Atlanta Braves Key Points
- Spencer Schwellenbach had 10 strikeouts in his last start vs. Miami Marlins.
- Spencer Schwellenbach already has 14 strikeouts this season.
- Spencer Schwellenbach recorded 17 strikeouts and a 2.45 ERA in three starts vs. the Phillies last season.
- Spencer Schwellenbach averaged 5.6 strikeouts in his last three starts vs. the Phillies.
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Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Coming off a 10-strikeout game vs. Miami, Spencer Schwellenbach appears like a solid pick to collect at least eight strikeouts vs. the Phillies. Last season, the Braves hurler averaged 5.6 strikeouts in his three starts vs. Philadelphia. He also posted a game with nine strikeouts, leading the Braves to a 3-2 win on August 22, 2024. DraftKings have booked the Braves pitcher at +130 if he can record more than seven strikeouts vs. the Phillies. Philadelphia averages .210 at the plate with 4.4 runs per game in their last five. It will not be an easy feat, but I have faith Schwellenbach will deliver the goods for the Braves and his props bettors on Thursday with the help of his teammates and interventions from the weather, which expects 7 MPH winds blowing straight towards the center. Our betting prediction for Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: Spencer Schwellenbach will record 7+ Strikeouts.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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